FF Jaro vs Ilves Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 14

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Ilves

Away

AI call Difficult Ilves win or draw

15%

30%

55%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FF Jaro vs Ilves prediction: Sportiko gives FF Jaro a 15% chance of winning, Ilves 55% and the draw 30%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Timeline

27' ⚽ 1–0

38' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 55'

R. Riski ⇄ T. Hytönen

60' ⇄

67' ⇄

⇄ 73'

K. Wallius ⇄ Y. Raap

▮ 79'

Y. Raap Yellow Card

79' ⇄

⇄ 85'

T. Miettunen

⇄ 85'

J. Kilo ⇄ S. Baranov

⚽ 2–1 87'

Y. Raap assist: S. Baranov

▮ 88'

V. Kumpu Yellow Card

Yellow Card

90' ▮

Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 2–1

FF Jaro

Match Stats

Ilves

41% Ball Possession 59%

12 Total Shots 11

7 Shots on Goal 4

2 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 3

2 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 3

2 Fouls 1

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 5

1 Free Kicks 2

FF Jaro

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
H. Sjögrell	8.7	47'	1	1	3	24 (20%)	–
F. Østigård Ness	8.3	47'	–	1	1	23 (21%)	–
R. Vikström	7.8	47'	1	–	5	12 (11%)	–
J. Brunell	7.3	47'	–	–	–	28 (28%)	–
V. Vuorinen	7.2	47'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	2
M. Ogungbaro	7.2	47'	–	–	–	33 (33%)	1
J. Myrevik	6.9	47'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	2
J. Skau	6.9	47'	–	–	1	25 (20%)	–

Ilves

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
F. Krkalić	7.0	47'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
K. Wallius	6.9	47'	–	–	2	23 (21%)	1
Oliver Pettersson	6.8	47'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	1
J. Kanga	6.7	47'	–	–	2	33 (30%)	1
A. Popovitch	6.6	47'	–	–	1	50 (45%)	–
J. Veteli	6.6	47'	–	–	–	60 (53%)	–
J. Kilo	6.5	47'	–	–	2	26 (21%)	–
T. Miettunen	6.5	47'	–	–	–	38 (37%)	1
M. Rale	6.4	47'	–	–	1	44 (40%)	2
R. Riski	6.3	47'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–
V. Kumpu	6.2	47'	–	–	–	57 (51%)	–

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Ilves win or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 17.3%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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FF Jaro

DDLLL

Ilves

WWWLL

Last 2 meetings FF Jaro · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

FF Jaro faces Ilves in an upcoming Veikkausliiga clash. Jaro has shown fluctuating form, with a recent record indicating they struggle defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five outings. In contrast, Ilves has been more consistent, boasting a solid midfield and strong attacking options, averaging 1.5 goals per match during the same period. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as Jaro has been vulnerable in this area. The match should provide an intriguing tactical battle, with Jaro looking to improve their defensive stability against Ilves' attacking prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

55%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ilves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	15	17	13	6	2	1
1	7	13	8	4	1
2	2	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ FF Jaro goals · most likely 0–1 (17.3%)

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Players in form

FF Jaro

No scorer data.

Ilves

T. Hytönen 7 gls

J. Kanga 4 gls

E. Tamminen 3 gls

M. Stjopin 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

30%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

30%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.8%	17.3%	13.2%	6.2%	2.2%
1	6.6%	12.9%	8.1%	3.8%	1.3%
2	2.5%	3.5%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%
3	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FF Jaro	Draw	Ilves
FF Jaro	8.1%	3.3%	1.6%
Draw	6.7%	21.9%	20.6%
Ilves	0.6%	3.2%	33.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FF Jaro vs Ilves

0 FF Jaro Wins

0 Draws

2 Ilves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Sep 2026	Ilves	2 - 0	FF Jaro
17 Jun 2026	Ilves	5 - 0	FF Jaro

FF Jaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Lahti	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H SJK	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Ilves	L	2 - 0
31 Aug	A Mariehamn	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H AC Oulu	L	0 - 1

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Ilves

Coach: Joni Lehtonen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	F. Krkalic	-
24	V. Kumpu	-
16	T. Miettunen	-
3	M. Rale	-
4	O. Pettersson	-
14	A. Popovitch	-
7	J. Veteli	-
13	K. Wallius	-
30	J. Kanga	-
10	R. Riski	-
28	J. Kilo	-

Substitutes

1	O. Virtanen	-
5	S. Vaisanen	-
6	Y. Raap	-
22	O. Multala	-
9	T. Hytonen	-
17	S. Baranov	-

FF Jaro

Coach: Jens Karlsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	S. Vits	-
21	J. Myrevik	-
6	J. Brunell	-
4	M. Ogungbaro	-
19	F. O. Ness	-
8	O. Kass Kawo	-
7	J. Skau	-
22	K. Harden	-
15	R. Vikstrom	-
11	H. Sjogrell	-
91	V. Vuorinen	-

Substitutes

31	A. Finell	-
2	F. Kass	-
16	A. Vidjeskog	-
5	A. Bjonback	-
17	L. Nyman	-
95	E. Mendy	-
24	V. Lofs	-
27	J. Vikstrom	-