FK Jablonec vs Rangers Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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FK Jablonec

Home

1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Hinspiel 0-1 · Gesamt 1-1

Rangers

Away

KI-Tipp Rangers oder Unentschieden

31%

28%

41%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

FK Jablonec vs. Rangers Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für FK Jablonec eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 31%, für Rangers 41% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Aug 2026, 18:40.

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Match Report

FK Jablonec claimed a stunning upset over Rangers in the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round, winning on penalties after a tense 1–0 victory in normal time. The first half ended goalless despite Rangers enjoying the greater share of possession, and both sides made significant changes at the interval as managers sought to shift the momentum.

The decisive moment in regulation came on 73 minutes when Vakhtang Chanturishvili broke the deadlock for the Czech side, a lead Jablonec defended resolutely as Rangers pushed forward. The Scottish side's attacking intent was reflected in their 16 total shots to Jablonec's eight, though they managed only five on target against one for the hosts. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rangers win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.

With the tie heading to extra time and then a penalty shootout, nerves frayed on both sides. Lawrence Shankland received a yellow card in the 112th minute before converting his spot-kick, but missed penalties from Filip Zorvan, Findlay Curtis, and James Penrice proved costly, with Jablonec holding their nerve to progress.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Martin Cedidla Yellow Card

17' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Dan Neil ⇄ Connor Barron

⇄ 46'

Djeidi Gassama ⇄ Lawrence Shankland

⇄ 46'

Daisuke Yokota ⇄ Findlay Curtis

⇄ 60'

Vanja Dragojević ⇄ Thelo Aasgaard

Lamin Jawo ⇄ Antonín Růsek

64' ⇄

Matěj Polidar ⇄ Jan Chramosta

64' ⇄

Vakhtang Chanturishvili

73' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 79'

Ryan Don Naderi ⇄ Kosta Nedeljković

Jan Suchan ⇄ Filip Zorvan

79' ⇄

Nemanja Tekijaški ⇄ Nelson Okeke

86' ⇄

Antonín Růsek Yellow Card

101' ▮

⇄ 106'

Dujon Sterling ⇄ Bojan Miovski

Sebastian Nebyla ⇄ Filip Novák

110' ⇄

▮ 112'

Lawrence Shankland Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 120+1'

Lawrence Shankland Penalty

Antonín Růsek Penalty

120+1' ⚽ 2–1

⚽ 2–2 120+2'

Bojan Miovski Penalty

Richard Sedláček Penalty

120+2' ⚽ 3–2

⚽ 3–3 120+3'

Thelo Aasgaard Penalty

Filip Zorvan Missed Penalty

120+3' ✗

✗ 120+4'

Findlay Curtis Missed Penalty

Nelson Okeke Penalty

120+4' ⚽ 4–3

✗ 120+5'

James Penrice Missed Penalty

Jan Chramosta Penalty

120+5' ⚽ 5–3

FT 1–0

FK Jablonec

Match Stats

Rangers

54% Ball Possession 46%

Expected Goals (xG)

16 Total Shots 8

5 Shots on Goal 1

9 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 3

11 Shots insidebox 5

5 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 3

4 Offsides 1

16 Fouls 17

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

650 Total passes 546

553 Passes accurate 454

85% Passes % 83%

goals_prevented

FK Jablonec

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Vakhtang Chanturishvili M	8.3	118'	1	–	2	66 (58%)	3
18 Martin Cedidla D	7.6	118'	–	–	–	74 (71%)	1
1 Jan Hanuš G	7.3	118'	–	–	–	34 (23%)	–
6 Nelson Okeke M	7.3	32'	–	–	2	25 (25%)	3
4 Nemanja Tekijaški D	7.2	86'	–	–	–	51 (43%)	–
15 Dušan Pavlović D	7.2	118'	–	–	–	102 (91%)	–
10 Jan Suchan M	7.2	79'	–	–	2	24 (18%)	–
25 Sebastian Nebyla M	7.0	110'	–	–	1	30 (25%)	3
13 Richard Sedláček M	7.0	118'	–	–	–	79 (69%)	2
8 Filip Zorvan M	6.9	39'	–	–	–	29 (25%)	–
23 Eduard Sobol D	6.7	39'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
44 Lamin Jawo F	6.5	64'	–	–	3	7 (7%)	2
57 Filip Novák D	6.5	8'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	–
20 Jiří Sláma D	6.3	79'	–	–	–	49 (31%)	–
21 Matěj Polidar M	6.3	64'	–	–	1	26 (22%)	–
9 Antonín Růsek F	6.3	54'	–	–	1	17 (15%)	1
19 Jan Chramosta F	6.2	54'	–	–	1	12 (8%)	–

Rangers

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Olwethu Makhanya D	7.5	118'	–	–	–	79 (67%)	2
52 Findlay Curtis F	7.3	73'	–	–	2	30 (24%)	3
1 Ivor Pandur G	7.2	118'	–	–	–	56 (46%)	–
37 Emmanuel Fernandez D	7.0	118'	–	–	–	67 (59%)	1
17 Daisuke Yokota M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	1
20 Ryan Don Naderi F	6.7	79'	–	–	1	12 (7%)	1
23 Djeidi Gassama M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
8 Connor Barron M	6.7	73'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	–
11 Thelo Aasgaard M	6.6	58'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	3
21 Dujon Sterling D	6.6	105'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	2
18 Kosta Nedeljković D	6.6	39'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	1
6 Dan Neil M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	34 (32%)	–
28 Bojan Miovski F	6.5	13'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
42 Tochi Chukwuani M	6.3	118'	–	–	1	36 (27%)	–
22 Vanja Dragojević M	6.3	60'	–	–	–	21 (12%)	–
29 James Penrice D	6.3	118'	–	–	–	55 (48%)	2
7 Lawrence Shankland F	5.9	73'	–	–	1	15 (11%)	1

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Rangers oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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FK Jablonec

DLWLD

Rangers

WWWWW

Last 1 meetings FK Jablonec · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rangers goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	7	4	2	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FK Jablonec goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 28% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	7.7%	7.4%	4.0%	1.6%
1	5.7%	13.1%	9.3%	5.0%	2.0%
2	4.5%	7.3%	5.9%	3.2%	1.3%
3	1.9%	3.1%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FK Jablonec	Draw	Rangers
FK Jablonec	19.7%	6.2%	3.8%
Draw	8.5%	16.3%	17.8%
Rangers	1.1%	3.2%	23.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FK Jablonec vs Rangers

0 FK Jablonec Wins

0 Draws

1 Rangers Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Rangers	1 - 0	FK Jablonec

FK Jablonec — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Zlin	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Sparta Praha	L	2 - 0
09 Sep	H Baník Ostrava	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	H Slovan Liberec	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Bohemians 1905	D	1 - 1

Rangers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Celtic	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	H Celtic	W	3 - 0
09 Sep	H ST Mirren	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Motherwell	W	1 - 0
02 Sep	A Falkirk	W	1 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Rangers

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Derek McInnes

1 Pandur

29 Penrice

24 Makhanya

37 Fernandez

21 Sterling

22 Dragojević

6 Neil

23 Gassama

42 Chukwuani

17 Yokota

20 Naderi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ivor Pandur	G
21	Dujon Sterling	D
37	Emmanuel Fernandez	D
24	Olwethu Makhanya	D
29	James Penrice	D
6	Dan Neil	M
22	Vanja Dragojević	M
17	Daisuke Yokota	M
42	Tochi Chukwuani	M
23	Djeidi Gassama	M
20	Ryan Don Naderi	F

Substitutes

31	Liam Kelly	G
51	Rydnn Mcguire	G
4	Ben Godfrey	D
18	Kosta Nedeljković	D
2	Ross McCrorie	D
8	Connor Barron	M
11	Thelo Aasgaard	M
45	Ross McCausland	M
52	Findlay Curtis	F
16	Lyall Cameron	M
7	Lawrence Shankland	F
28	Bojan Miovski	F

FK Jablonec

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Lubos Kozel

1 Hanuš

20 Sláma

15 Pavlović

4 Tekijaški

18 Cedidla

25 Nebyla

13 Sedláček

21 Polidar

10 Suchan

7 Chanturishvili

44 Jawo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Jan Hanuš	G
18	Martin Cedidla	D
4	Nemanja Tekijaški	D
15	Dušan Pavlović	D
20	Jiří Sláma	D
13	Richard Sedláček	M
25	Sebastian Nebyla	M
7	Vakhtang Chanturishvili	M
10	Jan Suchan	M
21	Matěj Polidar	M
44	Lamin Jawo	F

Substitutes

99	Klemen Mihelak	G
14	Daniel Souček	D
57	Filip Novák	D
6	Nelson Okeke	M
8	Filip Zorvan	M
16	Hugo Ahl	M
23	Eduard Sobol	D
9	Antonín Růsek	F
19	Jan Chramosta	F
27	Filip Vecheta	F