Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 Πρόβλεψη
Πρόβλεψη Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Auxerre πιθανότητα νίκης 31%, στην Stade Brestois 29 41% και στην ισοπαλία 28%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 20 Sep 2026, 14:52.
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Match Report
Auxerre came from behind to claim a 2–1 victory over Stade Brestois in Ligue 1, with the decisive goal arriving via an own goal deep in the second half. Brest had taken the lead through Pathé Mboup on 23 minutes and appeared well-placed to hold on at the break, with the visitors controlling possession and generating the greater volume of chances throughout.
The game turned almost immediately after half-time when Cameron Archer levelled for Auxerre just seconds into the second period. Despite Brest continuing to dominate on the ball — finishing with 52% possession, eight corner kicks, and four shots on target — it was the hosts who found the winning goal when Raphaël Le Guen turned the ball into his own net on 83 minutes.
Auxerre's victory was built on resilience rather than dominance, managing only two shots on target across the entire match. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brest win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that ultimately did not come to pass.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Auxerre
Match Stats
Auxerre
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Cameron Archer F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 10 Danny Namaso F | 7.4 | 87' | – | 1 | 2 | 32 (28%) | 1 |
| 8 Naouirou Ahamada M | 7.1 | 44' | – | – | 3 | 25 (24%) | 1 |
| 46 Arthur Piedfort M | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 22 Fredrik Oppegård M | 6.6 | 86' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | – |
| 21 Romain Faivre M | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 92 Clement Akpa D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (42%) | – |
| 4 Axel Tuanzebe D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (39%) | 1 |
| 3 Remy Labeau Lascary F | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 5 Kévin Danois M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (53%) | 4 |
| 17 P. Ekwah M | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 27 Lamine Sy M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 23 Mamadou Diop G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (11%) | – |
| 15 Christ Makosso D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | – |
| 32 Rayan Mandengue D | 5.9 | 4' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Pathé Mboup M | 7.3 | 78' | 1 | – | 3 | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 4 Gautier Lloris D | 7.3 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 42 (36%) | 1 |
| 13 Joris Chotard M | 7.0 | 86' | – | 1 | 2 | 41 (30%) | 1 |
| 2 Bradley Locko D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (35%) | 4 |
| 8 Hugo Magnetti M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (35%) | 6 |
| 1 Egil Selvik G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (27%) | – |
| 19 Ludovic Ajorque F | 6.5 | 86' | – | – | – | 21 (13%) | 1 |
| 17 Mama Baldé F | 6.4 | 22' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 71 Raphaël Le Guen D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (53%) | 2 |
| 23 Kamory Doumbia M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 10 G. Versini M | 6.2 | 68' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 29 Lucas Tousart M | 6.1 | 12' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 7 Joseph Nonge M | 6.1 | 4' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 39 D. N´Guessan F | 5.9 | 12' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 32 Mathis Lainé M | 5.8 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 70 Kenny Lala D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (28%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Late goal makes it 2-1! Auxerre win probability: 91.2%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 17.2%.
Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 66.6%. Late goal chance: 37.4%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 41.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 0-1. Stade Brestois 29 leads. Win probability: 73.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.4%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Stade Brestois 29 win: 70.7%. BTTS: 62%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
C. Archer
3 gls
K. Doumbia
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Auxerre | 3 - 0 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 | 2 - 0 | Auxerre |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 | 2 - 2 | Auxerre |
Auxerre — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Stade Brestois 29 | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Nice | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | A Lyon | L | 3 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Angers | L | 1 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | A Lens | L | 5 - 2 |
Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Toulouse | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Le Mans | D | 2 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Stade Brestois 29
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Selvik | G |
| 70 | K. Lala | D |
| 71 | R. Le Guen | D |
| 4 | G. Lloris | D |
| 2 | B. Locko | D |
| 13 | J. Chotard | M |
| 8 | H. Magnetti | M |
| 10 | G. Versini | M |
| 23 | K. Doumbia | M |
| 9 | P. Mboup | M |
| 19 | L. Ajorque | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | D. N´Guessan | F |
| 7 | J. Nonge Boende | M |
| 30 | M. Patouillet | G |
| 29 | L. Tousart | M |
| 20 | L. Zogbe | D |
| 32 | L. C. Laine M. | M |
| 21 | Ibrahim Yayiya Kante | F |
| 18 | J. Bourgault | D |
| 17 | Mama Baldé | F |
Auxerre
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: W. Still
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | M. Diop | G |
| 15 | C. Makosso | D |
| 4 | A. Tuanzebe | D |
| 92 | C. Akpa | D |
| 27 | L. Sy | M |
| 46 | A. Piedfort | M |
| 5 | K. Danois | M |
| 22 | F. Oppegård | M |
| 10 | D. Namaso | F |
| 9 | C. Archer | F |
| 3 | R. Labeau Lascary | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | N. Ahamada | M |
| 20 | S. Diomandé | D |
| 34 | L. Dioubate | M |
| 17 | P. Ekwah | M |
| 21 | R. Faivre | M |
| 93 | Sékou Fofana | D |
| 35 | E. Legros | D |
| 32 | R. Mandengue | D |
| 1 | P. Nardi | G |