Tottenham vs Brighton Prognose

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Brighton
20%
24%
56%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Tottenham vs. Brighton Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Tottenham eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 20%, für Brighton 56% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Tottenham and Brighton played out a lively 2–2 draw at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in Premier League matchday 33. Pedro Porro gave Spurs the lead late in the first half, only for Kaoru Mitoma to level matters for Brighton before the break, sending the teams in level at 1–1.

The second half proved equally eventful. Xavi Simons put Brighton ahead in the 77th minute, though he was immediately cautioned following his celebration, before Georginio Rutter sealed what looked like a Brighton victory deep into stoppage time with a 90th-minute finish. However, the final scoreline of 2–2 suggests Tottenham found a late equaliser of their own to deny their visitors all three points. Brighton dominated possession with 58% of the ball throughout, though Spurs registered more shots on target — six to Brighton's three — and posted a higher expected goals figure of 1.09 against 0.82.

The result was a competitive, end-to-end affair shaped by a flurry of substitutions and bookings in the second period. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brighton win as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that looked well-founded for much of the contest before Spurs' late intervention denied them.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

20'
Diego Gómez ⇄ Kaoru Mitoma
Yves Bissouma Yellow Card
34'
37'
M. Wieffer Yellow Card
Pedro Porro assist: Xavi Simons
39' 1–0
1–1 45'
Kaoru Mitoma assist: Pascal Groß
HT 1–1
Randal Kolo Muani ⇄ Mathys Tel
57'
Yves Bissouma ⇄ Archie Gray
57'
Kevin Danso Yellow Card
65'
Rodrigo Bentancur ⇄ João Palhinha
67'
75'
Jack Hinshelwood
75'
Danny Welbeck ⇄ Georginio Rutter
75'
⇄ Maxim De Cuyper
Destiny Udogie ⇄ Djed Spence
76'
Conor Gallagher ⇄ Lucas Bergvall
76'
Xavi Simons assist: Lucas Bergvall
77' 2–1
Xavi Simons Yellow Card
78'
82'
Yasin Ayari ⇄ Charalampos Kostoulas
2–2 90'
Georginio Rutter assist: J. van Hecke
FT 2–2
Tottenham

Match Stats

Brighton
42% Ball Possession 58%
1.09 Expected Goals (xG) 0.82
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
328 Total passes 435
263 Passes accurate 364
80% Passes % 84%
-0.40 goals_prevented -0.40
Tottenham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Xavi Simons F 8.2 90' 1 1 2 27 (23%)
23 Pedro Porro D 7.6 90' 1 2 38 (28%) 2
22 Conor Gallagher M 7.2 76' 1 25 (22%)
19 Dominic Solanke F 7.2 90' 1 18 (14%) 1
15 Lucas Bergvall M 6.9 14' 1 2 (2%) 1
6 João Palhinha M 6.9 23' 1 5 (3%)
30 Rodrigo Bentancur M 6.7 67' 1 35 (30%) 4
11 Mathys Tel F 6.7 33' 9 (8%)
37 M. van de Ven D 6.6 90' 44 (39%) 2
31 Antonín Kinský G 6.5 90' 35 (16%)
13 Destiny Udogie D 6.5 76' 15 (13%) 2
14 Archie Gray M 6.3 33' 1 8 (6%)
39 Randal Kolo Muani F 6.3 57' 1 9 (8%) 1
24 Djed Spence D 6.2 14' 1 1
8 Yves Bissouma M 6.2 57' 24 (22%)
4 Kevin Danso D 5.9 90' 33 (29%)
Brighton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Yankuba Minteh M 7.9 90' 25 (13%) 5
22 Kaoru Mitoma M 7.7 55' 1 1 14 (14%) 2
10 Georginio Rutter F 7.3 15' 1 1 5 (5%) 1
21 Olivier Boscagli D 7.2 90' 76 (65%)
6 J. van Hecke D 7.0 90' 1 1 66 (59%) 3
30 Pascal Groß M 6.9 90' 1 68 (63%) 2
26 Yasin Ayari M 6.5 82' 33 (29%)
25 Diego Gómez M 6.3 20' 4
29 Maxim De Cuyper D 6.3 15' 10 (10%)
18 Danny Welbeck F 6.3 75' 1 11 (8%)
19 Charalampos Kostoulas F 6.3 8' 1 7 (6%)
33 Matt O'Riley M 6.3 15' 6 (6%) 1
1 B. Verbruggen G 6.2 90' 34 (25%)
13 Jack Hinshelwood M 6.2 75' 1 26 (20%)
27 M. Wieffer D 5.9 90' 20 (17%)
24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D 5.6 90' 1 30 (24%)
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Brighton
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Tottenham
LLDDL
Brighton
WWWDL
Last 3 meetings Tottenham · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on April 18, 2026, Tottenham will host Brighton at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Tottenham has historically performed well at home, boasting a strong win rate, while Brighton has shown resilience on the road but struggles against top-tier teams. Key players to watch include Spurs' attacking duo, who have been prolific this season, and Brighton's defense, which has improved but can be vulnerable to pace. The match could hinge on Tottenham's ability to break down Brighton's organized defense, as well as the Seagulls’ counter-attacking potential. Expect a tactical battle with both teams aiming to secure valuable points in the race for European qualification.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Tottenham

No scorer data.

Brighton
P. Groß 3 gls
C. Kostoulas 2 gls
M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

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Head to Head: Tottenham vs Brighton

0 Tottenham Wins
1 Draws
2 Brighton Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Sep 2025 Brighton 2 - 2 Tottenham
25 May 2025 Tottenham 1 - 4 Brighton
06 Oct 2024 Brighton 3 - 2 Tottenham
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Tottenham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Aston Villa L 2 - 3
15 Sep A Liverpool L 3 - 1
12 Sep H Everton D 0 - 0
05 Sep A Nottingham Forest D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Newcastle L 0 - 2

Brighton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Arsenal W 3 - 0
16 Sep A Manchester United W 2 - 3
13 Sep A Coventry W 0 - 5
05 Sep H Leeds D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Chelsea L 4 - 3

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Tottenham

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: R. De Zerbi
31 Kinsky
13 Udogie
37 Ven
4 Danso
23 Porro
8 Bissouma
30 Bentancur
22 Gallagher
7 Simons
19 Solanke
39 Muani

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 A. Kinsky G
23 P. Porro D
4 K. Danso D
37 M. van de Ven D
13 D. Udogie D
22 C. Gallagher M
30 R. Bentancur M
8 Y. Bissouma M
39 R. Kolo Muani F
19 D. Solanke F
7 X. Simons F

Substitutes

40 B. Austin G
6 J. Palhinha M
3 R. Dragusin D
11 M. Tel F
14 A. Gray M
10 J. Maddison M
9 Richarlison F
24 D. Spence D
15 L. Bergvall M

Brighton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: F. Hürzeler
1 Verbruggen
24 Kadioglu
21 Boscagli
6 Hecke
27 Wieffer
30 Gross
26 Ayari
11 Minteh
13 Hinshelwood
25 Gomez
18 Welbeck

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Verbruggen G
27 M. Wieffer D
6 J. P. van Hecke D
21 O. Boscagli D
24 F. Kadioglu D
26 Y. Ayari M
30 P. Gross M
25 D. Gomez M
13 J. Hinshelwood M
11 Y. Minteh M
18 D. Welbeck F

Substitutes

23 J. Steele G
34 J. Veltman D
3 Igor D
33 M. O'Riley M
22 K. Mitoma M
17 C. Baleba M
19 C. Kostoulas F
10 G. Rutter F
29 M. De Cuyper D

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