Newcastle vs Brighton Πρόβλεψη
Πρόβλεψη Newcastle vs Brighton: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Newcastle πιθανότητα νίκης 33%, στην Brighton 42% και στην ισοπαλία 25%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Newcastle came flying out of the blocks at St. James' Park, taking control despite surrendering the lion's share of possession throughout the afternoon. William Osula broke the deadlock in the 12th minute, and Dan Burn doubled the advantage with a goal of his own on 24 minutes, sending the hosts into the break with a comfortable 2–0 lead. Brighton's early injury to Mats Wieffer, who was replaced as early as the 18th minute, disrupted their rhythm at a critical stage.
The visitors showed some resilience after the interval, with Jack Hinshelwood pulling one back on 61 minutes to give Brighton hope. However, Newcastle held firm and Harvey Barnes wrapped up the points deep into stoppage time, sealing a 3–1 victory that reflected the hosts' clinical edge — their expected goals figure of 3.16 comfortably outstripping Brighton's 1.53 despite facing just 32% of possession. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brighton win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that did not hold up on the day.
A feisty contest saw six yellow cards distributed across both sides, with tempers fraying in the closing stages as Newcastle secured all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Newcastle
Match Stats
Newcastle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sven Botman D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 18 William Osula F | 7.6 | 68' | 1 | – | 4 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 23 Jacob Murphy M | 7.5 | 68' | – | 1 | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 11 Harvey Barnes M | 7.5 | 22' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 39 Bruno Guimarães M | 7.3 | 89' | – | 1 | – | 19 (11%) | 1 |
| 33 Dan Burn D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (10%) | 2 |
| 1 Nick Pope G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (9%) | – |
| 3 Lewis Hall D | 7.0 | 22' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 67 Lewis Miley D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 8 Sandro Tonali M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 1 |
| 12 Malick Thiaw D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 9 Yoane Wissa F | 6.9 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 Joelinton M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (20%) | 2 |
| 28 Joe Willock M | 6.2 | 68' | – | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 41 Jacob Ramsey M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
Brighton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jack Hinshelwood M | 7.3 | 88' | 1 | – | 4 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 10 Georginio Rutter F | 7.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 17 Carlos Baleba M | 7.0 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 36 (32%) | 3 |
| 1 B. Verbruggen G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (21%) | – |
| 18 Danny Welbeck F | 6.6 | 80' | – | 1 | 2 | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 19 Charalampos Kostoulas F | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 27 M. Wieffer D | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 21 Olivier Boscagli D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 93 (79%) | 2 |
| 30 Pascal Groß M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (71%) | – |
| 29 Maxim De Cuyper D | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 6 J. van Hecke D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (60%) | 2 |
| 34 Joël Veltman D | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | – |
| 22 Kaoru Mitoma M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (34%) | – |
| 11 Yankuba Minteh M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 5 Lewis Dunk D | 5.9 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (45%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
J. Willock
2 gls
P. Groß
3 gls
C. Kostoulas
2 gls
M. Yalcouyé
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Newcastle vs Brighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Brighton | 2 - 1 | Newcastle |
| 04 May 2025 | Brighton | 1 - 1 | Newcastle |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Newcastle | 0 - 1 | Brighton |
Newcastle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Hull City | W | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Leeds | L | 4 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Millwall | W | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bournemouth | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Tottenham | W | 0 - 2 |
Brighton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Arsenal | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Manchester United | W | 2 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | A Coventry | W | 0 - 5 |
| 05 Sep | H Leeds | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Chelsea | L | 4 - 3 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Newcastle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eddie Howe
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Pope | G |
| 67 | L. Miley | D |
| 12 | M. Thiaw | D |
| 4 | S. Botman | D |
| 33 | D. Burn | D |
| 39 | Bruno Guimaraes | M |
| 8 | S. Tonali | M |
| 23 | J. Murphy | M |
| 28 | J. Willock | M |
| 7 | Joelinton | M |
| 18 | W. Osula | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | A. Ramsdale | G |
| 2 | K. Trippier | D |
| 9 | Y. Wissa | F |
| 10 | A. Gordon | F |
| 41 | J. Ramsey | M |
| 27 | N. Woltemade | F |
| 3 | L. Hall | D |
| 11 | H. Barnes | M |
| 20 | A. Elanga | F |
Brighton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Verbruggen | G |
| 27 | M. Wieffer | D |
| 6 | J. P. van Hecke | D |
| 21 | O. Boscagli | D |
| 24 | F. Kadioglu | D |
| 30 | P. Gross | M |
| 17 | C. Baleba | M |
| 11 | Y. Minteh | M |
| 13 | J. Hinshelwood | M |
| 22 | K. Mitoma | M |
| 18 | D. Welbeck | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | J. Steele | G |
| 34 | J. Veltman | D |
| 5 | L. Dunk | D |
| 3 | Igor | D |
| 33 | M. O'Riley | M |
| 26 | Y. Ayari | M |
| 19 | C. Kostoulas | F |
| 10 | G. Rutter | F |
| 29 | M. De Cuyper | D |