Morton vs Dunfermline Prognose

Championship · Regular Season - 7

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Morton

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Dunfermline

Away

Cappielow Park, Greenock

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Dunfermline

20%

26%

54%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Morton vs. Dunfermline Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Morton eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 20%, für Dunfermline 54% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 15:52.

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1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

58' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 62'

Dylan Lobban

64' ⇄

⇄ 70'

⇄ Dylan Borso

75' ⇄

⇄ 77'

⇄ 78'

⇄ 83'

Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

FT 0–1

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Dunfermline

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Morton

LLLDL

Dunfermline

WWDWL

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Dunfermline leads 0-1. Win probability: 89%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11%.

63' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Dunfermline win: 84.3%. BTTS: 26.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 74.1%. Over 1.5 remaining: 42.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

20%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

54%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dunfermline goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	10	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Morton goals · most likely 1–1 (12.5%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

26%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

26%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	9.4%	9.8%	5.9%	2.6%
1	4.7%	12.5%	10.0%	6.0%	2.7%
2	3.1%	5.6%	5.1%	3.1%	1.4%
3	1.1%	1.9%	1.7%	1.0%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Morton	Draw	Dunfermline
Morton	10.8%	3.8%	2.4%
Draw	8.3%	16.0%	17.7%
Dunfermline	1.5%	4.4%	35.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Morton vs Dunfermline

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Morton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dunfermline	L	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Livingston	L	1 - 4
05 Sep	A Queen's Park	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Ayr Utd	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Arbroath	L	1 - 2

Dunfermline — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Morton	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Queen's Park	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Arbroath	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Raith Rovers	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Livingston	L	2 - 0

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.