Luton vs Notts County Prognose
FT
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Luton
60%
24%
16%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Luton vs. Notts County Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Luton eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 60%, für Notts County 16% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 22 Aug 2026, 13:37.
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Timeline
Jordan Clark
⇄ Gideon Kodua
18'
⇄
▮
31'
L. Smyth
Yellow Card
George Johnston
Yellow Card
32'
▮
▮
39'
Scott Robertson
Yellow Card
Nahki Wells
Penalty
42'
⚽
1–0
Kal Naismith
Yellow Card
45'
▮
⚽
1–1
45+1'
Callum Roberts
HT 1–1
Kasey Palmer
Yellow Card
47'
▮
Nahki Wells
Yellow Card
56'
▮
⚽
1–2
61'
Oliver Cooper
assist: Nick Tsaroulla
Emilio Lawrence
62'
⇄
Nahki Wells
⇄ Callum Marshall
62'
⇄
⇄
62'
L. Smyth
⇄ Conor Grant
Callum Marshall
assist: Kasey Palmer
68'
⚽
2–2
⇄
72'
Scott Robertson
⇄ Hindolo Mustapha
⇄
73'
Nick Tsaroulla
⇄ Ishé Samuels-Smith
⇄
73'
Callum Roberts
⇄ Lee Ndlovu
Isaiah Jones
⇄ Harrison Ashby
80'
⇄
⇄
86'
Darius Lipsiuc
⇄ Matthew Baker
⇄
86'
Oliver Cooper
⇄ Qamaruddin Kouhyar
Liam Walsh
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
▮
90+3'
Hindolo Mustapha
Yellow Card
FT 2–2
Luton
Match Stats
Notts County
58%
Ball Possession
42%
1.77
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
10
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots off Goal
0
1
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
2
3
Shots outsidebox
4
6
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
15
4
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
377
Total passes
269
308
Passes accurate
196
82%
Passes %
73%
-0.24
goals_prevented
-0.24
Luton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Emilio Lawrence M | 7.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 9 Callum Marshall F | 7.3 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 6 George Johnston D | 7.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 56 (55%) | 1 |
| 3 Kal Naismith D | 7.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 69 (55%) | 1 |
| 8 Liam Walsh M | 7.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 60 (49%) | 1 |
| 21 Nahki Wells F | 7.0 | 62' | 1 | – | 1 | 11 (8%) | – |
| 45 Kasey Palmer M | 6.9 | 81' | – | 1 | 2 | 26 (19%) | – |
| 31 Benedict Benagr D | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 18 Jordan Clark M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 24 Josh Keeley G | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
| 7 Jake Richards M | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 13 (8%) | 3 |
| 5 Mads Andersen D | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 57 (50%) | – |
| 30 Gideon Kodua F | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 25 Isaiah Jones D | 6.0 | 80' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | – |
| 33 Harrison Ashby D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Notts County
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Callum Roberts F | 8.0 | 73' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 8 Oliver Cooper M | 7.9 | 81' | 1 | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 2 |
| 26 Ishé Samuels-Smith D | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 7 (2%) | – |
| 4 Jacob Bedeau D | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | 1 |
| 2 James Gibbons D | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | 1 |
| 20 Scott Robertson M | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 19 L. Smyth F | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | 3 |
| 12 Lucas Ness D | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 41 (32%) | 2 |
| 25 Nick Tsaroulla D | 6.3 | 73' | – | 1 | – | 24 (17%) | – |
| 15 Jack Evans M | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 2 |
| 39 Lee Ndlovu F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 42 Hindolo Mustapha M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 1 James Belshaw G | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 28 (10%) | – |
| 11 Conor Grant M | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 14 Darius Lipsiuc D | 5.9 | 81' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Medium (60%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Luton
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Luton
WLLDW
Notts County
WLLDD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
60%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Luton
N. Wells
4 gls
Notts County
O. Cooper
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Luton vs Notts County
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Luton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Ipswich Town U21 | W | 6 - 0 |
| 19 Sep | H Bradford | L | 0 - 1 |
| 10 Sep | A Stevenage | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Leyton Orient | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | H Stockport County | W | 2 - 0 |
Notts County — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Grimsby | W | 2 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | A Reading | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Bradford | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Huddersfield | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Sep | A Doncaster | D | 1 - 1 |
League One Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bradford
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |
Plymouth
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |
Huddersfield
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Cambridge United
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |
Oxford United
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |
Reading
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 |
Stockport County
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 |
Leyton Orient
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 |
Stevenage
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |
Burton Albion
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |
Leicester
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |
Wycombe
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |
Blackpool
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |
Luton
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 |
Mansfield Town
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 |
Barnsley
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |
Bromley
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |
Notts County
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |
Doncaster
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 |
Peterborough
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 |
Wigan
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
Luton
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Jack Wilshere
24
Keeley
3
Naismith
6
Johnston
5
Andersen
25
Jones
8
Walsh
11
Lawrence
45
Palmer
18
Clark
7
Richards
21
Wells
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Josh Keeley | G |
| 25 | Isaiah Jones | D |
| 5 | Mads Andersen | D |
| 6 | George Johnston | D |
| 3 | Kal Naismith | D |
| 8 | Liam Walsh | M |
| 7 | Jake Richards | M |
| 18 | Jordan Clark | M |
| 45 | Kasey Palmer | M |
| 11 | Emilio Lawrence | M |
| 21 | Nahki Wells | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | Gideon Kodua | F |
| 1 | James Shea | G |
| 2 | Hakeem Odofin | D |
| 33 | Harrison Ashby | D |
| 12 | Joe Johnson | D |
| 31 | Benedict Benagr | D |
| 9 | Callum Marshall | F |
Notts County
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Martin Paterson
1
Belshaw
14
Lipsiuc
4
Bedeau
12
Ness
2
Gibbons
25
Tsaroulla
15
Evans
20
Robertson
8
Cooper
7
Roberts
19
Smyth
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Belshaw | G |
| 25 | Nick Tsaroulla | D |
| 2 | James Gibbons | D |
| 12 | Lucas Ness | D |
| 4 | Jacob Bedeau | D |
| 14 | Darius Lipsiuc | D |
| 8 | Oliver Cooper | M |
| 20 | Scott Robertson | M |
| 15 | Jack Evans | M |
| 19 | Luka Smyth | F |
| 7 | Callum Roberts | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Harry Griffiths | G |
| 26 | Ishé Samuels-Smith | D |
| 44 | Matthew Baker | D |
| 17 | Qamaruddin Kouhyar | M |
| 42 | Hindolo Mustapha | M |
| 11 | Conor Grant | M |
| 39 | Lee Ndlovu | F |