Manchester United vs Tottenham Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Tottenham

Away

Old Trafford, Manchester

AI call Difficult Manchester United win or draw

57%

24%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Manchester United vs Tottenham prediction: Sportiko gives Manchester United a 57% chance of winning, Tottenham 19% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.1%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Manchester United

DLLWD

Tottenham

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Manchester United · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Manchester United faces Tottenham on October 10, 2026. Both teams are traditionally strong, with United currently averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Tottenham boasts a solid attack, netting 1.6 goals per game. Defensively, United has shown improvements, conceding only 1.1 goals per match, while Tottenham's defense averages 1.5 goals against. Key players like United's Bruno Fernandes and Tottenham's Harry Kane will be crucial in determining the match's outcome. Expect a competitive fixture with tactical battles in midfield likely influencing the result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

57%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

19%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Tottenham goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	8	11	5	2	1
2	9	10	6	2	1
3	6	7	4	1
4	3	4	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Manchester United goals · most likely 1–1 (11.1%)

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Players in form

Manchester United

Bruno Fernandes 3 gls

Tottenham

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	3.5%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.7%	11.1%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
2	9.2%	10.1%	5.6%	2.0%	0.6%
3	6.3%	6.9%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
4	3.2%	3.5%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Manchester United	Draw	Tottenham
Manchester United	37.3%	4.0%	1.4%
Draw	18.6%	13.9%	7.1%
Tottenham	3.1%	4.1%	10.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Manchester United vs Tottenham

1 Manchester United Wins

1 Draws

1 Tottenham Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Feb 2026	Manchester United	2 - 0	Tottenham
08 Nov 2025	Tottenham	2 - 2	Manchester United
21 May 2025	Tottenham	1 - 0	Manchester United

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fulham	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Brighton	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 1
10 Sep	H Sabah FA	W	4 - 0
06 Sep	A Everton	D	2 - 2

Tottenham — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aston Villa	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Liverpool	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Everton	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	A Nottingham Forest	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Newcastle	L	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.