Nottingham Forest vs Coventry Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Post on X

Coventry

Away

The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

AI call Difficult Nottingham Forest win or draw

56%

25%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry prediction: Sportiko gives Nottingham Forest a 56% chance of winning, Coventry 18% and the draw 25%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 18:26.

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Under 3.5 Goals 71%

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Timeline

⇄ 45'

Ephron Mason-Clark ⇄ Loum Tchaouna

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 55'

Jay Dasilva assist: Carl Rushworth

Liam Delap Yellow Card

59' ▮

Dan Ndoye ⇄ Igor Jesus

59' ⇄

Ousmane Diomande ⇄ Chris Wood

73' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Jack Rudoni ⇄ Ellis Simms

Daniel Muñoz ⇄ Luca Netz

83' ⇄

James McAtee ⇄ Ibrahim Sangaré

83' ⇄

Igor Jesus Goal cancelled

88' 🖵

⇄ 90+1'

Caleb Yirenkyi ⇄ Joel Latibeaudiere

Jair Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 0–1

Nottingham Forest

Match Stats

Coventry

63% Ball Possession 37%

24 Total Shots 10

3 Shots on Goal 3

9 Shots off Goal 6

12 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 5

12 Shots outsidebox 5

6 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 10

2 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

506 Total passes 308

427 Passes accurate 233

10 Free Kicks 12

Nottingham Forest

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Murillo D	7.6	90'	–	–	1	68 (63%)	1
10 Morgan Gibbs-White M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	56 (49%)	–
3 Neco Williams M	7.0	90'	–	–	3	56 (46%)	1
21 Xaver Schlager M	6.7	90'	–	–	2	55 (47%)	2
24 James McAtee M	6.7	83'	–	–	4	50 (43%)	1
14 Dan Ndoye M	6.6	59'	–	–	3	9 (7%)	–
25 Luca Netz D	6.6	7'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
2 Ousmane Diomande D	6.5	73'	–	–	1	42 (34%)	–
27 Daniel Muñoz M	6.5	83'	–	–	2	37 (33%)	1
6 Ibrahim Sangaré M	6.4	7'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
9 Chris Wood F	6.4	17'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
19 Liam Delap F	6.4	90'	–	–	4	20 (16%)	1
23 Jair D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	52 (42%)	2
11 Igor Jesus F	6.3	31'	–	–	2	18 (16%)	–
26 Matz Sels G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	20 (12%)	–

Coventry

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Jay Dasilva M	8.0	90'	1	–	2	23 (17%)	–
4 Bobby Thomas D	7.7	90'	–	–	1	32 (31%)	1
2 Ethan Pinnock D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	–
10 Ephron Mason-Clark M	7.2	46'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	–
12 S. Mfuni D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	32 (26%)	1
8 Caleb Yirenkyi M	7.0	91'	–	–	–	34 (31%)	1
19 Carl Rushworth G	6.9	90'	–	1	–	48 (24%)	–
6 Matt Grimes M	6.8	90'	–	–	1	29 (23%)	2
9 Ellis Simms F	6.7	16'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
23 Brandon Thomas-Asante F	6.6	90'	–	–	3	11 (5%)	3
16 Frank Onyeka M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	2
5 Jack Rudoni M	6.4	74'	–	–	1	29 (24%)	1
17 Loum Tchaouna F	6.3	44'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Nottingham Forest win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Nottingham Forest

LWDDL

Coventry

WLLLL

Match summary

Nottingham Forest will host Coventry in a Premier League clash on September 19, 2026. Forest's recent form shows a solid defensive record, allowing only 1.2 goals per match this season, while Coventry has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.9 goals per game. Key players to watch include Forest's top scorer, who has found the net in three consecutive games, and Coventry's playmaker, who leads the team in assists but has faced challenges in breaking down compact defenses. The match is likely to hinge on whether Coventry can capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks against a disciplined Forest backline.

Live insights

88' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Coventry leads 0-1. Win probability: 79.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20.1%.

56' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Coventry win: 64.9%. BTTS: 48%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 73.5%. Over 1.5 remaining: 41.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

56%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

18%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Coventry goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	3	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Nottingham Forest goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

25%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

25%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	5.1%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
1	9.5%	12.9%	5.9%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.5%	9.8%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.5%	5.7%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nottingham Forest	Draw	Coventry
Nottingham Forest	33.5%	4.8%	1.9%
Draw	17.5%	16.6%	9.8%
Coventry	2.1%	3.4%	10.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nottingham Forest vs Coventry

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Nottingham Forest — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Coventry	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Aston Villa	W	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Tottenham	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Liverpool	D	2 - 2
25 Aug	H Leeds	L	0 - 2

Coventry — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nottingham Forest	W	0 - 1
16 Sep	H Aston Villa	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	H Brighton	L	0 - 5
05 Sep	A Manchester City	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Hull City	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Nottingham Forest

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Glasner

26 Sels

5 Murillo

2 Diomande

23 Jair

3 Williams

24 McAtee

21 Schlager

27 Muñoz

10 Gibbs-White

14 Ndoye

19 Delap

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
26	M. Sels	G
23	Jair	D
2	O. Diomande	D
5	Murillo	D
27	D. Muñoz	M
21	X. Schlager	M
24	J. McAtee	M
3	N. Williams	M
14	D. Ndoye	M
10	M. Gibbs-White	M
19	L. Delap	F

Substitutes

11	Igor Jesus	F
9	C. Wood	F
22	R. Yates	M
8	N. Domínguez	M
7	C. Hudson-Odoi	F
6	I. Sangaré	M
34	O. Aina	D
25	L. Netz	D
12	John	G

Coventry

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: F. Lampard

19 Rushworth

2 Pinnock

4 Thomas

12 Mfuni

3 Dasilva

6 Grimes

16 Onyeka

8 Yirenkyi

10 Mason-Clark

5 Rudoni

23 Thomas-Asante

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
19	C. Rushworth	G
12	S. Mfuni	D
4	B. Thomas	D
2	E. Pinnock	D
8	Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi	M
16	F. Onyeka	M
6	M. Grimes	M
3	J. Dasilva	M
5	J. Rudoni	M
10	E. Mason-Clark	M
23	B. Thomas-Asante	F

Substitutes

49	S. Cherif	F
34	Y. Gboho	F
9	E. Simms	F
38	G. Hamer	M
29	V. Torp	M
17	L. Tchaouna	F
7	T. Sakamoto	M
22	J. Latibeaudiere	D
25	D. Bentley	G