Grimsby vs Crawley Town Prognose

League Two League Two · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Grimsby
64%
21%
14%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Grimsby vs. Crawley Town Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Grimsby eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 64%, für Crawley Town 14% und für ein Unentschieden 21%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 15:59.

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Timeline

Charles Vernam Missed Penalty
13'
29'
Nicholas Michalski Yellow Card
Iwan Morgan Penalty
30' 1–0
39'
Priestley Farquharson Yellow Card
Kieran Green assist: Iwan Morgan
42' 2–0
HT 2–0
Maldini Kacurri Yellow Card
48'
Mark Shelton ⇄ Jamie Walker
54'
56'
Osman Kamara ⇄ Pemi Aderoju
58'
Ade Adeyemo Yellow Card
Géza Dávid Turi Yellow Card
65'
68'
Ty Ewens-Findlay ⇄ Louie Watson
68'
Ade Adeyemo ⇄ D. Pereira
Iwan Morgan ⇄ S. Finch
70'
Finlay Cartwright ⇄ Ryley Reynolds
70'
85'
⇄ Nathan Tinsdale
85'
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo ⇄ Malcolm Ebiowei
87'
Malcolm Ebiowei Yellow Card
Charles Vernam ⇄ Joe Foulkes
89'
Kieran Green ⇄ Cian Doyle
89'
FT 2–0
Grimsby

Match Stats

Crawley Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 7
7 Blocked Shots 5
16 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 5
9 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
278 Total passes 366
191 Passes accurate 266
14 Free Kicks 17
Grimsby
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Kieran Green M 7.9 89' 1 3 21 (13%) 1
9 Iwan Morgan F 7.7 70' 1 1 5 9 (6%)
12 Joe Foulkes D 7.4 1' 6 (3%)
3 Jayden Sweeney D 7.2 90' 1 25 (22%)
30 Charles Vernam M 7.2 89' 3 19 (18%)
15 Géza Dávid Turi M 7.1 90' 28 (24%) 4
29 Mark Shelton M 7.0 54' 1 21 (15%) 1
7 Jamie Walker F 6.9 36' 1 10 (4%) 3
17 Cameron McJannett D 6.8 90' 33 (23%) 2
8 Cian Doyle M 6.8 1' 2 (1%)
31 Christy Pym G 6.7 90' 24 (16%)
5 Harvey Rodgers D 6.7 90' 1 21 (9%) 1
11 Ryley Reynolds M 6.6 20' 6 (3%) 1
28 Finlay Cartwright M 6.5 70' 3 21 (16%)
10 S. Finch F 6.4 20' 1 2 (1%)
2 Maldini Kacurri D 6.3 90' 1 26 (17%) 3
Crawley Town
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Nicholas Michalski G 7.3 90' 35 (21%)
16 Johnny Russell D 6.7 90' 38 (31%) 2
Seamus Maughan 6.6 85' 3 28 (22%) 1
17 Osman Kamara M 6.5 56' 2 9 (6%)
20 Jude Arthurs M 6.4 90' 1 39 (34%) 4
11 Pemi Aderoju F 6.4 34' 1 3
24 Akin Odimayo D 6.3 90' 48 (39%) 1
7 Malcolm Ebiowei F 6.2 5' 3 (3%) 1
6 Priestley Farquharson D 6.1 90' 44 (36%) 2
9 Danilo Orsi-Dadomo F 6.1 85' 1 6 (2%) 1
8 Louie Watson M 6.0 22' 1 12 (8%)
28 Nathan Tinsdale M 6.0 5'
22 Ade Adeyemo M 5.9 68' 23 (17%) 2
19 D. Pereira M 5.8 22' 1 5 (1%)
35 Ty Ewens-Findlay M 5.7 68' 27 (18%)
2 Kellan Gordon D 5.6 90' 2 39 (23%)
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Grimsby
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Grimsby
LWWDD
Crawley Town
LLLLD

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Grimsby leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.2%. Comeback chance: 0.8%.

52' Goal 85% sure

Grimsby now leads 3-0 with 99.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.2%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Grimsby now leads 2-0 with 96.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.7%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Grimsby leads. Win probability: 96.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.7%.

31' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Grimsby win: 85.1%. BTTS: 48.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
64%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Grimsby
K. Green 3 gls
Crawley Town

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Grimsby vs Crawley Town

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Grimsby — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep A Notts County L 2 - 1
19 Sep H Crawley Town W 2 - 0
12 Sep H Bristol Rovers W 2 - 0
05 Sep A Cheltenham D 2 - 2
01 Sep A Accrington ST D 2 - 2

Crawley Town — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep A Milton Keynes Dons L 4 - 1
19 Sep A Grimsby L 2 - 0
12 Sep H Cheltenham L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Accrington ST L 3 - 2
01 Sep A Northampton D 1 - 1

League Two Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barnet
7 4 3 0 +7 15
2
Walsall
7 3 4 0 +6 13
3
Grimsby
7 3 4 0 +5 13
4
Gillingham
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cheltenham
7 3 3 1 +3 12
6
Bristol Rovers
7 4 0 3 +1 12
7
York
7 3 2 2 +3 11
8
Chesterfield
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
Crewe
7 2 5 0 +2 11
10
Tranmere
7 2 4 1 +2 10
11
Fleetwood Town
7 2 4 1 +1 10
12
Salford City
7 3 1 3 -1 10
13
Swindon Town
7 3 1 3 -3 10
14
Rotherham
7 2 3 2 0 9
15
Colchester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
16
Oldham
7 2 1 4 -1 7
17
Rochdale
7 2 1 4 -3 7
18
Shrewsbury
7 2 1 4 -6 7
19
Newport County
7 1 3 3 -1 6
20
Exeter City
7 1 3 3 -1 6
21
Accrington ST
7 1 3 3 -3 6
22
Northampton
7 1 3 3 -3 6
23
Port Vale
7 1 2 4 -6 5
24
Crawley Town
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Crawley Town

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Thaloba Nthaga
13 Michalski
16 Russell
24 Odimayo
6 Farquharson
2 Gordon
17 Kamara
35 Ewens-Findlay
20 Arthurs
22 Adeyemo
9 Orsi
27 Morgan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 N. Michalski G
2 K. Gordon D
6 P. Farquharson D
24 A. Odimayo D
16 J. Russell D
22 A. Adeyemo M
20 J. Arthurs M
35 Ty Ewens-Findlay M
17 Osman Kamara M
27 Dylan Morgan F
9 D. Orsi F

Substitutes

11 P. Aderoju F
5 C. Barker D
31 J. Izquierdo G
7 M. Ebiowei F
28 Nathan Tinsdale M
8 L. Watson M
19 D. Pereira M

Grimsby

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: D. Artell
31 Pym
3 Sweeney
17 McJannet
2 Kacurri
5 Rodgers
15 Turi
30 Vernam
29 Shelton
4 Green
28 Cartwright
9 Morgan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 C. Pym G
5 H. Rodgers D
2 M. Kacurri D
17 C. McJannet D
3 J. Sweeney D
15 G. Turi M
28 F. Cartwright M
4 K. Green M
29 M. Shelton M
30 C. Vernam M
9 Iwan Morgan F

Substitutes

7 J. Walker F
11 Ryley Reynolds M
26 E. Pruti D
41 S. Auton G
12 J. Foulkes D
10 S. Finch F
8 Cian Doyle M

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