Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Πρόβλεψη

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Πρόβλεψη AI Atletico Madrid να κερδίσει ή ισοπαλία
65%
22%
12%
Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Atletico Madrid πιθανότητα νίκης 65%, στην Osasuna 12% και στην ισοπαλία 22%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 16 Sep 2026, 18:58.

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Match Report

Atletico Madrid delivered a commanding performance at home, easing past Osasuna 4-0 in La Liga matchday six. Jonathan David broke the deadlock in the 24th minute to give the hosts a deserved half-time lead, with Atletico's dominance already evident in the statistics.

The second half brought further punishment for Osasuna. Kang-in Lee doubled the advantage nine minutes after the restart, before Robin Le Normand added a third in the 63rd minute to put the result beyond doubt. Alex Baena completed the scoring with an 82nd-minute goal, rounding off a thoroughly one-sided afternoon. The match stats underlined Atletico's total control — 68% possession, 27 total shots to Osasuna's three, and eight corner kicks to none for the visitors. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atletico win as the most likely outcome at 65%, a call that proved well-founded.

Osasuna offered virtually nothing going forward, managing just one shot on target throughout the ninety minutes. The result keeps Atletico in strong early-season form, while Osasuna will need to regroup significantly ahead of their next fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jonathan David
24' 1–0
HT 1–0
Ademola Lookman Yellow Card
50'
Kang-in Lee assist: Jonathan David
54' 2–0
59'
Jonathan Dubasin ⇄ Kike Barja
59'
Raúl Moro ⇄ Rubén García
60'
Raúl García de Haro ⇄ Ante Budimir
Robin Le Normand
63' 3–0
Cristian Romero ⇄ Marc Pubill
68'
Jonathan David ⇄ Giuliano Simeone
68'
Ademola Lookman ⇄ Arnau Ortiz
68'
71'
Iñigo Arguibide ⇄ Jon Moncayola
74'
Asier Osambela ⇄ Romain Del Castillo
Alex Baena assist: Johnny Cardoso
82' 4–0
Johnny Cardoso ⇄ Morten Hjulmand
85'
Alejandro Grimaldo ⇄ Dávid Hancko
85'
86'
Rubén García Yellow Card
90+3'
Abel Bretones Yellow Card
FT 4–0
Atletico Madrid

Match Stats

Osasuna
68% Ball Possession 32%
27 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 1
8 Blocked Shots 1
19 Shots insidebox 3
8 Shots outsidebox 0
8 Corner Kicks 0
1 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
656 Total passes 314
580 Passes accurate 232
12 Free Kicks 4
Atletico Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Jonathan David F 8.8 68' 1 1 6 18 (17%)
24 Robin Le Normand D 8.5 90' 1 1 68 (63%) 1
7 Kang-in Lee M 8.2 90' 1 6 52 (40%) 2
10 Alex Baena M 8.2 90' 1 5 51 (41%) 1
22 Alejandro Grimaldo D 8.0 85' 2 54 (49%) 2
21 Cristian Romero D 7.9 68' 2 60 (54%) 3
5 Johnny Cardoso M 7.7 85' 1 1 81 (77%) 4
14 Marcos Llorente D 7.6 90' 62 (59%) 4
18 Marc Pubill D 7.3 22' 1 27 (23%)
6 Koke M 7.2 90' 86 (77%) 5
17 Dávid Hancko D 7.0 5' 9 (7%)
23 Morten Hjulmand M 6.8 5' 11 (10%)
13 Jan Oblak G 6.8 90' 30 (22%)
20 Giuliano Simeone F 6.5 22' 13 (12%)
16 Arnau Ortiz F 6.5 22' 4 (3%)
11 Ademola Lookman F 6.4 68' 3 31 (27%) 1
Osasuna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Aitor Fernández G 6.5 90' 35 (17%)
17 Ante Budimir F 6.4 30' 1
48 Rockson Yeboah D 6.3 90' 32 (28%) 4
22 Flavien Boyomo D 6.3 90' 47 (42%) 1
11 Kike Barja F 6.2 31' 4 (2%) 1
9 Raúl García de Haro F 6.1 60' 1 13 (9%)
18 Raúl Moro M 6.0 59' 1 10 (8%)
7 Jon Moncayola M 5.9 19' 11 (10%) 1
20 Romain Del Castillo M 5.8 16' 6 (6%)
21 Jonathan Dubasin M 5.8 59' 25 (22%)
27 Iñigo Arguibide D 5.6 71' 10 (6%) 1
35 Unai Santos D 5.6 90' 1 42 (31%)
29 Asier Osambela M 5.5 74' 20 (11%) 8
14 Rubén García M 5.4 31' 12 (9%) 2
6 Lucas Torró M 5.4 90' 27 (17%) 1
23 Abel Bretones D 5.0 90' 16 (11%)
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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας
Atletico Madrid να κερδίσει ή ισοπαλία
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Atletico Madrid
WWWLL
Osasuna
DLLLW
Last 3 meetings Atletico Madrid · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Atletico Madrid will face Osasuna in this La Liga clash, with the hosts looking to leverage their strong defensive record. Atletico has averaged 1.8 goals per game this season while conceding just 0.6, showcasing their solid form. Osasuna, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, scoring only 1 goal per match on average. Given Atletico's robust home form and tactical discipline, they are favored to secure a victory in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
65%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
12%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Atletico Madrid
Álex Baena 4 gls
J. David 3 gls
Osasuna
A. Budimir 5 gls

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Head to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna

2 Atletico Madrid Wins
0 Draws
1 Osasuna Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 May 2026 Osasuna 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid
18 Oct 2025 Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Osasuna
15 May 2025 Osasuna 2 - 0 Atletico Madrid
Δες όλες τις 10 αναμετρήσεις — Premium

Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Real Madrid W 2 - 1
16 Sep H Osasuna W 4 - 0
13 Sep A Real Sociedad W 0 - 3
09 Sep A Liverpool L 2 - 1
05 Sep A Athletic Club L 3 - 0

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rayo Vallecano D 1 - 1
16 Sep A Atletico Madrid L 4 - 0
12 Sep H Espanyol L 0 - 2
06 Sep A Alaves L 5 - 2
31 Aug H Getafe W 1 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Atletico Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: D. Simeone
13 Oblak
22 Grimaldo
24 Normand
21 Romero
14 Llorente
10 Baena
5 Cardoso
6 Koke
7 Kang-In
11 Lookman
15 David

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 J. Oblak G
14 Marcos Llorente D
21 C. Romero D
24 Robin Le Normand D
22 Álex Grimaldo D
7 Lee Kang-In M
6 Koke M
5 J. Cardoso M
10 Álex Baena M
15 J. David F
11 A. Lookman F

Substitutes

25 Salvador Esquivel G
1 J. Musso G
18 Marc Pubill D
17 D. Hancko D
27 J. Dominguez D
20 G. Simeone F
23 M. Hjulmand M
3 O. Vargas M
16 Arnau Ortiz F
4 Rodrigo Mendoza M
46 J. Castillo M
30 Dani Martínez D

Osasuna

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis
13 Fernández
23 Bretones
35 Santos
22 Boyomo
48 Yeboah
27 Arguibide
18 Moro
29 Osambela
6 Torró
21 Dubasin
9 García

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Aitor Fernández G
27 Íñigo Arguibide D
48 R. Yeboah D
22 F. Boyomo D
35 U. Santos D
23 Abel Bretones D
21 Jonathan Dubasin M
6 Lucas Torró M
29 Asier Osambela M
18 Raul Moro M
9 Raúl García F

Substitutes

11 Kike Barja F
14 Rubén García M
20 R. Del Castillo M
8 Iker Muñoz M
26 Mauro Echegoyen M
17 A. Budimir F
7 Moncayola M
15 Diego Rico D
24 Catena D
1 Sergio Herrera G
30 Asier Bonel F
31 Rafa Fernández G

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