Barcelona vs Elche Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

17 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Elche

Away

Camp Nou, Barcelona

AI call Difficult Barcelona win or draw

64%

21%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Barcelona vs Elche prediction: Sportiko gives Barcelona a 64% chance of winning, Elche 15% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:1 · 10%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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Barcelona

WWWWW

Elche

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Barcelona · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In this La Liga matchup, Barcelona will face Elche, with the Catalans currently positioned as one of the league's top performers. Barcelona has demonstrated a strong attacking presence, averaging over 2 goals per game, while maintaining solid defensive statistics with a low goals conceded rate. Elche, on the other hand, has struggled, often sitting near the relegation zone and facing challenges in both scoring and defense. Given Barcelona's superior squad depth and form, they are heavily favored to secure a win in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elche goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	3	2	1
1	7	10	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	7	8	4	1
4	4	5	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Barcelona goals · most likely 2–1 (10.0%)

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Players in form

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

21%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

64%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

21%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

64%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

21%

23%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	2.6%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
1	7.1%	9.8%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
2	9.6%	10.0%	5.3%	1.8%	0.5%
3	7.4%	7.8%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
4	4.3%	4.5%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

28%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Barcelona	Draw	Elche
Barcelona	42.9%	3.6%	1.2%
Draw	19.3%	12.1%	5.7%
Elche	3.2%	3.7%	8.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Barcelona vs Elche

3 Barcelona Wins

0 Draws

0 Elche Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Aug 2026	Elche	0 - 5	Barcelona
31 Jan 2026	Elche	1 - 3	Barcelona
02 Nov 2025	Barcelona	3 - 1	Elche

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.