Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Prediction
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City prediction: Sportiko gives Crystal Palace a 19% chance of winning, Manchester City 56% and the draw 26%. Last updated 28 Aug 2026, 20:54.
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Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Match Report
Manchester City secured a comfortable 4-1 victory at Selhurst Park despite Crystal Palace dominating the statistical landscape for much of the contest. Erling Haaland broke the deadlock in the 17th minute to give City a half-time lead, and while Palace controlled possession at 73% and generated nine shots on target, they were unable to find an equaliser before the break.
The second half was defined by a remarkable three-minute spell that effectively ended the contest. Rayan Cherki doubled City's advantage on 54 minutes, an own goal from Gianluigi Donnarumma followed just seconds later, and Cherki struck again on 59 minutes to put the visitors 4-0 up. Palace's expected goals figure of just 0.57 underlined how little genuine threat they posed despite their territorial dominance. Haaland added his second late on in the 84th minute to complete the scoring before a consolation goal reduced the deficit to 4-1.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester City win as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that proved well-founded as City's clinical finishing punished a Palace side that struggled to convert pressure into clear-cut chances.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Crystal Palace
Match Stats
Crystal Palace
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Anan Khalaili M | 7.5 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | 10 |
| 18 Daichi Kamada M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | 5 |
| 22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F | 7.2 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 20 Adam Wharton M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 4 |
| 10 Yéremy Pino F | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 23 (15%) | 1 |
| 3 Tyrick Mitchell M | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 22 (20%) | 2 |
| 29 Evann Guessand F | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 1 Dean Henderson G | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | – |
| 11 Dwight McNeil F | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 6 Jaydee Canvot D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 1 |
| 5 Axel Disasi D | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 12 Zavier Gozo F | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 30 Óscar Mingueza D | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 9 Eddie Nketiah F | 6.2 | 68' | – | – | 2 | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 26 Chris Richards D | 5.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 29 (24%) | 2 |
| 17 Takehiro Tomiyasu D | 5.6 | 74' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 1 |
Manchester City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Rayan Cherki M | 8.7 | 82' | 2 | – | 3 | 63 (58%) | – |
| 9 Erling Haaland F | 8.2 | 94' | 2 | – | 5 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 5 Elliot Anderson M | 7.6 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 98 (89%) | 5 |
| 6 Marc Guéhi D | 7.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 106 (104%) | 1 |
| 3 Rúben Dias D | 7.5 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 102 (102%) | – |
| 45 Abdukodir Khusanov D | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 82 (77%) | 4 |
| 47 Phil Foden M | 6.9 | 94' | – | 2 | 2 | 48 (44%) | 1 |
| 32 Ayyoub Bouaddi M | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 21 (21%) | – |
| 24 Joško Gvardiol D | 6.7 | 75' | – | 1 | – | 52 (42%) | 1 |
| 8 Mateo Kovačić M | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 27 (27%) | – |
| 42 Antoine Semenyo M | 6.5 | 94' | – | 1 | 1 | 43 (40%) | 1 |
| 56 Ryan McAidoo F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 33 Nico O'Reilly M | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 57 (52%) | 1 |
| 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma G | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | – |
| 22 Vitor Reis D | — | 5' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 61 Kaden Braithwaite D | — | 5' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
E. Haaland
5 gls
R. Cherki
3 gls
A. Semenyo
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Crystal Palace vs Manchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0 - 3 | Manchester City |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Manchester City | 5 - 2 | Crystal Palace |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Crystal Palace | 2 - 2 | Manchester City |
Crystal Palace — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Leeds | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | H Lech Poznan | W | 4 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Ipswich | L | 2 - 3 |
| 08 Sep | H Middlesbrough | W | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Fulham | W | 2 - 3 |
Manchester City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Sunderland | W | 5 - 3 |
| 17 Sep | H Norwich | W | 5 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Manchester United | W | 0 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A FC Porto | W | 0 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Coventry | W | 1 - 0 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: E. Maresca
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gianluigi Donnarumma | G |
| 45 | Abdukodir Khusanov | D |
| 3 | Rúben Dias | D |
| 6 | Marc Guéhi | D |
| 24 | Joško Gvardiol | D |
| 33 | Nico O'Reilly | M |
| 5 | Elliot Anderson | M |
| 47 | Phil Foden | M |
| 10 | Rayan Cherki | M |
| 42 | Antoine Semenyo | M |
| 9 | Erling Haaland | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | Gerónimo Rulli | G |
| 21 | Rayan Aït-Nouri | D |
| 22 | Vitor Reis | D |
| 82 | Rico Lewis | D |
| 61 | Kaden Braithwaite | D |
| 8 | Mateo Kovačić | M |
| 30 | Claudio Echeverri | M |
| 32 | Ayyoub Bouaddi | M |
| 56 | Ryan McAidoo | F |
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dean Henderson | G |
| 6 | Jaydee Canvot | D |
| 26 | Chris Richards | D |
| 17 | Takehiro Tomiyasu | D |
| 25 | Anan Khalaili | M |
| 20 | Adam Wharton | M |
| 18 | Daichi Kamada | M |
| 3 | Tyrick Mitchell | M |
| 10 | Yéremy Pino | F |
| 9 | Eddie Nketiah | F |
| 22 | Jørgen Strand Larsen | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | Evann Guessand | F |
| 11 | Dwight McNeil | F |
| 12 | Zavier Gozo | F |
| 44 | Walter Benítez | G |
| 5 | Axel Disasi | D |
| 2 | Daniel Muñoz | D |
| 30 | Óscar Mingueza | D |
| 19 | Will Hughes | M |
| 8 | Jefferson Lerma | M |