Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc Prognose

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

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Gremio

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3 : 1

HT 2 - 1

Chapecoense-sc

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Gremio

61%

25%

14%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Gremio vs. Chapecoense-sc Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Gremio eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 61%, für Chapecoense-sc 14% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 30 Aug 2026, 23:28.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'

Maurício Garcez assist: Giovanni Augusto

Gustavo Martins assist: José Enamorado

18' ⚽ 1–1

Cristian Pavón

28' ⚽ 2–1

Marlon Yellow Card

40' ▮

Walter Kannemann Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 2–1

Marlon ⇄ Pedro Gabriel

46' ⇄

José Enamorado ⇄ João Pedro

52' ⇄

Martin Braithwaite ⇄ Carlos Vinícius

52' ⇄

▮ 55'

Eduardo Doma Yellow Card

Gustavo Martins assist: Cristian Pavón

56' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 61'

Maurício Garcez ⇄ Franco Rossi

⇄ 61'

Bruno Matias ⇄ Miguel Carvalho

Danilo Barbosa ⇄ Zortéa

65' ⇄

▮ 71'

Bruno Pacheco Yellow Card

⇄ 75'

Bruno Pacheco ⇄ Fernando

Francis Amuzu ⇄ Tetê

76' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Giovanni Augusto ⇄ Ênio

⇄ 80'

Marcinho ⇄ Dylan Borrero

Tetê Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 3–1

Gremio

Match Stats

Chapecoense-sc

51% Ball Possession 49%

0.53 Expected Goals (xG) 2.73

11 Total Shots 30

4 Shots on Goal 8

2 Shots off Goal 18

5 Blocked Shots 4

5 Shots insidebox 15

6 Shots outsidebox 15

5 Corner Kicks 7

Offsides

10 Fouls 8

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

6 Goalkeeper Saves 1

497 Total passes 457

441 Passes accurate 415

89% Passes % 91%

-1.17 goals_prevented -1.17

Gremio

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Weverton G	9.2	91'	–	–	–	37 (26%)	–
6 Gustavo Martins D	8.6	91'	2	–	2	59 (56%)	1
82 Wallace D	8.3	91'	–	–	–	58 (56%)	1
7 Cristian Pavón D	8.2	91'	1	1	1	52 (45%)	2
9 Francis Amuzu M	6.9	76'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	–
50 Zortéa M	6.9	26'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	2
11 Tetê F	6.7	15'	–	–	–	13 (13%)	–
23 Marlon D	6.6	45'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	2
18 João Pedro D	6.6	39'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
20 Mathias Villasanti M	6.5	91'	–	–	–	47 (42%)	–
22 Martin Braithwaite F	6.5	52'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
95 Carlos Vinícius F	6.3	39'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
54 Pedro Gabriel D	6.3	46'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
99 José Enamorado M	6.3	52'	–	1	–	16 (14%)	1
10 Filip Krovinović M	6.3	91'	–	–	2	70 (65%)	1
15 Danilo Barbosa M	6.3	65'	–	–	–	35 (32%)	–

Chapecoense-sc

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Giovanni Augusto M	7.3	80'	–	1	2	62 (53%)	–
31 Maurício Garcez M	7.3	61'	1	–	4	19 (16%)	1
9 Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira F	7.2	91'	–	–	5	13 (9%)	1
88 Yago Felipe M	6.9	91'	–	–	2	71 (67%)	5
97 Ênio M	6.7	11'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	–
77 Dylan Borrero M	6.7	11'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
16 Bruno Matias M	6.6	61'	–	–	2	36 (33%)	2
29 Franco Rossi F	6.6	30'	–	–	3	6 (6%)	–
12 Fernando D	6.3	16'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
7 Marcinho M	6.3	80'	–	–	1	32 (27%)	–
21 Kauan D	6.3	91'	–	–	–	53 (53%)	1
3 Eduardo Doma D	6.2	91'	–	–	2	47 (42%)	–
91 Bruno Pacheco D	6.2	75'	–	–	1	26 (23%)	2
80 Miguel Carvalho M	6.2	30'	–	–	2	24 (23%)	–
98 Anderson G	5.9	91'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
5 Heitor D	5.9	91'	–	–	1	40 (38%)	3

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Gremio

Most likely score

1:0 · 19.4%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Gremio

DLLLW

Chapecoense-sc

DLWLW

Last 3 meetings Gremio · 2W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

14%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chapecoense-sc goals →

	0	1	2
0	15	5	2
1	19	11	2
2	16	8	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	1
5	1

↑ Gremio goals · most likely 1–0 (19.4%)

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Players in form

Gremio

Carlos Vinícius 10 gls

Chapecoense-sc

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

28%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.9%	5.2%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
1	19.4%	11.2%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
2	15.7%	7.5%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
3	8.0%	3.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.0%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

46%

35%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gremio	Draw	Chapecoense-sc
Gremio	35.4%	2.5%	0.4%
Draw	25.7%	21.0%	5.2%
Chapecoense-sc	1.7%	2.8%	5.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

62%

30%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc

2 Gremio Wins

1 Draws

0 Chapecoense-sc Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Mar 2026	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	Gremio
20 Nov 2021	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 3	Gremio
09 Aug 2021	Gremio	2 - 1	Chapecoense-sc

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Gremio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0
16 Sep	A Botafogo	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Vitoria	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Internacional	W	3 - 1

Chapecoense-sc — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atletico-MG	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Internacional	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Corinthians	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Gremio	L	3 - 1
23 Aug	H Sao Paulo	W	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Gremio

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Luis Castro

1 Weverton

23 Marlon

82 Wallace

6 Martins

7 Pavón

15 Barbosa

9 Amuzu

10 Krovinović

20 Villasanti

99 Enamorado

22 Braithwaite

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Weverton	G
7	Cristian Pavón	D
6	Gustavo Martins	D
82	Wallace	D
23	Marlon	D
15	Danilo Barbosa	M
99	José Enamorado	M
20	Mathias Villasanti	M
10	Filip Krovinović	M
9	Francis Amuzu	M
22	Martin Braithwaite	F

Substitutes

12	Gabriel Grando	G
4	Walter Kannemann	D
54	Pedro Gabriel	D
3	Wagner Leonardo	D
18	João Pedro	D
65	Riquelme Freitas	M
50	Zortéa	M
40	Jefinho	M
95	Carlos Vinícius	F
30	Matheus Nascimento	F
11	Tetê	F

Chapecoense-sc

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Lacerda Rafael

98 Anderson

91 Pacheco

3 Doma

21 Kauan

5 Heitor

16 Matias

88 Felipe

31 Garcez

10 Augusto

7 Marcinho

9 Eduardo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
98	Anderson	G
5	Heitor	D
21	Kauan	D
3	Eduardo Doma	D
91	Bruno Pacheco	D
88	Yago Felipe	M
16	Bruno Matias	M
7	Marcinho	M
10	Giovanni Augusto	M
31	Maurício Garcez	M
9	Tulio Eduardo	F

Substitutes

30	Matheus	G
12	Fernando	D
15	Rafael Thyere	D
19	David Antunes	M
70	Rubens Tadeu	M
80	Miguel Carvalho	M
26	Everton	D
97	Ênio	M
77	Dylan Borrero	M
29	Franco Rossi	F
44	Luciano	D