CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Botev Plovdiv

Away

AI call Difficult CSKA Sofia win or draw

55%

26%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv prediction: Sportiko gives CSKA Sofia a 55% chance of winning, Botev Plovdiv 19% and the draw 26%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 20:10.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

19' ▮

31' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 38'

41' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

62' ⇄

⇄ 62'

▮ 63'

Yellow Card

▮ 69'

Yellow Card

⇄ 70'

⇄ Jean-Philippe Gbamin

73' ⇄

▮ 78'

Yellow Card

84' ▮

⇄ 84'

90' ⚽ 2–1

90+2' ⚽ 3–1

⚽ 3–2 90+4'

FT 3–2

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult CSKA Sofia win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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CSKA Sofia

WWDWD

Botev Plovdiv

WLDLW

Match summary

CSKA Sofia faces Botev Plovdiv in a crucial First League clash. CSKA boasts a strong home record, with a high win percentage this season, capitalizing on their attacking prowess averaging 2 goals per match. Botev Plovdiv, however, has shown resilience in away fixtures, maintaining a solid defensive structure. Both teams will aim to capitalize on set-piece opportunities, with CSKA having a slight edge in aerial duels. This match promises to be competitive, with both sides vying for valuable points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Botev Plovdiv goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	3	1
1	12	14	5	2
2	11	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ CSKA Sofia goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	6.0%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
1	11.9%	13.5%	5.3%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.6%	9.5%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
3	5.6%	5.0%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.2%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CSKA Sofia	Draw	Botev Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia	32.7%	4.2%	1.3%
Draw	18.4%	18.5%	8.8%
Botev Plovdiv	2.0%	3.6%	10.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Maccabi Tel Aviv	W	0 - 3
02 Aug	H Dunav Ruse	W	2 - 1
30 Jul	H Qarabag	D	0 - 0
27 Jul	H Botev Plovdiv	W	3 - 2
23 Jul	A Qarabag	D	0 - 0

Botev Plovdiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Cherno More Varna	W	1 - 0
27 Jul	A CSKA Sofia	L	3 - 2
21 Jul	H Lokomotiv Sofia	D	1 - 1
04 Jul	H Etar Veliko Tarnovo	L	1 - 2
01 Jul	H Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	W	4 - 0

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Ludogorets	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9
3	Spartak Varna	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
4	CSKA 1948	3	2	1	0	6	4	+2	7
5	CSKA Sofia	3	2	1	0	5	3	+2	7
6	Botev Plovdiv	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4
7	Arda Kardzhali	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4	1	0	3	2	5	-3	3
9	Lokomotiv Sofia	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2
10	Slavia Sofia	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1	2
11	Botev Vratsa	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2	1
12	Septemvri Sofia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1
13	Cherno More Varna	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1
14	Dunav Ruse	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4	0

Botev Plovdiv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Stanislav Genchev

29 Naumov

27 Hein

82 Mendes

87 Petrov

20 Awany

14 López

10 Chandarov

90 Kalu

7 Iliev

66 Meotti

9 Okoh

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	Daniel Naumov	G
20	Timothy Awany	D
87	Simeon Petrov	D
82	Vladimir Mendes	D
27	Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein	D
10	Asen Chandarov	M
14	Carlos Algarra López	M
66	Carlos Meotti	M
7	Nikola Iliev	M
90	Samuel Kalu	M
9	Chidera Micheal Okoh	F

Substitutes

1	Hristiyan Slavkov	G
15	Bogdan Kostov	D
6	Ivaylo Videv	D
4	Nikola Soldo	D
17	Georgi Milanov	M
77	Lucas Araujo	M
45	Edson Silva	M
23	Dimitar Tonev	M
16	Veliyan Vidolov	M
19	Mauro Rodrigues	M
30	Franklin Mascote	F

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hristo Yanev

21 Lapoukhov

19 Yordanov

14 Ivanov

32 Rodríguez

3 Ouorou

30 Panayotov

6 Jordão

7 Ebong

38 Pereira

10 Zwarts

11 Brahimi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
21	Fedor Lapoukhov	G
3	Tamimou Ouorou	D
32	Facundo Rodríguez	D
14	Teodor Ivanov	D
19	Andrey Yordanov	D
7	Max Ebong	M
6	Bruno Jordão	M
30	Petko Panayotov	M
11	Mohamed Amine Brahimi	M
10	Joël Zwarts	F
38	Léo Pereira	M

Substitutes

25	Dimitar Evtimov	G
2	Pastor	D
17	Ángelo Martino	D
5	Jean-Philippe Gbamin	D
15	Aleks Tunchev	D
8	Stefano Sensi	M
34	Vasil Kaymakanov	M
94	Isaac Solet	M
99	James Eto'o	M
9	Leandro Godoy	F
28	Ioannis Pittas	F