Rennes vs Nantes Prognose

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Post on X

Nantes

Away

Roazhon Park, Rennes

KI-Tipp Rennes gewinnt oder unentschieden

70%

21%

10%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Rennes vs. Nantes Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Rennes eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 70%, für Nantes 10% und für ein Unentschieden 21%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Rennes claimed a dramatic 2–1 victory over Nantes in Ligue 1 Matchday 31, with the decisive goal arriving deep into stoppage time. Nantes made a bright start, Esteban Lepaul converting a penalty in the eighth minute to put the visitors ahead, before Ignatius Ganago levelled for Rennes on 40 minutes to send the sides in level at the break.

The second half proved eventful. Lepaul thought he had restored Nantes' lead on 61 minutes, only for VAR to rule the goal out. Both sides made multiple substitutions as the game entered its final stages, and a yellow card for Valentin Rongier on 88 minutes seemed to sum up Rennes' frustrations — until the midfielder dramatically converted in the 90th minute to seal all three points for the hosts.

Despite being second-best in possession, conceding 63% of the ball, Rennes generated an expected goals figure of 2.17 compared to Nantes' 1.30, underlining their threat throughout. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rennes win as most likely at 70%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Esteban Lepaul Penalty

8' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 38'

Nicolas Cozza Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 40'

Ignatius Ganago assist: Nicolas Cozza

HT 1–1

▮ 50'

Deiver Machado Yellow Card

Esteban Lepaul Goal cancelled

61' 🖵

Ludovic Blas ⇄ Sebastian Szymański

68' ⇄

Alidu Seidu ⇄ Mahamadou Nagida

68' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Mohamed Kaba ⇄ Dehmaine Tabibou

⇄ 68'

Louis Leroux ⇄ Bahereba Guirassy

Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Yellow Card

73' ▮

⇄ 77'

Frédéric Guilbert ⇄ Mathieu Acapandié

Breel Embolo ⇄ Yassir Zabiri

81' ⇄

⇄ 87'

Matthis Abline ⇄ Youssef El Arabi

⇄ 87'

Ignatius Ganago ⇄ Mostafa Mohamed

Valentin Rongier Yellow Card

88' ▮

Valentin Rongier

90' ⚽ 2–1

Mousa Tamari ⇄ Nordan Mukiele

90+1' ⇄

Sebastian Szymański Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

FT 2–1

Rennes

Match Stats

Nantes

63% Ball Possession 37%

1.30 Expected Goals (xG) 2.17

14 Total Shots 24

5 Shots on Goal 8

4 Shots off Goal 6

5 Blocked Shots 10

8 Shots insidebox 21

6 Shots outsidebox 3

6 Corner Kicks 8

5 Offsides 1

15 Fouls 15

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

6 Goalkeeper Saves 3

466 Total passes 260

393 Passes accurate 185

84% Passes % 71%

-0.35 goals_prevented -0.35

Rennes

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Valentin Rongier M	8.2	90'	1	–	1	63 (57%)	2
30 Brice Samba G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	39 (31%)	–
3 Lilian Brassier D	7.9	90'	–	–	1	53 (47%)	1
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D	7.6	90'	–	–	1	57 (51%)	2
9 Esteban Lepaul F	7.3	90'	1	–	3	27 (22%)	–
7 Breel Embolo F	7.2	81'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	2
11 Mousa Tamari M	7.2	89'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	1
26 Quentin Merlin D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	38 (22%)	–
18 Mahamadou Nagida D	7.2	22'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	1
36 Alidu Seidu D	7.0	68'	–	–	–	31 (28%)	1
17 Sebastian Szymański M	6.6	22'	–	–	–	24 (15%)	–
10 Ludovic Blas M	6.5	68'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	–
45 Mahdi Camara M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	44 (42%)	1
65 Nordan Mukiele F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
77 Yassir Zabiri F	6.2	9'	–	–	2	2 (2%)	–

Nantes

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Nicolas Cozza D	8.2	90'	–	1	2	24 (18%)	5
37 Ignatius Ganago F	8.2	87'	1	–	3	16 (12%)	1
8 Johann Lepenant M	7.6	90'	–	–	–	31 (23%)	6
2 Ali Youssef D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	38 (33%)	2
28 Ibrahima Sissoko M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	24 (20%)	1
11 Bahereba Guirassy F	6.7	22'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
1 Anthony Lopes G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	33 (24%)	–
10 Matthis Abline M	6.5	87'	–	–	2	11 (7%)	–
27 Deiver Machado D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	2
24 Frédéric Guilbert D	6.3	77'	–	–	2	17 (9%)	1
21 Mohamed Kaba M	6.3	68'	–	–	3	10 (4%)	4
31 Mostafa Mohamed F	6.3	13'	–	–	1	3 (1%)	–
19 Youssef El Arabi F	6.3	13'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
17 Dehmaine Tabibou M	6.3	22'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
66 Louis Leroux M	6.3	68'	–	–	–	14 (6%)	2
22 Mathieu Acapandié D	6.3	13'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	1

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

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Rennes

LDWWW

Nantes

WLWDL

Last 3 meetings Rennes · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 clash, Rennes hosts Nantes, both teams looking to solidify their positions in the upper half of the table. Rennes has been strong at home, boasting a 65% win rate in their last 10 home matches, while Nantes struggles with away form, achieving only 30% wins on the road this season. Key for Rennes will be their attacking duo, who have combined for 15 goals this season, while Nantes needs to tighten their defense, having conceded an average of 1.8 goals per away match. Expect Rennes to control possession and create more scoring opportunities, giving them the edge in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nantes goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	5	1
1	17	9	2
2	16	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	5	2	1
5	2	1

↑ Rennes goals · most likely 1–0 (17.3%)

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Players in form

Rennes

E. Lepaul 3 gls

Nantes

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Rennes vs Nantes

1 Rennes Wins

1 Draws

1 Nantes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2025	Nantes	2 - 2	Rennes
18 Apr 2025	Rennes	2 - 1	Nantes
08 Dec 2024	Nantes	1 - 0	Rennes

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Rennes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lyon	L	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Sturm Graz	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Marseille	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Angers	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Le Mans	W	3 - 2

Nantes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Boulogne	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Sochaux	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Nancy	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Guingamp	D	3 - 3
22 Aug	H Rodez	L	2 - 5

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2