Napoli vs Como Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
AI call Napoli or draw
44%
30%
27%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Napoli vs Como prediction: Sportiko gives Napoli a 44% chance of winning, Como 27% and the draw 30%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 18:34.

Premium picks

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  • Over 1.5 Goals 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

0–1 17'
Martin Baturina assist: Assane Diao
Rasmus Højlund assist: Amir Rrahmani
30' 1–1
1–2 34'
Anastasios Douvikas assist: Martin Baturina
Giovanni Di Lorenzo Yellow Card
37'
HT 1–2
Scott McTominay ⇄ Kevin De Bruyne
56'
Mathías Olivera ⇄ Leonardo Spinazzola
56'
N. Lang ⇄ Alisson Santos
56'
58'
Martin Baturina ⇄ Maxence Caqueret
58'
Yan Couto ⇄ Ivan Smolčić
65'
Assane Diao ⇄ Marc-Oliver Kempf
65'
Lucas Da Cunha ⇄ Máximo Perrone
Rasmus Højlund ⇄ Lorenzo Lucca
80'
Frank Anguissa ⇄ David Neres
80'
81'
Nico Paz ⇄ Kaiki
FT 1–2
Napoli

Match Stats

Como
42% Ball Possession 58%
1.37 Expected Goals (xG) 1.03
13 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 10
4 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Corner Kicks 7
8 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
441 Total passes 607
385 Passes accurate 554
87% Passes % 91%
-0.54 goals_prevented -0.54
Napoli
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Matteo Politano F 7.3 95' 26 (24%) 1
37 Leonardo Spinazzola D 7.2 39' 31 (25%)
13 Amir Rrahmani D 7.2 95' 1 71 (64%) 2
11 Kevin De Bruyne M 7.0 39' 1 24 (17%) 1
70 N. Lang F 6.9 56' 1 14 (12%) 1
1 Alex Meret G 6.9 95' 21 (17%)
19 Rasmus Højlund F 6.9 80' 1 2 9 (8%)
16 Rafa Marín D 6.7 95' 64 (62%) 2
7 David Neres F 6.7 15' 4 (4%)
17 Mathías Olivera D 6.6 56' 2 28 (22%) 2
68 Stanislav Lobotka M 6.6 95' 51 (47%)
99 Frank Anguissa M 6.3 80' 1 27 (23%) 1
27 Alisson Santos F 6.3 39' 1 9 (7%)
20 Lorenzo Lucca F 6.3 15' 1 2 (1%)
8 Scott McTominay M 6.2 56' 16 (13%)
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D 6.2 95' 44 (39%) 2
Como
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Martin Baturina M 7.6 58' 1 1 4 34 (31%)
9 Anastasios Douvikas F 7.5 95' 1 3 15 (11%)
4 Jacobo Ramón D 7.5 95' 1 88 (85%) 2
7 Lucas Da Cunha M 7.3 66' 1 59 (57%) 2
99 Trevoh Chalobah D 7.2 95' 55 (53%) 1
6 Luis Milla M 7.2 95' 81 (78%) 2
1 Jean Butez G 7.0 95' 31 (20%) 1
16 Kaiki D 6.9 14' 1 2 (2%)
11 Assane Diao M 6.7 65' 1 2 35 (30%) 1
10 Nico Paz M 6.7 81' 2 55 (51%) 2
2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D 6.7 30' 6 (4%)
28 Ivan Smolčić D 6.6 37' 7 (5%) 1
3 Álex Valle D 6.3 95' 2 43 (37%) 1
5 Máximo Perrone M 6.3 29' 18 (18%)
8 Maxence Caqueret M 6.3 37' 21 (19%)
27 Yan Couto D 6.3 58' 57 (53%) 2
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean
Napoli or draw
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Napoli
DWLLL
Como
LWWWW
Last 3 meetings Napoli · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Napoli will face Como in Serie A on August 30, 2026. Napoli has historically been a strong contender, leveraging their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.1 goals per game last season, while Como struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Napoli's home form typically enhances their performance metrics, but Como's tactical adjustments could pose challenges. Key players like Victor Osimhen for Napoli will be crucial in breaking down Como’s defense. Overall, the match is likely to showcase Napoli's offensive strength against Como's defensive vulnerabilities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
27%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Napoli

No scorer data.

Como
M. Baturina 2 gls
Assane Diao 2 gls

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Head to Head: Napoli vs Como

0 Napoli Wins
2 Draws
1 Como Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 May 2026 Como 0 - 0 Napoli
01 Nov 2025 Napoli 0 - 0 Como
23 Feb 2025 Como 2 - 1 Napoli
See all 4 meetings — Premium

Napoli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Fiorentina D 1 - 1
13 Sep H Bologna W 1 - 0
09 Sep H Arsenal L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Inter L 3 - 2
30 Aug H Como L 1 - 2

Como — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Frosinone L 2 - 0
14 Sep H Parma W 2 - 1
10 Sep H RB Leipzig W 4 - 1
04 Sep A Genoa W 1 - 4
30 Aug A Napoli W 1 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Napoli

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
1 Meret
17 Olivera
16 Marín
13 Rrahmani
22 Lorenzo
8 McTominay
68 Lobotka
99 Anguissa
70 Lang
19 Højlund
21 Politano

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alex Meret G
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
16 Rafa Marín D
17 Mathías Olivera D
99 Frank Anguissa M
68 Stanislav Lobotka M
8 Scott McTominay M
21 Matteo Politano F
19 Rasmus Højlund F
70 Noa Lang F

Substitutes

32 Vanja Milinković-Savić G
14 Nikita Contini G
37 Leonardo Spinazzola D
47 Christian Garofalo D
31 Sam Beukema D
2 Costantino Favasuli D
6 Billy Gilmour M
11 Kevin De Bruyne M
27 Alisson Santos F
23 Giovane F
26 Antonio Vergara M
7 David Neres F
20 Lorenzo Lucca F

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fabregas
1 Butez
3 Valle
99 Chalobah
4 Ramón
27 Couto
7 Cunha
6 Milla
20 Baturina
10 Paz
11 Diao
9 Douvikas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Jean Butez G
27 Yan Couto D
4 Jacobo Ramón D
99 Trevoh Chalobah D
3 Álex Valle D
6 Luis Milla M
7 Lucas Da Cunha M
11 Assane Diao M
10 Nico Paz M
20 Martin Baturina M
9 Anastasios Douvikas F

Substitutes

22 Mauro Vigorito G
12 Emil Audero G
16 Kaiki D
53 Willy Kambwala D
28 Ivan Smolčić D
13 Alberto Dossena D
18 Edoardo Goldaniga D
2 Marc Kempf D
5 Máximo Perrone M
15 Adrian Lahdo M
17 Jesús Rodriguez F
14 Samuele Ricci M
8 Maxence Caqueret M
30 Mattia Liberali M
90 Ivan Azón F

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