Montpellier vs PAU Prognose

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
KI-Tipp Montpellier oder Unentschieden
49%
28%
23%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Montpellier vs. PAU Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Montpellier eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 49%, für PAU 23% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 11 Sep 2026, 19:51.

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Timeline

HT 0–0
51'
Akim Abdallah Yellow Card
Julien Laporte Yellow Card
54'
60'
Cheikh Fall Yellow Card
Gregory Ayem ⇄ Daryll Benlahlou
63'
Daylam Meddah ⇄ Théo Chennahi
63'
63'
B. Leye ⇄ J. Sebas
71'
Lorenzo Rajot ⇄ Luan Gadegbeku
Théo Sainte-Luce assist: Florian Tardieu
72' 1–0
77'
Hacene Benali ⇄ Bilal Brahimi
77'
Cheikh Fall ⇄ Tom Saettel
77'
Tom Pouilly ⇄ Mathys Tourraine
Yael Mouanga ⇄ Hichem Abderrebi
78'
Hichem Abderrebi Yellow Card
89'
90+3'
Luan Gadegbeku Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Montpellier

Match Stats

PAU
74% Ball Possession 26%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 2
6 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
732 Total passes 258
664 Passes accurate 184
15 Free Kicks 13
Montpellier
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Théo Sainte-Luce D 8.4 90' 1 2 93 (81%) 3
5 Florian Tardieu M 7.7 90' 1 119 (108%) 2
15 Julien Laporte D 7.6 90' 2 102 (98%)
3 Naoufel El Hannach D 7.5 90' 76 (74%)
6 Yael Mouanga D 7.4 78' 91 (86%)
27 Daylam Meddah M 7.2 63' 1 46 (45%) 2
44 Théo Chennahi M 7.2 27' 25 (25%)
31 Simon Ngapandouetnbu G 7.0 90' 46 (41%)
32 Hichem Abderrebi M 6.6 12' 8 (7%)
90 Gregory Ayem M 6.6 63' 3 26 (20%)
23 Daryll Benlahlou F 6.5 27' 1 11 (9%)
18 Nicolas Pays M 6.4 90' 33 (28%)
11 Mamadou Camara F 6.4 90' 3 13 (8%)
19 Nordan Mukiele M 6.2 90' 40 (34%)
PAU
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Anthony Briançon D 7.2 90' 32 (29%) 1
8 Souleymane Basse D 6.8 90' 1 28 (21%) 2
5 Lorenzo Rajot M 6.7 71' 15 (7%) 1
39 Mathys Tourraine D 6.6 13' 1 7 (5%) 1
9 B. Leye F 6.6 63' 4 11 (11%)
1 Brice Maubleu G 6.5 90' 29 (16%)
2 Tom Pouilly D 6.5 77' 1 24 (18%) 2
27 Luan Gadegbeku M 6.4 19' 10 (7%)
18 J. Sebas F 6.4 27' 1 5 (5%)
10 Bilal Brahimi M 6.3 13' 1 (1%)
21 Jessy Benet M 6.3 90' 19 (14%) 1
19 Tom Saettel F 6.3 13' 3 (2%)
6 Cheikh Fall M 6.2 77' 1 15 (9%) 3
97 Akim Abdallah D 6.2 90' 1 19 (12%)
7 Hacene Benali F 6.1 77' 1 9 (6%) 1
29 Gaëtan Paquiez D 6.0 90' 25 (19%) 1
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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Montpellier oder Unentschieden
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Montpellier
DWLDW
PAU
WLDDL
Last 1 meetings Montpellier · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Montpellier will face PAU. Montpellier has shown solid form in recent matches, boasting a strong home record with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game this season. PAU, on the other hand, struggles defensively, allowing an average of 2 goals per game on the road. Key players to watch include Montpellier's forward, who leads the team in goals, and PAU's goalkeeper, who has faced a high number of shots. This match could significantly impact both teams’ standings, with Montpellier looking to capitalize on PAU's defensive vulnerabilities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
49%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
23%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Montpellier

No scorer data.

PAU
B. Leye 3 gls

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Head to Head: Montpellier vs PAU

0 Montpellier Wins
1 Draws
0 PAU Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Mar 2026 PAU 0 - 0 Montpellier

Montpellier — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Reims D 1 - 1
11 Sep H PAU W 1 - 0
05 Sep A Saint Etienne L 3 - 1
28 Aug H Boulogne D 0 - 0
21 Aug A Dunkerque W 0 - 1

PAU — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Dunkerque W 2 - 0
11 Sep A Montpellier L 1 - 0
04 Sep H Sochaux D 1 - 1
28 Aug A Rodez D 2 - 2
21 Aug H Nancy L 0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
7 5 1 1 +11 16
2
RED Star FC 93
7 4 2 1 +2 14
3
Reims
7 3 4 0 +6 13
4
Montpellier
7 3 3 1 +1 12
5
Metz
7 2 4 1 +3 10
6
Nancy
7 3 1 3 +1 10
7
Annecy
7 3 1 3 0 10
8
Sochaux
7 2 4 1 -1 10
9
Dijon
7 2 3 2 0 9
10
PAU
7 2 2 3 0 8
11
Guingamp
7 2 2 3 -2 8
12
Dunkerque
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Grenoble
7 2 2 3 -3 8
14
Rodez
7 2 1 4 -2 7
15
Nantes
7 2 1 4 -4 7
16
Clermont Foot
7 0 6 1 -2 6
17
Boulogne
7 0 5 2 -2 5
18
Laval
7 1 2 4 -6 5

Montpellier

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Z. Camara
31 Ngapandouetnbu
17 Sainte-Luce
6 Mouanga
15 Laporte
3 Hannach
27 Meddah
5 Tardieu
19 Mukiele
90 Ayem
18 Pays
11 Camara

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 Naoufel El Hannach D
15 J. Laporte D
6 Y. Mouanga D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
5 F. Tardieu M
27 D. Meddah M
18 N. Pays M
90 Gregory Ayem M
19 N. Mukiele M
11 M. Camara F

Substitutes

32 Hichem Abderrebi M
23 Daryll Benlahlou F
44 T. Chennahi M
50 V. Džodić G
39 J. Hatchi F
9 Lacine Megnan-Pave F
77 Everson M
40 N. Vidal-Cartoux M

PAU

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Thierry Debes
1 Maubleu
97 Abdallah
8 Basse
23 Briançon
29 Paquiez
2 Pouilly
5 Rajot
21 Benet
6 Fall
9 Leye
7 Benali

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Maubleu G
2 T. Pouilly D
29 G. Paquiez D
23 A. Briançon D
8 S. Basse D
97 A. Abdallah D
6 C. Fall M
21 J. Benet M
5 L. Rajot M
7 H. Benali F
9 B. Leye F

Substitutes

39 M. Tourraine D
18 J. Sebas F
30 E. Salles G
19 T. Saettel F
22 R. Baheng D
11 A. Lefebvre F
27 L. Gadegbeku M
4 A. Dodote D
10 B. Brahimi M

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