Leon vs Atlas Prediction
AI call
Difficult Atlas win or draw
12%
24%
64%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Leon vs Atlas prediction: Sportiko gives Leon a 12% chance of winning, Atlas 64% and the draw 24%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
2'
Duk
Diber Cambindo
27'
⚽
1–1
Diber Cambindo
Red Card
42'
▮
HT 1–1
⇄
46'
Jorge Rodríguez
⇄ Milton Valenzuela
⚽
1–2
50'
Arturo González
assist: Gustavo Ferrareis
Sebastián Santos
⇄ Jordi Cortizo
55'
⇄
Ismael Díaz
⇄ José Alvarado
56'
⇄
Daniel Arcila
⇄ Edgar Guerra
56'
⇄
⇄
58'
Arturo González
⇄ Luís Esteves
⇄
64'
Edgar Zaldívar
⇄ Victor Rios
Rodrigo Echeverría
Yellow Card
73'
▮
⚽
1–3
73'
Aldo Rocha
Penalty
Rodrigo Echeverría
⇄ Luis Valadez
74'
⇄
Jordi Cortizo
assist: José Alvarado
77'
⚽
2–3
Iván Moreno
82'
⇄
▮
84'
Manuel Capasso
Yellow Card
▮
85'
Aldo Rocha
Yellow Card
⇄
89'
Duk
⇄ Jose Lozano
José Alvarado
Yellow Card
90+9'
▮
FT 2–3
Leon
Match Stats
Atlas
46%
Ball Possession
54%
1.23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
16
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Goal
7
6
Shots off Goal
1
2
Blocked Shots
1
7
Shots insidebox
5
9
Shots outsidebox
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
4
14
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
350
Total passes
423
283
Passes accurate
349
81%
Passes %
83%
-0.05
goals_prevented
-0.05
Leon
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jordi Cortizo M | 7.9 | 46' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (17%) | 2 |
| 5 Sebastián Vegas D | 7.3 | 101' | – | – | – | 39 (32%) | 6 |
| 6 Fernando Beltrán M | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 19 José Alvarado F | 6.9 | 46' | – | 1 | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 23 Oscar García G | 6.7 | 101' | – | – | – | 31 (23%) | – |
| 18 Edgar Guerra M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | 3 |
| 20 Rodrigo Echeverría M | 6.6 | 74' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 4 |
| 13 Daniel Arcila M | 6.6 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 7 Iván Moreno D | 6.5 | 82' | – | – | – | 37 (28%) | 3 |
| 11 Ismael Díaz M | 6.3 | 55' | – | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 29 José Rodríguez M | 6.3 | 101' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 35 Luis Valadez M | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 22 Sebastián Santos M | 6.2 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 30 (23%) | 1 |
| 27 Diber Cambindo F | 6.2 | 42' | 1 | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 3 Juan Guevara D | 6.0 | 101' | – | – | 1 | 48 (41%) | 2 |
| 26 Salvador Reyes D | 5.9 | 101' | – | – | 1 | 31 (23%) | 2 |
Atlas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Duk M | 7.9 | 89' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | 5 |
| 26 Aldo Rocha M | 7.3 | 101' | 1 | – | 1 | 57 (47%) | 3 |
| 58 Arturo González M | 7.3 | 57' | 1 | – | 3 | 26 (22%) | 2 |
| 2 Gustavo Ferrareis D | 6.9 | 101' | – | 1 | – | 37 (33%) | 2 |
| 6 Edgar Zaldívar M | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | 1 |
| 23 Sergio Hernandez M | 6.9 | 101' | – | – | – | 17 (11%) | 3 |
| 16 Milton Valenzuela D | 6.9 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 31 (24%) | 3 |
| 17 Jose Lozano D | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 27 Victor Rios M | 6.6 | 37' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | 1 |
| 22 Antonio Sánchez G | 6.3 | 101' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | – |
| 28 Manuel Capasso D | 6.3 | 101' | – | – | – | 55 (47%) | 2 |
| 5 Jorge Rodríguez D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 14 (9%) | 1 |
| 8 Ryan Mmaee F | 6.2 | 101' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 10 Luís Esteves M | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | – |
| 21 Rodrigo Schlegel D | 6.0 | 101' | – | – | – | 50 (45%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (64%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Atlas win or draw
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Leon
DWLWL
Atlas
DLDLW
Last 2 meetings
Leon · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, León will host Atlas on July 18, 2026. León has shown a strong home performance this season, with a higher average possession rate and shots on goal compared to Atlas. Defensively, León has been solid, conceding fewer goals per match than Atlas, who have struggled with consistency. Both teams will be eager to secure points, making this a critical encounter for their playoff aspirations. Expect a tightly contested match with tactical battles in midfield likely to dictate the outcome.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Leon
D. Arcila
4 gls
D. Cambindo
3 gls
Atlas
Luís Esteves
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leon vs Atlas
1
Leon Wins
0
Draws
1
Atlas Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2026 | Leon | 1 - 0 | Atlas |
| 23 Oct 2025 | Atlas | 2 - 0 | Leon |
Leon — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | A Club Queretaro | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Atletico San Luis | W | 2 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | L | 3 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Club America | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | A Toluca | L | 2 - 0 |
Atlas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Toluca | L | 5 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | H Atlante FC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Club Queretaro | L | 1 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Cruz Azul | W | 0 - 2 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Atlas
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Diego Cocca
22
Sánchez
5
Rodríguez
21
Schlegel
28
Capasso
2
Ferrareis
6
Zaldívar
26
Rocha
23
Hernandez
58
González
11
Duk
8
Mmaee
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Antonio Sánchez | G |
| 2 | Gustavo Ferrareis | D |
| 28 | Manuel Capasso | D |
| 21 | Rodrigo Schlegel | D |
| 5 | Jorge Rodríguez | D |
| 26 | Aldo Rocha | M |
| 6 | Edgar Zaldívar | M |
| 11 | Duk | M |
| 58 | Arturo González | M |
| 23 | Sergio Hernandez | M |
| 8 | Ryan Mmaee | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Milton Valenzuela | D |
| 10 | Luís Esteves | M |
| 27 | Victor Rios | M |
| 17 | Jose Lozano | D |
| 4 | Adrián Mora | D |
| 13 | Gaddi Aguirre | D |
| 192 | Jesús Serrato | M |
| 15 | Paulo Ramírez | D |
| 203 | Jose Martin | F |
| 181 | Luis Hernández | G |
Leon
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Javier Gandolfi
23
García
26
Reyes
5
Vegas
3
Guevara
7
Moreno
29
Rodríguez
11
Díaz
13
Arcila
20
Echeverría
22
Santos
27
Cambindo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Oscar García | G |
| 7 | Iván Moreno | D |
| 3 | Juan Guevara | D |
| 5 | Sebastián Vegas | D |
| 26 | Salvador Reyes | D |
| 29 | José Rodríguez | M |
| 22 | Sebastián Santos | M |
| 20 | Rodrigo Echeverría | M |
| 13 | Daniel Arcila | M |
| 11 | Ismael Díaz | M |
| 27 | Diber Cambindo | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Jordi Cortizo | M |
| 19 | José Alvarado | F |
| 18 | Edgar Guerra | M |
| 1 | Jordan García | G |
| 4 | Bryan Colula | D |
| 25 | Paul Bellón | D |
| 33 | Abraham Villegas Maciel | D |
| 185 | Christopher Mora | D |
| 35 | Luis Valadez | M |
| 6 | Fernando Beltrán | M |