Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Sportiko gives Real Sociedad a 30% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 43% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 20:57.
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Match Report
Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid played out a goalless first half, with the home side showing reasonable intent but unable to convert their early chances. Yangel Herrera picked up a yellow card in the 18th minute, a sign of the physical contest that would develop throughout the afternoon.
The match remained tight into the second half as both teams made multiple substitutions in search of an advantage. The decisive moment arrived in the 84th minute when Alejandro Grimaldo converted a penalty to break the deadlock. Jonathan David then doubled the lead in the 90th minute, and Giuliano Simeone added a third deep into stoppage time to seal a commanding 3-0 victory. Our pre-match AI model had identified an Atletico Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that proved correct.
Despite Real Sociedad registering 13 total shots to Atletico's nine, the visitors controlled possession at 53% and dominated set-piece situations with nine corner kicks to three. Atletico's clinical finishing in the closing stages masked what had been a closely contested encounter for much of the game.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Real Sociedad
Match Stats
Real Sociedad
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Luken Beitia D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (59%) | 1 |
| 19 Mamadou Sarr D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (65%) | 3 |
| 2 Jon Aramburu D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 4 |
| 1 Álex Remiro G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | – |
| 17 Sergio Gómez D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (47%) | 3 |
| 14 Takefusa Kubo F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 24 Luka Sučić M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 44 (39%) | – |
| 18 Carlos Soler M | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 48 (40%) | – |
| 11 Gonçalo Guedes M | 6.4 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 35 (29%) | 2 |
| 21 Yangel Herrera M | 6.4 | 85' | – | – | – | 50 (45%) | 2 |
| 10 Mikel Oyarzabal F | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 21 (17%) | 2 |
| 9 Orri Steinn Óskarsson F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 12 Job Ochieng F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 23 Arsen Zakharyan M | 6.2 | 5' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 7 Ander Barrenetxea M | 6.0 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 4 Jon Gorrotxategi M | 5.9 | 12' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | – |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jonathan David F | 7.8 | 30' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 21 Cristian Romero D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | – |
| 22 Alejandro Grimaldo M | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 46 (33%) | 2 |
| 18 Marc Pubill D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 1 |
| 10 Alex Baena M | 7.2 | 59' | – | – | 2 | 27 (24%) | 1 |
| 23 Morten Hjulmand M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (48%) | – |
| 13 Jan Oblak G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (24%) | – |
| 14 Marcos Llorente M | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 17 Dávid Hancko D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (43%) | 1 |
| 5 Johnny Cardoso M | 6.6 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 16 Arnau Ortiz F | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 6 Koke M | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 7 Kang-in Lee M | 6.4 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 22 (15%) | 1 |
| 11 Ademola Lookman F | 6.3 | 76' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | – |
| 20 Giuliano Simeone M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (25%) | 3 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Sučić
3 gls
Álex Baena
4 gls
J. David
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | Atletico Madrid | 3 - 2 | Real Sociedad |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Real Sociedad | 1 - 1 | Atletico Madrid |
| 10 May 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 4 - 0 | Real Sociedad |
Real Sociedad — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Valencia | W | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Sep | H Bournemouth | L | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Atletico Madrid | L | 0 - 3 |
| 07 Sep | A Elche | W | 2 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | H Celta Vigo | D | 0 - 0 |
Atletico Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Real Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 4 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Real Sociedad | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | A Liverpool | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Athletic Club | L | 3 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: D. Simeone
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | J. Oblak | G |
| 18 | Marc Pubill | D |
| 21 | C. Romero | D |
| 17 | D. Hancko | D |
| 20 | G. Simeone | M |
| 14 | Marcos Llorente | M |
| 23 | M. Hjulmand | M |
| 22 | Álex Grimaldo | M |
| 7 | Lee Kang-In | M |
| 10 | Álex Baena | M |
| 11 | A. Lookman | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | J. Cardoso | M |
| 15 | J. David | F |
| 27 | J. Dominguez | D |
| 25 | Salvador Esquivel | G |
| 6 | Koke | M |
| 24 | Robin Le Normand | D |
| 4 | Rodrigo Mendoza | M |
| 1 | J. Musso | G |
| 16 | Arnau Ortiz | F |
| 3 | O. Vargas | M |
| 45 | Javier Gil | D |
| 30 | Dani MartÃnez | D |
Real Sociedad
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Matarazzo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Álex Remiro | G |
| 2 | J. Aramburu | D |
| 34 | Luken Beitia | D |
| 19 | M. Sarr | D |
| 17 | Sergio Gómez | D |
| 21 | Y. Herrera | M |
| 18 | Carlos Soler | M |
| 7 | Barrenetxea | M |
| 24 | L. Sučić | M |
| 11 | Gonçalo Guedes | M |
| 10 | Mikel Oyarzabal | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Jon Gorrotxategi | M |
| 14 | T. Kubo | F |
| 22 | Héctor Fort | D |
| 29 | Alex Garcia | F |
| 13 | Unai Marrero | G |
| 3 | Aihen Muñoz | D |
| 12 | J. Ochieng | F |
| 16 | Jon Pacheco | D |
| 8 | Beñat Turrientes | M |
| 23 | A. Zakharyan | M |
| 9 | O. Óskarsson | F |
| 27 | Gorka Carrera | F |