Celje vs Drita Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · Round of 32

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Drita

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Celje

60%

25%

16%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Celje vs. Drita Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Celje eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 60%, für Drita 16% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Celje secured a 3–2 victory over Drita in their UEFA Europa Conference League Round of 32 tie, with the match effectively decided by a frantic first half. The Slovenian side raced into a commanding position with goals at 19 and 23 minutes before Blerim Krasniqi added a third in the 26th minute, giving Celje a seemingly comfortable cushion. Drita pulled one back from the penalty spot on 43 minutes to make it 3–1 at the break.

The Kosovo side continued to press after the interval, and A. Dabiqaj reduced the deficit to 3–2 just six minutes into the second half, setting up a tense finale. Despite Drita's superior expected goals figure of 2.81 compared to Celje's 1.54, the home side held firm through a turbulent closing period that saw six yellow cards distributed across both teams, including late bookings for Krasniqi and Dabiqaj.

Celje ultimately managed the result to advance, with both sides finishing level on possession and corners. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Celje win as the most likely outcome at 60%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

19' ⚽ 1–0

23' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 26'

Blerim Krasniqi assist: Besnik Krasniqi

▮ 41'

Yellow Card

Penalty

43' ⚽ 3–1

HT 3–1

Yellow Card

48' ▮

⚽ 3–2 51'

A. Dabiqaj assist: L. Balaj

62' ⇄

Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 68'

L. Balaj

⇄ 68'

B. Sheji ⇄ K. Abazaj

⇄ 68'

V. Limaj ⇄ K. Nguena

▮ 75'

J. Pëllumbi Yellow Card

76' ⇄

▮ 85'

Blerim Krasniqi Yellow Card

▮ 87'

A. Dabiqaj Yellow Card

⇄ 87'

88' ⇄

Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

FT 3–2

Celje

Match Stats

Drita

50% Ball Possession 50%

2.81 Expected Goals (xG) 1.54

13 Total Shots 17

9 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 6

1 Blocked Shots 4

10 Shots insidebox 9

3 Shots outsidebox 8

4 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 2

18 Fouls 22

3 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

324 Total passes 318

248 Passes accurate 245

77% Passes % 77%

0.63 goals_prevented 0.63

Celje

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Svit Sešlar M	8.5	90'	2	–	2	43 (31%)	–
1 Zan Luk Leban G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	32 (17%)	–
4 Darko Hrka M	7.6	90'	1	–	2	39 (30%)	2
47 Armandas Kučys F	7.5	88'	–	1	2	20 (15%)	–
94 Rudi Požeg Vancaš M	7.2	62'	–	–	1	9 (8%)	2
27 Ivan Ćalušić M	7.0	88'	–	–	–	31 (26%)	–
20 Nikita Iosifov F	7.0	90'	–	–	2	15 (10%)	–
3 Damjan Vuklišević D	6.9	90'	–	–	2	28 (21%)	–
8 Mario Kvesić F	6.9	76'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
16 Ivica Vidović M	6.9	14'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	–
2 Juanjo Nieto D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	1
11 Milot Avdyli M	6.6	28'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	2
44 Łukasz Bejger D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	–
13 Papa Daniel M	—	2'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
99 Matej Poplatnik F	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–

Drita

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 A. Dabiqaj M	7.3	90'	1	–	2	14 (11%)	2
2 Besnik Krasniqi D	7.3	90'	–	1	1	19 (13%)	2
1 Faton Maloku G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	–
7 Almir Ajzeraj F	6.9	22'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
19 Blerim Krasniqi F	6.7	90'	1	–	4	20 (14%)	–
93 K. Nguena M	6.6	22'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	1
8 V. Limaj M	6.6	68'	–	–	1	23 (20%)	2
10 L. Balaj M	6.3	68'	–	1	2	15 (10%)	–
77 K. Abazaj F	6.3	22'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
26 R. Ovouka D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	36 (26%)	–
25 Veton Tusha F	6.3	88'	–	–	2	14 (8%)	–
3 B. Sheji D	6.2	68'	–	–	1	13 (9%)	1
32 J. Pëllumbi D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	61 (49%)	–
15 Egzon Bejtulai D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	50 (43%)	2
37 Oniks Grezda F	—	2'	–	–	–	1	1

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Celje

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Celje

DLLLW

Drita

WDLDW

Last 1 meetings Celje · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Drita goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	7	2	1
1	16	11	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Celje goals · most likely 1–0 (16.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Celje vs Drita

1 Celje Wins

0 Draws

0 Drita Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Feb 2026	Drita	2 - 3	Celje

Celje — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Mura	D	0 - 0
16 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Bravo	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Koper	L	0 - 1
02 Sep	A Aluminij	W	0 - 2

Drita — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Dukagjini	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Gjilani	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	A Feronikeli	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Drenica Skënderaj	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Vushtrria	W	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0