Monza vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

24 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Lazio

Away

AI call Lazio or draw

24%

29%

47%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Monza vs Lazio prediction: Sportiko gives Monza a 24% chance of winning, Lazio 47% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Monza

WLDWL

Lazio

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Monza · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Monza will face Lazio, with both teams looking to solidify their standings. Monza has shown resilience at home, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Lazio boasts a strong offensive record, scoring 1.8 goals per game. Defensively, Monza has struggled, conceding an average of 1.7 goals, which could be exploited by Lazio's potent attack led by their key forwards. Both teams will be eager for three points, making this a crucial encounter in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lazio goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	9	5	2	1
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	2	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Monza goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Monza

Gustavo Varela 4 gls

Lazio

D. Frattesi 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

29%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

29%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	10.6%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
1	6.5%	13.9%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.1%	6.2%	4.7%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.4%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monza	Draw	Lazio
Monza	12.5%	3.8%	2.0%
Draw	10.3%	18.6%	16.8%
Lazio	1.6%	4.6%	29.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monza vs Lazio

0 Monza Wins

1 Draws

2 Lazio Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Feb 2025	Lazio	5 - 1	Monza
10 Nov 2024	Monza	0 - 1	Lazio
04 May 2024	Monza	2 - 2	Lazio

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Monza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Sassuolo	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Lecce	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Parma	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Udinese	L	2 - 3

Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Venezia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H AC Milan	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Udinese	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Genoa	W	1 - 0
24 Aug	A Bologna	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.