Shelbourne vs Ajax Πρόβλεψη

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Shelbourne

Home

2 : 2

HT 1 - 2

1ος αγώνας 1-3 · Συνολικό σκορ 3-5

Ajax

Away

Πρόβλεψη AI Νίκη Ajax

14%

78%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Shelbourne vs Ajax: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Shelbourne πιθανότητα νίκης 7%, στην Ajax 78% και στην ισοπαλία 14%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 13 Aug 2026, 20:43.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%
Under 3.5 Γκολ 70%

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Match Report

Shelbourne produced a remarkable comeback to hold Ajax to a 2–2 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, despite the Dutch side dominating possession with 72% of the ball. Ajax made a fast start, with Julian Brandt opening the scoring in the 20th minute before Rodrigo Freitas levelled almost immediately. Anton Gaaei then put Ajax ahead again on 39 minutes, leaving Shelbourne with work to do at the break.

The second half saw both sides make multiple changes, and Ajax had a goal ruled out for offside through Milan Mbeng on 65 minutes in a key VAR decision. Shelbourne continued to press, and substitute Sean Moore delivered the equaliser on 85 minutes to send the home crowd into raptures.

The draw was a significant upset — our pre-match AI model had rated an Ajax win as most likely at 78%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. Shelbourne finished with 18 total shots to Ajax's 12, and 11 corners to four, reflecting a determined home performance that earned them a hard-fought point.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 20'

Julian Brandt assist: Jorthy Mokio

▮ 23'

Aaron Bouwman Yellow Card

Rodrigo Freitas assist: Evan Caffrey

24' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 25'

Marcos Leonardo Yellow Card

Rodrigo Freitas Yellow Card

27' ▮

⚽ 1–2 39'

Anton Gaaei

HT 1–2

⇄ 46'

Daley Blind ⇄ Youri Baas

⇄ 57'

Julian Brandt ⇄ Abdellah Ouazane

⇄ 57'

Marcos Leonardo ⇄ Tolu Arokodare

Sam Bone ⇄ Sean Gannon

60' ⇄

Milan Mbeng Goal Disallowed - offside

65' 🖵

⇄ 69'

Owen Wijndal ⇄ Caio Henrique

Jonathan Lunney Yellow Card

70' ▮

⇄ 70'

Maher Carrizo ⇄ Dies Janse

Rodrigo Freitas ⇄ Daniel Ring

72' ⇄

Jonathan Lunney ⇄ James Roche

72' ⇄

James Roche Yellow Card

75' ▮

Milan Mbeng ⇄ Sean Moore

81' ⇄

James Norris ⇄ Will Jarvis

81' ⇄

Sean Moore assist: Evan Caffrey

85' ⚽ 2–2

Sean Gannon Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 2–2

Shelbourne

Match Stats

Ajax

28% Ball Possession 72%

Expected Goals (xG)

12 Total Shots 18

5 Shots on Goal 7

5 Shots off Goal 6

2 Blocked Shots 5

7 Shots insidebox 8

5 Shots outsidebox 10

4 Corner Kicks 11

6 Offsides 0

10 Fouls 12

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

256 Total passes 674

205 Passes accurate 618

80% Passes % 92%

goals_prevented

Shelbourne

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Sean Moore D	7.7	13'	1	–	1	1 (1%)	–
20 Rodrigo Freitas F	7.3	72'	1	–	1	9 (8%)	1
16 Odhran Casey D	7.2	94'	–	–	1	30 (28%)	3
23 Kerr McInroy M	7.2	94'	–	–	4	26 (19%)	4
27 Evan Caffrey M	6.9	94'	–	2	2	15 (11%)	–
2 Sean Gannon D	6.7	34'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	2
36 Will Jarvis M	6.7	13'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
15 Sam Bone D	6.5	60'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	1
4 Kameron Ledwidge D	6.5	94'	–	–	–	40 (30%)	2
25 Milan Mbeng M	6.5	81'	–	–	1	13 (10%)	1
18 James Norris M	6.5	81'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	1
44 Daniel Ring F	6.5	22'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
6 Jonathan Lunney M	6.3	72'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	–
17 Daniel Kelly F	6.3	94'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
55 James Roche D	6.2	22'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	1
19 Eddie Beach G	5.9	94'	–	–	–	18 (10%)	–

Ajax

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Anton Gaaei D	8.5	94'	1	–	2	59 (55%)	3
6 Youri Regeer M	7.9	94'	–	–	1	77 (75%)	6
26 Maarten Paes G	7.2	94'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	–
30 Aaron Bouwman D	6.9	94'	–	–	–	79 (77%)	5
20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F	6.9	94'	–	–	–	48 (43%)	2
8 Julian Brandt M	6.9	57'	1	–	1	38 (32%)	1
17 Daley Blind D	6.6	45'	–	–	–	72 (68%)	–
15 Youri Baas D	6.6	49'	–	–	–	47 (44%)	–
12 Caio Henrique D	6.5	25'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
7 Maher Carrizo F	6.3	70'	–	–	2	31 (26%)	–
24 Jorthy Mokio M	6.3	94'	–	1	1	59 (54%)	1
5 Owen Wijndal D	6.2	69'	–	–	2	76 (70%)	–
68 Abdellah Ouazane M	6.2	37'	–	–	2	17 (14%)	–
38 Marcos Leonardo F	6.2	57'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
36 Dies Janse D	6.2	24'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
99 Tolu Arokodare F	5.9	37'	–	–	2	7 (4%)	–

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Confidence High (78%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας

Νίκη Ajax

Most likely score

0:2 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Shelbourne

WLLDD

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 1 meetings Shelbourne · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	11	13	9	5	2
1	3	11	10	7	4	1
2	2	3	4	2	1	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Shelbourne goals · most likely 0–2 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Shelbourne

No scorer data.

Ajax

O. Gloukh 4 gls

D. Klaassen 4 gls

T. Arokodare 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

78%

Draw

14%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

78%

Draw

14%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

86% Away (No Draw) 14% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	11.4%	13.2%	9.1%	4.7%
1	3.3%	10.6%	9.7%	6.8%	3.5%
2	1.7%	3.5%	3.6%	2.5%	1.3%
3	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shelbourne	Draw	Ajax
Shelbourne	5.3%	2.4%	1.7%
Draw	5.3%	13.8%	17.9%
Ajax	1.0%	3.9%	48.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shelbourne vs Ajax

0 Shelbourne Wins

0 Draws

1 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	Ajax	3 - 1	Shelbourne

Shelbourne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Dundalk	W	2 - 3
14 Sep	H Drogheda United	L	1 - 2
11 Sep	H Derry City	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	A Shamrock Rovers	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	A Galway United	D	1 - 1

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ajax

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Michel

26 Paes

5 Wijndal

17 Blind

30 Bouwman

3 Gaaei

24 Mokio

6 Regeer

8 Brandt

20 Edvardsen

38 Leonardo

7 Carrizo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
26	Maarten Paes	G
3	Anton Gaaei	D
30	Aaron Bouwman	D
17	Daley Blind	D
5	Owen Wijndal	D
8	Julian Brandt	M
6	Youri Regeer	M
24	Jorthy Mokio	M
7	Maher Carrizo	F
38	Marcos Leonardo	F
20	Oliver Valaker Edvardsen	F

Substitutes

15	Youri Baas	D
68	Abdellah Ouazane	M
99	Tolu Arokodare	F
12	Caio Henrique	D
36	Dies Janse	D
1	Marc-André Ter Stegen	G
22	Joeri Heerkens	G
2	Lucas Rosa	D
10	Oscar Gloukh	M
18	Davy Klaassen	M
9	Kasper Dolberg	F
11	Mika Godts	F

Shelbourne

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Lorcan Fitzgerald

19 Beach

4 Ledwidge

16 Casey

15 Bone

18 Norris

23 McInroy

6 Lunney

27 Caffrey

25 Mbeng

20 Freitas

17 Kelly

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
19	Eddie Beach	G
15	Sam Bone	D
16	Odhran Casey	D
4	Kameron Ledwidge	D
25	Milan Mbeng	M
27	Evan Caffrey	M
6	Jonathan Lunney	M
23	Kerr McInroy	M
18	James Norris	M
17	Daniel Kelly	F
20	Rodrigo Freitas	F

Substitutes

2	Sean Gannon	D
55	James Roche	D
44	Daniel Ring	F
22	Sean Moore	D
36	Will Jarvis	M
13	Murray Johnson	G
60	Killian Ryan	M
56	Joey Ikala Wuna	F