Aarhus vs Benfica Prognose

FT
Post on X
1 : 3
HT 0 - 1
Hinspiel 1-3 · Gesamt 2-6
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Benfica
16%
21%
64%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Aarhus vs. Benfica Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Aarhus eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 16%, für Benfica 64% und für ein Unentschieden 21%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Aug 2026, 19:59.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
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Match Report

Benfica secured a comfortable 3–1 victory over Aarhus in their UEFA Europa League play-off tie, with the Portuguese side in control for much of the contest. Gianluca Prestianni broke the deadlock in the 19th minute to give Benfica a deserved lead, and they carried that advantage into the break despite yellow cards for Camara and Carstensen adding some needle to the closing stages of the first half.

The second half brought a decisive spell that effectively settled the tie. Rafa Silva extended Benfica's lead on 55 minutes before Aarhus offered a brief response through Carstensen's goal on the hour. However, the Danish side's hopes were quickly extinguished when Prestianni struck again just a minute later to restore the two-goal cushion, capping a dominant ten-minute period for the visitors.

Benfica managed the remainder of the match comfortably, rotating their squad with a series of substitutions including the introduction of Vangelis Pavlidis and Georgiy Sudakov. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Benfica win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 19'
Gianluca Prestianni assist: Alexander Bah
Mouhammade Camara Yellow Card
25'
R. Carstensen Yellow Card
45'
HT 0–1
Janni Serra ⇄ Stefen Tchamche
46'
0–2 55'
Rafa Silva
R. Carstensen
60' 1–2
1–3 61'
Gianluca Prestianni assist: Clément Lenglet
K. Arnstad ⇄ Magnus Knudsen
62'
Mikael Anderson ⇄ Sebastian Jørgensen
62'
65'
Georgiy Sudakov ⇄ Gonçalo Moreira
65'
Rafa Silva ⇄ Andreas Schjelderup
Luka Callø ⇄ Colin Rösler
69'
74'
Gianluca Prestianni ⇄ Dodi Lukebakio
74'
Vangelis Pavlidis ⇄ Jhon Durán
Gift Links ⇄ Frederik Emmery
83'
84'
Clément Lenglet ⇄ Alessandro Circati
FT 1–3
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Benfica
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Aarhus
DWLDL
Benfica
LWWWW
Last 1 meetings Aarhus · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
16%
10%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
64%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Aarhus

No scorer data.

Benfica
J. Kamiński 1 gls
D. Lukebakio 1 gls

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Head to Head: Aarhus vs Benfica

0 Aarhus Wins
0 Draws
1 Benfica Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Aug 2026 Benfica 3 - 1 Aarhus

Aarhus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A AC Horsens D 2 - 2
16 Sep A Skjold Sæby W 1 - 6
13 Sep A FC Nordsjaelland L 2 - 0
05 Sep H Silkeborg D 2 - 2
02 Sep H FC Midtjylland L 0 - 2

Benfica — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A FC Porto L 3 - 1
16 Sep A AC Milan W 0 - 2
13 Sep H GIL Vicente W 3 - 1
09 Sep A Moreirense W 0 - 4
05 Sep A Maritimo W 0 - 3

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Juventus
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Crystal Palace
1 1 0 0 +4 3
3
Sparta Praha
1 1 0 0 +3 3
4
Beşiktaş
1 1 0 0 +3 3
5
Union St. Gilloise
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
Ferencvarosi TC
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Benfica
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
OFI
1 1 0 0 +2 3
10
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Lyon
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Torreense
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Red Bull Salzburg
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
Omonia Nicosia
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
Sturm Graz
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Rennes
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Jagiellonia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Real Sociedad
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Lillestrom
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Celta Vigo
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
AZ Alkmaar
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Levski Sofia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Celtic
1 0 0 1 -2 0
29
1899 Hoffenheim
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
Celje
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
Marseille
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0 1 -3 0
34
Plzen
1 0 0 1 -3 0
35
Lech Poznan
1 0 0 1 -4 0
36
NEC Nijmegen
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Benfica

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: Marco Silva
24 Soares
26 Dahl
44 Araújo
2 Lenglet
6 Bah
5 Barrenechea
18 Barreiro
10 Sudakov
27 Silva
25 Prestianni
14 Pavlidis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Samuel Soares G
6 Alexander Bah D
2 Clément Lenglet D
44 Tomás Araújo D
26 Samuel Dahl D
5 Enzo Barrenechea M
27 Rafa Silva M
10 Georgiy Sudakov M
18 Leandro Barreiro M
14 Vangelis Pavlidis F
25 Gianluca Prestianni M

Substitutes

1 Anatoliy Trubin G
39 Alessandro Circati D
62 José Neto D
33 Gabriel Indio D
11 Dodi Lukebakio M
13 Jakub Kamiński M
16 Manu Silva M
20 Richard Ríos M
21 Andreas Schjelderup M
77 Gonçalo Moreira M
72 Anísio Cabral F
22 Jhon Durán F

Aarhus

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Jakob Poulsen
21 Hedenstad
33 Callø
44 Camara
26 Andersen
11 Links
23 Anderson
10 Arnstad
16 Jønsson
29 Carstensen
13 Serra
31 Bech

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 Mads Hedenstad G
26 Jacob Andersen M
44 Mouhammade Camara D
33 Luka Callø D
29 Rasmus Carstensen M
16 Jens Jønsson M
10 Kristian Arnstad F
23 Mikael Anderson M
11 Gift Links M
31 Tobias Bech F
13 Janni Serra F

Substitutes

1 Jesper Hansen G
42 Marius van der Raad G
14 Tobias Mølgaard D
19 Eric Kahl D
25 Colin Rösler D
45 Christian Storch D
4 Magnus Knudsen M
7 Markus Solbakken M
8 Sebastian Jørgensen M
27 Stefen Tchamche F
28 James Bogere F
39 Frederik Emmery F

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