Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Hapoel Tel Aviv

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Hinspiel 0-0 · Gesamt 0-1

Atalanta

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Atalanta

21%

28%

51%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hapoel Tel Aviv eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 21%, für Atalanta 51% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Aug 2026, 19:52.

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Unter 3,5 Tore 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Match Report

Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta were evenly matched through a goalless first half, with neither side able to carve out a clear advantage. The hosts showed intent, registering four shots on target to Atalanta's three, while possession was split exactly 50-50 across the 90 minutes.

The deadlock was broken in the 72nd minute when Gianluca Scamacca converted to give the Italian side a crucial away goal, a moment that arrived shortly after a wave of substitutions from both benches reshaped the contest. Atalanta's coaching staff had introduced Lazar Samardžić and Giacomo Raspadori just before the hour mark, and the changes helped shift momentum in the visitors' favour. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win as the most likely outcome at 51%, and that narrow edge proved accurate.

Hapoel pushed for an equaliser in the closing stages but were unable to find a way through, with late yellow cards for Marcus Coco, Stav Turiel, and Chico reflecting the mounting frustration. Atalanta hold a slender but valuable 1–0 lead heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Falcão Yellow Card

19' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 60'

Lazar Samardžić ⇄ Mario Pašalić

⇄ 60'

Giacomo Raspadori ⇄ Charles De Ketelaere

Douglas Owusu ⇄ Stav Turiel

66' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Sead Kolašinac ⇄ Lorenzo Bernasconi

⇄ 71'

Nikola Krstović ⇄ Gianluca Scamacca

⚽ 0–1 72'

Gianluca Scamacca

Omri Altman ⇄ Mor Buskila

77' ⇄

Andrian Kraev ⇄ El Yam Kancepolsky

77' ⇄

Falcão ⇄ Yonatan Ferber

81' ⇄

Emmanuel Boateng ⇄ Daniel Dappa

81' ⇄

Marcus Coco Yellow Card

84' ▮

⇄ 84'

Nicola Zalewski ⇄ Federico Cassa

Stav Turiel Yellow Card

87' ▮

Chico Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 0–1

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Match Stats

Atalanta

50% Ball Possession 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

11 Total Shots 14

3 Shots on Goal 4

3 Shots off Goal 5

5 Blocked Shots 5

8 Shots insidebox 6

3 Shots outsidebox 8

7 Corner Kicks 6

Offsides

9 Fouls 11

3 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

432 Total passes 439

382 Passes accurate 388

88% Passes % 88%

goals_prevented

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
51 Omri Altman M	7.2	77'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	–
35 Douglas Owusu M	7.0	66'	–	–	–	35 (28%)	–
97 Marcus Coco D	7.0	85'	–	–	–	63 (58%)	3
4 Chico D	6.9	85'	–	–	1	61 (52%)	1
98 Falcão M	6.9	81'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	4
6 Andrian Kraev M	6.9	77'	–	–	–	44 (37%)	2
9 Emmanuel Boateng F	6.9	81'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	–
22 Assaf Tzur G	6.6	85'	–	–	–	21 (21%)	–
16 Doron Leidner D	6.6	85'	–	–	–	32 (30%)	–
27 Mor Buskila F	6.5	8'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
5 Fernand Mayembo D	6.3	85'	–	–	–	62 (57%)	1
15 Roee Alkokin M	6.3	85'	–	–	3	28 (24%)	1
14 El Yam Kancepolsky M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
11 Stav Turiel F	6.3	19'	–	–	1	11 (11%)	–
8 Yonatan Ferber M	—	4'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
44 Daniel Dappa F	—	4'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Atalanta

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Éderson M	7.3	85'	–	–	1	29 (25%)	3
42 Giorgio Scalvini D	7.3	85'	–	–	–	86 (81%)	–
9 Gianluca Scamacca F	7.3	14'	1	–	1	4 (4%)	–
3 Odilon Kossounou D	7.2	85'	–	–	1	70 (69%)	1
70 Gianluca Gaetano M	7.0	85'	–	–	1	52 (48%)	1
29 Marco Carnesecchi G	6.9	85'	–	–	–	27 (20%)	–
59 Nicola Zalewski F	6.9	84'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	1
10 Lazar Samardžić M	6.9	60'	–	–	3	23 (17%)	2
23 Sead Kolašinac D	6.7	71'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	2
17 Charles De Ketelaere F	6.7	25'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D	6.7	14'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
18 Giacomo Raspadori F	6.7	60'	–	–	–	14 (10%)	–
16 Raoul Bellanova D	6.7	85'	–	–	–	37 (36%)	–
8 Mario Pašalić M	6.5	25'	–	–	1	16 (13%)	–
90 Nikola Krstović F	6.5	71'	–	–	1	12 (8%)	–
49 Federico Cassa M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Atalanta

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Hapoel Tel Aviv

WLWWD

Atalanta

LLLWW

Last 1 meetings Hapoel Tel Aviv · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

21%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

51%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atalanta goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Hapoel Tel Aviv goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

28%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

28%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	7.8%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
1	9.3%	14.4%	7.5%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.4%	8.6%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	Atalanta
Hapoel Tel Aviv	24.1%	4.6%	1.8%
Draw	14.3%	19.1%	12.1%
Atalanta	1.9%	4.3%	17.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta

0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Wins

1 Draws

0 Atalanta Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Atalanta	0 - 0	Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Hapoel Petah Tikva	W	3 - 0
14 Sep	A Maccabi Tel Aviv	L	4 - 1
07 Sep	H Hapoel Ramat Gan	W	4 - 0
03 Sep	H Beitar Jerusalem	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Hapoel Haifa	D	0 - 0

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Atalanta

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri

29 Carnesecchi

23 Kolašinac

42 Scalvini

3 Kossounou

16 Bellanova

13 Éderson

70 Gaetano

10 Samardžić

18 Raspadori

90 Krstović

59 Zalewski

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	Marco Carnesecchi	G
16	Raoul Bellanova	D
3	Odilon Kossounou	D
42	Giorgio Scalvini	D
23	Sead Kolašinac	D
10	Lazar Samardžić	M
70	Gianluca Gaetano	M
13	Éderson	M
59	Nicola Zalewski	F
90	Nikola Krstović	F
18	Giacomo Raspadori	F

Substitutes

8	Mario Pašalić	M
17	Charles De Ketelaere	F
95	Paolo Vismara	G
57	Marco Sportiello	G
40	Relja Obrić	D
6	Ibrahim Sulemana	M
49	Federico Cassa	M
15	Marten de Roon	M
47	Lorenzo Bernasconi	D
77	Davide Zappacosta	D
9	Gianluca Scamacca	F

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Elyaniv Barda

22 Tzur

16 Leidner

4 Chico

5 Mayembo

97 Coco

6 Kraev

98 Falcão

51 Altman

15 Alkokin

35 Owusu

9 Boateng

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Assaf Tzur	G
97	Marcus Coco	D
5	Fernand Mayembo	D
4	Chico	D
16	Doron Leidner	D
98	Falcão	M
6	Andrian Kraev	M
35	Douglas Owusu	M
15	Roee Alkokin	M
51	Omri Altman	M
9	Emmanuel Boateng	F

Substitutes

11	Stav Turiel	F
13	Roy Baranes	G
1	Dor Benyamini	G
21	Shahar Piven	D
20	Or Israelov	D
18	Tal Archel	D
14	El Yam Kancepolsky	M
23	Amit Lemkin	M
8	Yonatan Ferber	M
44	Daniel Dappa	F
10	Xande Silva	F
27	Mor Buskila	F