Algeria vs Austria Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

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Austria

Away

AI call Austria or draw

20%

31%

49%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Algeria vs Austria prediction: Sportiko gives Algeria a 20% chance of winning, Austria 49% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Match Report

Algeria and Austria played out a breathless 3–3 draw in their World Cup group stage finale. Austria dominated possession at 65% and took the lead through Marko Arnautović in the 28th minute, though the striker had already picked up a yellow card earlier and was withdrawn at half-time alongside two teammates. Algeria levelled on the stroke of half-time via Rafik Belghali to ensure a tense restart.

The second half continued in frantic fashion. Marcel Sabitzer restored Austria's advantage just after the hour, only for Riyad Mahrez to equalise within five minutes. Austria's triple substitution reshuffle appeared to disrupt their rhythm, and Algeria grew into the game following their own changes on 71 minutes. Mahrez then struck deep into stoppage time to put Algeria ahead at 90+3', seemingly sealing the result — but Saša Kalajdžić's dramatic equaliser in the sixth minute of added time rescued a point for Austria.

Our pre-match AI model rated an Austria win as the most likely outcome at 49%, a call that ultimately fell short. Despite Austria's superior xG of 1.59 to Algeria's 1.18, the final scoreline reflected a contest that refused to follow any script.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 11'

Marko Arnautović Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 28'

Marko Arnautović assist: David Alaba

Rafik Belghali

45' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Marko Arnautović ⇄ Michael Gregoritsch

⇄ 46'

Xaver Schlager ⇄ Florian Grillitsch

⇄ 46'

Romano Schmid ⇄ Paul Wanner

⚽ 1–2 55'

Marcel Sabitzer assist: Konrad Laimer

Riyad Mahrez assist: Houssem Aouar

60' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 62'

David Alaba ⇄ Kevin Danso

Jaouen Hadjam ⇄ Rayan Aït-Nouri

71' ⇄

Amine Gouiri ⇄ Zineddine Belaid

71' ⇄

Rafik Belghali ⇄ Samir Sophian Chergui

71' ⇄

Riyad Mahrez assist: Houssem Aouar

90+3' ⚽ 3–2

Houssem Aouar ⇄ Farès Ghedjemis

90+4' ⇄

⇄ 90+5'

Phillipp Mwene ⇄ Saša Kalajdžić

⚽ 3–3 90+6'

Saša Kalajdžić assist: Michael Gregoritsch

FT 3–3

Algeria

Match Stats

Austria

65% Ball Possession 35%

1.59 Expected Goals (xG) 1.18

12 Total Shots 9

5 Shots on Goal 2

5 Shots off Goal 6

2 Blocked Shots 1

6 Shots insidebox 5

6 Shots outsidebox 4

0 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 3

3 Fouls 7

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

754 Total passes 396

705 Passes accurate 344

94% Passes % 87%

0.44 goals_prevented 0.44

Algeria

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Riyad Mahrez M	9.3	96'	2	–	2	50 (46%)	2
17 Rafik Belghali D	7.5	71'	1	–	2	24 (23%)	1
19 Nabil Bentaleb M	7.3	96'	–	–	–	119 (113%)	4
8 Houssem Aouar M	7.3	94'	–	2	–	38 (35%)	2
10 Farès Chaïbi M	7.2	96'	–	–	2	81 (79%)	1
2 Aïssa Mandi D	6.9	96'	–	–	–	117 (114%)	1
22 Ibrahim Maza M	6.9	96'	–	–	3	27 (22%)	–
21 Ramy Bensebaini D	6.7	96'	–	–	1	134 (128%)	–
15 Rayan Aït-Nouri D	6.7	25'	–	–	–	28 (26%)	–
5 Zineddine Belaid D	6.6	25'	–	–	–	37 (37%)	–
13 Jaouen Hadjam D	6.5	71'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	1
26 Samir Sophian Chergui D	6.5	25'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	–
9 Amine Gouiri F	6.3	71'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
16 Oussama Benbot G	5.7	96'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	–
25 Farès Ghedjemis F	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–

Austria

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Marcel Sabitzer M	7.3	96'	1	–	1	23 (19%)	1
7 Marko Arnautović F	7.3	45'	1	–	1	11 (8%)	–
8 David Alaba D	6.9	62'	–	1	–	50 (49%)	1
11 Michael Gregoritsch F	6.9	51'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	1
4 Xaver Schlager M	6.7	45'	–	–	1	22 (20%)	–
10 Florian Grillitsch M	6.7	51'	–	–	–	37 (36%)	–
20 Konrad Laimer M	6.3	96'	–	1	–	21 (16%)	2
6 Nicolas Seiwald M	6.3	96'	–	–	1	25 (21%)	3
1 Alexander Schlager G	6.2	96'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	–
3 Kevin Danso D	6.2	34'	–	–	1	22 (20%)	–
24 Paul Wanner M	6.2	51'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	1
16 Phillipp Mwene D	6.0	95'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	1
18 Romano Schmid M	6.0	45'	–	–	1	19 (15%)	–
15 Philipp Lienhart D	5.9	96'	–	–	1	52 (48%)	–
5 Stefan Posch D	5.6	96'	–	–	–	32 (23%)	–
14 Saša Kalajdžić F	—	1'	–	–	–	1	–

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Austria or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Algeria

LDWL

Austria

LDLWL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 28, 2026, Algeria faces Austria. Algeria, known for their speed and technical play, will rely on key players like Riyad Mahrez to create offensive opportunities. Their defensive resilience, evidenced by a low goals conceded average in qualifying rounds, will be crucial against Austria's potent attack. Austria, featuring a mix of youth and experience, has shown strong form in recent friendlies, with a focus on pressing and quick transitions. The match will likely hinge on Algeria's ability to maintain defensive organization while exploiting any gaps left by Austria's high line. Expect a competitive encounter with tactical adjustments playing a pivotal role.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

20%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

49%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Austria goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	14	11	5	2
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	4	5	3	1	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Algeria goals · most likely 0–1 (14.5%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

31%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

31%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.6%	14.5%	10.9%	4.9%	1.7%
1	7.7%	14.2%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
2	3.6%	4.9%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
3	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Algeria	Draw	Austria
Algeria	11.1%	3.8%	1.8%
Draw	8.8%	21.7%	18.5%
Austria	1.0%	3.8%	29.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Algeria vs Austria

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Algeria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Jul	A Switzerland	L	2 - 0
28 Jun	H Austria	D	3 - 3
23 Jun	A Jordan	W	1 - 2
17 Jun	A Argentina	L	3 - 0

Austria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Jul	A Spain	L	3 - 0
28 Jun	A Algeria	D	3 - 3
22 Jun	A Argentina	L	2 - 0
17 Jun	H Jordan	W	3 - 1
02 Jul	H Türkiye	L	1 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Austria

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Rangnick

1 Schlager

16 Mwene

8 Alaba

15 Lienhart

5 Posch

4 Schlager

6 Seiwald

9 Sabitzer

18 Schmid

20 Laimer

7 Arnautović

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alexander Schlager	G
5	Stefan Posch	D
15	Philipp Lienhart	D
8	David Alaba	D
16	Phillipp Mwene	D
6	Nicolas Seiwald	M
4	Xaver Schlager	M
20	Konrad Laimer	M
18	Romano Schmid	M
9	Marcel Sabitzer	M
7	Marko Arnautović	F

Substitutes

10	Florian Grillitsch	M
24	Paul Wanner	M
11	Michael Gregoritsch	F
3	Kevin Danso	D
12	Florian Wiegele	G
13	Patrick Pentz	G
2	David Affengruber	D
23	Marco Friedl	D
25	Michael Svoboda	D
17	Carney Chukwuemeka	M
19	Dejan Ljubičić	M
22	Alexander Prass	D
26	Alessandro Schöpf	M
21	Patrick Wimmer	M
14	Saša Kalajdžić	F

Algeria

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vladimir Petkovic

16 Benbot

13 Hadjam

21 Bensebaini

2 Mandi

17 Belghali

19 Bentaleb

10 Chaïbi

8 Aouar

22 Maza

7 Mahrez

9 Gouiri

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Oussama Benbot	G
17	Rafik Belghali	D
2	Aïssa Mandi	D
21	Ramy Bensebaini	D
13	Jaouen Hadjam	D
10	Farès Chaïbi	M
19	Nabil Bentaleb	M
7	Riyad Mahrez	M
22	Ibrahim Maza	M
8	Houssem Aouar	M
9	Amine Gouiri	F

Substitutes

1	Melvin Mastil	G
23	Luca Zidane	G
3	Achref Abada	D
4	Mohamed Tougai	D
5	Zineddine Belaid	D
15	Rayan Aït-Nouri	D
26	Samir Sophian Chergui	D
6	Ramiz Zerrouki	M
14	Hicham Boudaoui	M
24	Yassine Titraoui	M
11	Anis Hadj Moussa	F
20	Adil Boulbina	F
12	Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali	F
25	Farès Ghedjemis	F