Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Πρόβλεψη

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

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Rayo Vallecano

Away

Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

Πρόβλεψη AI Valencia ή ισοπαλία

48%

29%

23%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Valencia πιθανότητα νίκης 48%, στην Rayo Vallecano 23% και στην ισοπαλία 29%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Valencia and Rayo Vallecano played out a lively 1–1 draw at Mestalla in La Liga's 36th round, with both goals arriving before the break. Florian Lejeune opened the scoring in the 20th minute, but Rayo hit back through Diego López on 40 minutes to level things up heading into half-time. An early yellow card for Renzo Saravia, who was subsequently substituted before the interval, added to a disrupted first half for the visitors.

The second period was largely shaped by the substitution boards rather than the scoresheet. Both sides made sweeping changes around the hour mark — Rayo brought on three players at once, while Valencia responded with a flurry of their own, including Hugo Duro, Pepelu, and Javier Guerra. Despite Valencia enjoying 53% possession and generating 12 total shots to Rayo's six, neither side could find a winner, with Rayo's expected goals figure of 1.16 actually edging Valencia's 0.76.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Valencia win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that ultimately fell short as the points were shared.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Renzo Saravia Yellow Card

6' ▮

⚽ 0–1 20'

Florian Lejeune assist: Gerard Gumbau

Renzo Saravia ⇄ Unai Núñez

32' ⇄

Diego López assist: Javier Guerra

40' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

▮ 56'

Randy Nteka Yellow Card

⇄ 60'

Randy Nteka ⇄ Alemão

⇄ 60'

Fran Pérez ⇄ Jorge de Frutos

⇄ 60'

Óscar Valentín ⇄ Pathé Ismaël Ciss

Hugo Duro ⇄ Umar Sadiq

61' ⇄

Pepelu ⇄ Filip Ugrinić

61' ⇄

Javier Guerra ⇄ Largie Ramazani

61' ⇄

José Luis Gayà ⇄ Jesús Vázquez

63' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Gerard Gumbau ⇄ Unai López

⇄ 73'

Iván Balliu ⇄ Andrei Rațiu

FT 1–1

Valencia

Match Stats

Rayo Vallecano

53% Ball Possession 47%

0.76 Expected Goals (xG) 1.16

12 Total Shots 6

3 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 1

5 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 5

6 Shots outsidebox 1

5 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 20

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

439 Total passes 404

349 Passes accurate 313

79% Passes % 77%

-0.65 goals_prevented -0.65

Valencia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Diego López M	7.9	90'	1	–	1	42 (32%)	2
4 Unai Núñez D	7.3	58'	–	–	–	47 (39%)	3
8 Javier Guerra F	7.3	61'	–	1	4	22 (18%)	1
14 José Luis Gayà D	7.2	63'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	2
5 César Tárrega D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	31 (23%)	3
2 Guido Rodríguez M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	1
21 Jesús Vázquez D	7.0	27'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	1
24 Eray Cömert D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	62 (49%)	2
1 Stole Dimitrievski G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	30 (22%)	–
11 Luis Rioja M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (17%)	2
18 Pepelu M	6.9	61'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	–
23 Filip Ugrinić M	6.7	29'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	–
17 Largie Ramazani F	6.5	29'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
6 Umar Sadiq F	6.3	29'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
9 Hugo Duro F	5.9	61'	–	–	–	10 (4%)	–
20 Renzo Saravia D	5.6	32'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	1

Rayo Vallecano

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Florian Lejeune D	7.9	90'	1	–	1	57 (43%)	2
15 Gerard Gumbau M	7.9	67'	–	1	–	33 (29%)	6
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M	7.5	30'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	2
22 Pacha M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	35 (22%)	2
32 Nobel Mendy D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	39 (35%)	2
13 Augusto Batalla G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	45 (27%)	–
17 Unai López M	6.7	23'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	1
2 Andrei Rațiu D	6.6	17'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
20 Iván Balliu D	6.6	73'	–	–	–	32 (25%)	2
3 Josep Chavarría D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	2
23 Óscar Valentín M	6.3	60'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	1
9 Alemão F	6.3	30'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
4 Pedro Díaz M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	26 (21%)	1
19 Jorge de Frutos F	6.2	30'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
21 Fran Pérez M	6.2	60'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	–
11 Randy Nteka F	5.3	60'	–	–	2	10 (6%)	–

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

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Valencia ή ισοπαλία

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Valencia

LWLLL

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Last 3 meetings Valencia · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In their upcoming La Liga clash, Valencia hosts Rayo Vallecano on May 13, 2026. Valencia has shown a solid home record this season, with a win rate of approximately 60% at Estadio de Mestalla, leveraging a high expected goals (xG) per match. Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, displays resilience on the road, with a competitive defense but struggles against teams in the top half of the table. Key players to watch include Valencia's top scorer, who is pivotal in finishing chances, against Rayo's effective counter-attack strategy. The match could hinge on Valencia's ability to exploit home advantage, while Rayo will seek to capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rayo Vallecano goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	10	4	1
1	16	13	5	1
2	10	8	3	1
3	4	4	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Valencia goals · most likely 1–0 (15.6%)

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Players in form

Valencia

No scorer data.

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

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Head to Head: Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano

0 Valencia Wins

2 Draws

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Dec 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Valencia
19 Apr 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Valencia
07 Dec 2024	Valencia	0 - 1	Rayo Vallecano

Δες όλες τις 10 αναμετρήσεις — Premium

Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Alaves	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Sevilla	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Barcelona	L	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	3 - 1

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3