Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Πρόβλεψη

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
Πρόβλεψη AI Rayo Vallecano ή ισοπαλία
42%
29%
29%
Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Rayo Vallecano πιθανότητα νίκης 42%, στην Espanyol 29% και στην ισοπαλία 29%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 15 Sep 2026, 19:01.

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  • Πάνω από 1.5 Γκολ 76%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
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Match Report

Rayo Vallecano secured a comfortable home victory over Espanyol, racing into a commanding 2–0 lead inside the first half hour. Álvaro García opened the scoring in just the third minute, and Espanyol's own defender Adrià Pedrosa compounded the visitors' misery with an own goal on 26 minutes, leaving the hosts firmly in control at the break.

Espanyol made a triple substitution at half-time in an attempt to turn the tide, and Roberto Fernández gave them a lifeline nine minutes into the second half, pulling one back on 54 minutes. However, Rayo held firm despite Espanyol's 54% possession, limiting them to just two shots on target across the entire match. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rayo win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct.

The closing stages were ill-tempered, with yellow cards distributed freely to players on both sides. The evening ended on a sour note for Espanyol as Omar El Hilali was dismissed in stoppage time. Rayo's clinical early burst ultimately proved the difference, with their five shots on goal doing far more damage than Espanyol's greater share of possession suggested.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Álvaro García
3' 1–0
Adrià Pedrosa assist: Álvaro García
26' 2–0
45'
Roger Hinojo ⇄ Marcos Fernández
45'
Rafael Bauzà ⇄ Bryan Zaragoza
45'
Gabriel Moscardo ⇄ Edu Expósito
Unai López Yellow Card
45+2'
HT 2–0
2–1 54'
Roberto Fernández assist: Javier Hernández
Mujaid Sadick ⇄ Óscar Valentín
61'
Unai López ⇄ Gnangoro Bouaré
61'
63'
Marcos Fernández Yellow Card
Georgiy Tsitaishvili Yellow Card
67'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss Yellow Card
70'
74'
Javier Hernández ⇄ Álex Calatrava
Georgiy Tsitaishvili ⇄ Fran Pérez
76'
Sergio Camello ⇄ Alemão
76'
Gnangoro Bouaré Yellow Card
80'
84'
Urko González ⇄ Pol Lozano
Álvaro García ⇄ Iván Balliu
84'
Alemão Yellow Card
90+1'
90+8'
Omar El Hilali Red Card
FT 2–1
Rayo Vallecano

Match Stats

Espanyol
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 7
9 Shots insidebox 12
7 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Corner Kicks 5
0 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
449 Total passes 360
371 Passes accurate 285
12 Free Kicks 10
Rayo Vallecano
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Adrià Pedrosa D 7.8 90' 1 2 28 (23%) 1
18 Álvaro García F 7.6 84' 1 1 1 20 (12%) 1
24 Florian Lejeune D 7.0 90' 1 47 (41%)
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M 6.9 90' 59 (52%) 2
15 Mujaid Sadick D 6.8 61' 55 (53%)
23 Óscar Valentín M 6.7 29' 13 (13%) 3
2 Andrei Rațiu D 6.6 90' 2 37 (28%) 5
8 Unai López M 6.6 61' 1 53 (47%) 1
20 Iván Balliu D 6.5 6' 1 (1%)
21 Fran Pérez F 6.5 14' 7 (7%)
10 Sergio Camello F 6.4 76' 2 22 (18%)
9 Alemão F 6.3 14' 6 (5%) 1
36 Gnangoro Bouaré M 6.3 29' 9 (6%) 1
25 Emil Audero G 6.2 90' 49 (28%)
4 Pedro Díaz M 6.1 90' 3 31 (26%) 1
14 Georgiy Tsitaishvili F 5.9 76' 3 11 (9%)
Espanyol
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Roberto Fernández F 7.8 90' 1 2 18 (10%)
28 Javier Hernández M 7.1 74' 1 3 14 (11%)
15 Bryan Zaragoza F 6.8 44' 2 18 (13%)
5 Clemens Riedel D 6.7 90' 1 48 (41%)
3 Quilindschy Hartman M 6.6 90' 48 (41%) 5
6 Leandro Cabrera D 6.5 90' 1 53 (42%)
8 Edu Expósito M 6.4 44' 3 30 (25%)
18 Marcos Fernández F 6.4 44' 3 9 (5%)
21 Roger Hinojo D 6.3 46' 1 9 (7%) 3
13 Marko Dmitrović G 6.2 90' 25 (20%)
22 Álex Calatrava F 6.2 16' 5 (3%)
4 Urko González M 6.1 84' 1 31 (26%)
10 Pol Lozano M 6.1 6' 7 (7%)
26 Rafael Bauzà M 6.1 46' 1 15 (13%)
20 Gabriel Moscardo M 6.0 46' 1 8 (5%)
23 Omar El Hilali D 5.2 98' 22 (16%) 2
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας
Rayo Vallecano ή ισοπαλία
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Rayo Vallecano
DWLWL
Espanyol
LLWDL
Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Rayo Vallecano faces Espanyol in this La Liga clash on September 16, 2026. Rayo has shown a solid home record with a defensive structure that has limited opponents to an average of 1.2 goals per match at home this season. Meanwhile, Espanyol's away form has been inconsistent, struggling to convert possession into goals, averaging 0.9 goals per game on the road. This matchup could hinge on Rayo's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities while maintaining defensive solidity against Espanyol's counter-attacks.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
29%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano
Sergio Camello 7 gls
Espanyol
Roberto Fernández 6 gls

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins
0 Draws
2 Espanyol Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Espanyol
07 Dec 2025 Espanyol 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
04 Apr 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0 - 4 Espanyol
Δες όλες τις 10 αναμετρήσεις — Premium

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Osasuna D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Espanyol W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Real Madrid L 4 - 1
05 Sep H Racing Santander W 3 - 2
31 Aug A Barcelona L 5 - 2

Espanyol — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Elche L 1 - 3
15 Sep A Rayo Vallecano L 2 - 1
12 Sep A Osasuna W 0 - 2
06 Sep H Sevilla D 1 - 1
29 Aug A Real Sociedad L 2 - 1

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Espanyol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Manolo González
13 Dmitrović
21 Hinojo
6 Cabrera
5 Riedel
23 Hilali
20 Moscardo
4 González
3 Hartman
26 Bauzà
28 Hernandez
9 Fernández

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 M. Dmitrović G
23 O. El Hilali D
5 C. Riedel D
6 L. Cabrera D
21 Roger Hinojo D
4 Urko González M
20 Gabriel Moscardo M
28 Javier Hernandez M
26 Rafel Bauzà M
3 Q. Hartman M
9 Roberto Fernández F

Substitutes

24 T. Dolan F
16 V. Drkušić D
8 Edu Expósito M
18 Marcos Fernández F
1 Ángel Fortuño G
10 Pol Lozano M
32 J. A. Lopez D
11 Pere Milla M
14 Unai Núñez D
31 Llorenç Serred G
15 Bryan Zaragoza F
22 Álex Calatrava F

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Beñat San José
25 Audero
17 Pedrosa
15 Sadick
24 Lejeune
2 Rațiu
8 López
6 Ciss
4 Díaz
18 García
10 Camello
14 Tsitaishvili

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 E. Audero G
2 A. Rațiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
15 Mujaid Sadick D
17 Adrià Pedrosa D
4 Pedro Díaz M
6 P. Ciss M
8 Unai López M
14 G. Tsitaishvili F
10 Sergio Camello F
18 Álvaro García F

Substitutes

37 Rayane Belid F
20 I. Balliu D
36 G. Bouare M
1 Dani Cárdenas G
22 Pelayo Fernández D
3 M. Kumbulla D
30 Adrián Molina G
21 Fran Pérez F
31 M. Roman M
23 Óscar Valentín M
9 Alemão F
26 Marco de las Sías D

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