Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense Prognose

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Post on X

Fluminense

Away

KI-Tipp Atletico Paranaense oder Unentschieden

44%

30%

26%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Atletico Paranaense vs. Fluminense Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Atletico Paranaense eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 44%, für Fluminense 26% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 30 Aug 2026, 16:04.

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Heimteam trifft 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Über 1,5 Tore 71%

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Timeline

Leozinho assist: Steven Mendoza

35' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 38'

Hulk

▮ 45+5'

Ganso Yellow Card

HT 1–1

Gastón Benavídez

48' ⚽ 2–1

Gastón Benavídez Yellow Card

49' ▮

⇄ 59'

Yeferson Soteldo ⇄ Kevin Serna

⇄ 60'

Ganso ⇄ Luciano Acosta

⚽ 2–2 65'

Agustín Canobbio

Leozinho ⇄ Dudu

71' ⇄

⇄ Kerwin Calderón Vargas

72' ⇄

▮ 76'

Nonato Yellow Card

⚽ 2–3 78'

Ignácio assist: Hulk

Kevin Viveros Yellow Card

80' ▮

Luiz Gustavo ⇄ Bruno Zapelli

82' ⇄

Juan Felipe Aguirre ⇄ Jorge Rivaldo

83' ⇄

Kevin Viveros Goal Disallowed - offside

87' 🖵

⇄ 90+1'

Agustín Canobbio ⇄ Jefferson Savarino

⇄ 90+1'

Hulk ⇄ Jemmes

Kevin Viveros Penalty

90+5' ⚽ 3–3

FT 3–3

Atletico Paranaense

Match Stats

Fluminense

47% Ball Possession 53%

1.11 Expected Goals (xG) 0.57

17 Total Shots 12

8 Shots on Goal 6

3 Shots off Goal 3

6 Blocked Shots 3

13 Shots insidebox 7

4 Shots outsidebox 5

8 Corner Kicks 3

4 Offsides 0

14 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

432 Total passes 511

382 Passes accurate 445

88% Passes % 87%

0.86 goals_prevented 0.86

Atletico Paranaense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Leozinho F	8.7	71'	1	–	2	38 (30%)	–
29 Gastón Benavídez M	7.9	95'	1	–	1	40 (33%)	3
7 Steven Mendoza M	7.2	95'	–	1	–	41 (33%)	2
18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas F	6.9	24'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
9 Kevin Viveros F	6.9	95'	1	–	4	12 (7%)	1
10 Bruno Zapelli M	6.9	12'	–	–	1	12 (12%)	–
19 Jorge Rivaldo F	6.7	12'	–	–	1	–	–
16 Jádson M	6.6	95'	–	–	–	44 (42%)	2
8 João Cruz F	6.6	71'	–	–	–	27 (25%)	–
53 Dudu M	6.6	24'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
4 Arthur Dias D	6.3	95'	–	–	1	54 (50%)	–
14 Luiz Gustavo M	6.3	83'	–	–	–	50 (48%)	1
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D	6.2	83'	–	–	1	38 (36%)	–
25 Dantas D	6.0	95'	–	–	–	47 (43%)	2
23 Santos G	5.3	95'	–	–	–	14 (10%)	–

Fluminense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Hulk F	8.3	90'	1	1	4	23 (18%)	–
17 Agustín Canobbio M	7.7	89'	1	–	3	20 (17%)	–
1 Fábio G	7.6	95'	–	–	–	15 (9%)	–
4 Ignácio D	7.5	95'	1	–	1	56 (50%)	4
16 Nonato M	7.5	95'	–	–	–	61 (57%)	3
8 Martinelli M	6.9	95'	–	–	–	69 (65%)	1
32 Luciano Acosta M	6.7	36'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	2
6 Renê D	6.5	95'	–	–	–	74 (64%)	1
90 Kevin Serna F	6.5	36'	–	–	–	11 (6%)	1
10 Ganso M	6.3	59'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1
29 Julián Millán D	6.2	95'	–	–	1	60 (57%)	–
30 Yeferson Soteldo M	6.2	59'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
23 Guga D	5.7	95'	–	–	–	40 (33%)	1
44 Jemmes D	—	5'	–	–	–	–	–
11 Jefferson Savarino F	—	6'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Atletico Paranaense oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Atletico Paranaense

WDLDW

Fluminense

WLLWW

Last 3 meetings Atletico Paranaense · 0W 1D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fluminense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	7	4	1
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Atletico Paranaense goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros 18 gls

Fluminense

John Kennedy 9 gls

Hulk 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	7.2%	4.4%	1.4%	0.4%
1	11.1%	14.3%	6.3%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.1%	9.0%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.4%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico Paranaense	Draw	Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense	26.3%	3.6%	1.1%
Draw	17.9%	19.4%	9.1%
Fluminense	2.5%	4.9%	15.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense

0 Atletico Paranaense Wins

1 Draws

2 Fluminense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Fluminense	3 - 2	Atletico Paranaense
01 Dec 2024	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 1	Fluminense
22 Oct 2024	Fluminense	1 - 0	Atletico Paranaense

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Bahia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Coritiba	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Cruzeiro	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Fluminense	D	3 - 3
24 Aug	A Botafogo	W	2 - 3

Fluminense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Corinthians	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	A Platense	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Atletico-MG	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Platense	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	W	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Fluminense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Marcao

1 Fábio

6 Renê

29 Millán

4 Ignácio

23 Guga

8 Martinelli

16 Nonato

30 Soteldo

10 Ganso

17 Canobbio

7 Hulk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Fábio	G
23	Guga	D
4	Ignácio	D
29	Julián Millán	D
6	Renê	D
16	Nonato	M
8	Martinelli	M
17	Agustín Canobbio	M
10	Ganso	M
30	Yeferson Soteldo	M
7	Hulk	F

Substitutes

32	Luciano Acosta	M
90	Kevin Serna	F
27	Marcelo Pitaluga	G
3	Thiago Silva	D
13	Guilherme Arana	D
46	Júlio Fidelis	D
44	Jemmes	D
11	Jefferson Savarino	F
94	Otávio	M
28	Riquelme Felipe	F
14	Germán Cano	F
19	Rodrigo Castillo	F