PAU vs Metz Prognose

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 19

29 Jan 2027, 19:00

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Metz

Away

KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose

39%

31%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

PAU vs. Metz Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für PAU eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 39%, für Metz 31% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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PAU

WLDDL

Metz

DLWDD

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, PAU faces Metz, both teams seeking crucial points to enhance their league standings. PAU has shown a solid defensive record at home, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Metz has struggled to convert chances, averaging only 1 goal per match this season. The match could hinge on PAU's ability to exploit Metz's defensive vulnerabilities, as the visitors have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. Both teams will be eager to secure a win, making this a potentially competitive encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Metz goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ PAU goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

PAU

B. Leye 3 gls

Metz

P. Fall 5 gls

J. Deminguet 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

31%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 31% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	8.2%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
1	9.7%	14.6%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.4%	8.5%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.2%	3.7%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PAU	Draw	Metz
PAU	23.2%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	14.8%	19.7%	12.2%
Metz	1.9%	4.4%	17.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: PAU vs Metz

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

PAU — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Dunkerque	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A Montpellier	L	1 - 0
04 Sep	H Sochaux	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Rodez	D	2 - 2
21 Aug	H Nancy	L	0 - 1

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.