Ipswich vs Sunderland Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

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Sunderland

Away

AI call Ipswich or draw

37%

29%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ipswich vs Sunderland prediction: Sportiko gives Ipswich a 37% chance of winning, Sunderland 34% and the draw 29%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 15:55.

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Away to Score 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Match Report

Ipswich claimed a narrow but important Premier League victory over Sunderland, despite the statistics suggesting the visitors were the more threatening side for much of the contest. Emersonn opened the scoring in the 24th minute, only for Nilson Angulo to level matters for Sunderland 15 minutes later, sending the teams into the break level at 1–1. Angulo's afternoon ended early, however, picking up a second yellow card caution before being withdrawn just after the hour mark.

The second half was shaped by a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with Ipswich introducing Abdul Fatawu Issahaku and Julio Enciso as they pushed for a winner. Sunderland's xG figure of 1.64 — more than double Ipswich's 0.72 — reflected their ability to create danger despite holding just 38% possession, yet it was the hosts who found the decisive moment.

Jack Clarke, a former Sunderland player, settled the contest with a goal in the 90th minute to hand Ipswich all three points. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Ipswich win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that ultimately proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Emersonn assist: Julio Enciso

24' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 36'

Daniel Ballard Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 39'

Nilson Angulo

HT 1–1

▮ 55'

Nilson Angulo Yellow Card

⇄ 59'

Nilson Angulo ⇄ Chemsdine Talbi

▮ 63'

Luke O'Nien Yellow Card

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku ⇄ Kasey McAteer

66' ⇄

Emersonn ⇄ Chuba Akpom

66' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Luke O'Nien ⇄ Omar Alderete

⇄ 67'

B. Brobbey ⇄ Wilson Isidor

Julio Enciso ⇄ Jack Clarke

71' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Trai Hume ⇄ Chris Rigg

⇄ 80'

Enzo Le Fée ⇄ Habib Diarra

Daizen Maeda ⇄ Abdoul Ouattara

80' ⇄

Marcelino Núñez ⇄ Sindre Walle Egeli

80' ⇄

Jack Clarke assist: Saša Lukić

90' ⚽ 2–1

FT 2–1

Ipswich

Match Stats

Sunderland

38% Ball Possession 62%

1.64 Expected Goals (xG) 0.72

7 Total Shots 9

2 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 3

6 Shots insidebox 5

1 Shots outsidebox 4

1 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 3

8 Fouls 8

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

225 Total passes 383

182 Passes accurate 342

81% Passes % 89%

0.00 goals_prevented 0.00

Ipswich

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Emersonn F	7.9	63'	1	–	3	11 (9%)	1
10 Julio Enciso M	7.6	63'	–	1	2	21 (19%)	1
32 Marcelino Núñez M	7.6	63'	–	–	–	27 (25%)	1
7 Abdul Fatawu Issahaku M	7.3	63'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	4
26 Dara O'Shea D	7.3	63'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	3
24 Jacob Greaves D	6.9	63'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	2
3 Leif Davis D	6.9	63'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
37 Kjell Scherpen G	6.3	63'	–	–	–	16 (10%)	–
38 Daizen Maeda M	6.2	63'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	4
23 Saša Lukić M	6.2	63'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	1
6 Issa Diop D	5.9	63'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	–

Sunderland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
34 Granit Xhaka M	7.2	63'	–	–	–	51 (50%)	2
10 Nilson Angulo M	7.2	59'	1	–	2	21 (18%)	1
27 Noah Sadiki M	6.9	63'	–	–	1	47 (43%)	–
22 R. Roefs G	6.9	63'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–
17 Reinildo Mandava D	6.9	63'	–	–	–	40 (36%)	3
12 Thomas Meunier D	6.7	63'	–	–	–	39 (35%)	2
32 Trai Hume M	6.7	63'	–	–	2	17 (13%)	3
9 B. Brobbey F	6.3	63'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
28 Enzo Le Fée M	6.3	63'	–	–	–	39 (36%)	1
13 Luke O'Nien D	6.2	63'	–	–	–	53 (47%)	1
5 Daniel Ballard D	6.2	63'	–	–	–	38 (36%)	2
7 Chemsdine Talbi F	—	4'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ipswich or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Ipswich

LLWLL

Sunderland

LWLWD

Match summary

Ipswich faces Sunderland in a Premier League clash on August 22, 2026. Ipswich's recent form shows a strong attacking line, averaging 2.1 goals per game over the last five matches, while Sunderland's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game during the same period. Both teams will be looking to secure points early in the season, making this a crucial encounter. Key players to watch include Ipswich's leading scorer and Sunderland’s playmaker, who could influence the match outcome significantly.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sunderland goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1
5		1

↑ Ipswich goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Ipswich

Emersonn 2 gls

L. Davis 2 gls

Sunderland

B. Brobbey 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

34%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

34%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	6.3%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
1	7.8%	13.5%	7.6%	3.3%	1.0%
2	7.1%	9.1%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.6%	4.6%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ipswich	Draw	Sunderland
Ipswich	28.4%	6.0%	2.9%
Draw	12.5%	16.9%	13.5%
Sunderland	1.5%	3.3%	15.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ipswich vs Sunderland

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ipswich — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Everton	L	1 - 0
15 Sep	H Arsenal	L	2 - 4
12 Sep	A Crystal Palace	W	2 - 3
04 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 2
30 Aug	A Manchester United	L	5 - 2

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Manchester City	L	5 - 3
16 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 2
08 Sep	H Hull City	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Sunderland

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Le Bris

22 Roefs

17 Mandava

13 O'Nien

5 Ballard

12 Meunier

34 Xhaka

27 Sadiki

10 Angulo

28 Fée

32 Hume

9 Brobbey

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Robin Roefs	G
12	Thomas Meunier	D
5	Daniel Ballard	D
13	Luke O'Nien	D
17	Reinildo Mandava	D
27	Noah Sadiki	M
34	Granit Xhaka	M
32	Trai Hume	M
28	Enzo Le Fée	M
10	Nilson Angulo	M
9	Brian Brobbey	F

Substitutes

7	Chemsdine Talbi	F
31	Melker Ellborg	G
15	Omar Alderete	D
20	Nordi Mukiele	D
11	Chris Rigg	M
19	Habib Diarra	M
37	Jocelin Ta Bi	F
14	Romaine Mundle	F
18	Wilson Isidor	F

Ipswich

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gary O'Neil

37 Scherpen

3 Davis

24 Greaves

6 Diop

26 O'Shea

23 Lukić

32 Núñez

38 Maeda

10 Enciso

7 Issahaku

19 Emersonn

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
37	Kjell Scherpen	G
26	Dara O'Shea	D
6	Issa Diop	D
24	Jacob Greaves	D
3	Leif Davis	D
32	Marcelino Núñez	M
23	Saša Lukić	M
7	Abdul Fatawu Issahaku	M
10	Julio Enciso	M
38	Daizen Maeda	M
19	Emersonn	F

Substitutes

28	Christian Walton	G
2	Darnell Furlong	D
4	Cédric Kipré	D
42	Abdoul Ouattara	D
30	Cameron Humphreys	M
20	Kasey McAteer	M
8	Sindre Walle Egeli	F
47	Jack Clarke	F
29	Chuba Akpom	F