PAU vs Nancy Prognose

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 3

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Nancy

Away

KI-Tipp PAU oder Unentschieden

44%

30%

26%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

PAU vs. Nancy Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für PAU eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 44%, für Nancy 26% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 21 Aug 2026, 20:01.

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Heimteam trifft 71%
1st Half Draw or Away 70%

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Timeline

Gaëtan Paquiez Yellow Card

14' ▮

Axel Dodote Yellow Card

19' ▮

▮ 43'

Nehemiah Fernandez Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Luan Gadegbeku ⇄ Cheikh Fall

46' ⇄

Babacar Leye

46' ⇄

FT 0–1

PAU

Match Stats

Nancy

45% Ball Possession 55%

Expected Goals (xG)

4 Total Shots 0

0 Shots on Goal 0

1 Shots off Goal 0

3 Blocked Shots 0

2 Shots insidebox 0

2 Shots outsidebox 0

2 Corner Kicks 0

Offsides

2 Fouls 2

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

52 Total passes 68

38 Passes accurate 60

73% Passes % 88%

goals_prevented

PAU

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Jessy Benet M	6.9	15'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	1
10 Giovani Versini M	6.7	15'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
27 Luan Gadegbeku M	6.7	15'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
4 Axel Dodote D	6.6	15'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
7 Hacene Benali M	6.6	15'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
5 Lorenzo Rajot M	6.5	15'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
1 Brice Maubleu G	6.3	15'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
88 Axel Bamba D	6.3	15'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
2 Tom Pouilly D	6.3	15'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	1
9 Babacar Leye F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	2	–
29 Gaëtan Paquiez D	6.2	15'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–

Nancy

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
77 Yannis Nahounou D	7.0	15'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
70 Nordine Kandil M	6.9	15'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	1
1 Enzo Basilio G	6.7	15'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
44 Enzo Tacafred D	6.7	15'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
8 Walid Bouabdelli M	6.7	15'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
9 Ilyes Housni F	6.5	15'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
29 Noam Obougou Jacquet F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
4 Nehemiah Fernandez D	6.3	15'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
21 Elydjah Mendy D	6.3	15'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
6 Kouroufia Kébé M	6.3	15'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
7 Zakaria Fdaouch M	6.2	15'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

PAU oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

0:0 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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PAU

WLDDL

Nancy

WLLWW

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 match, PAU faces Nancy. PAU has struggled offensively, scoring only 1.1 goals per match on average this season, while their defense has conceded 1.3 goals, indicating vulnerabilities at both ends. Nancy, on the other hand, has shown a more balanced approach with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. Both teams will look to capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses, making for a potentially competitive fixture. Key players' performances in this match could be crucial in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nancy goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	9	4	1
1	15	14	5	1
2	10	8	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ PAU goals · most likely 0–0 (15.2%)

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Players in form

PAU

B. Leye 3 gls

Nancy

P. Meïssa Ba 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.2%	8.6%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
1	15.2%	14.4%	4.9%	1.2%	0.2%
2	10.4%	7.9%	3.0%	0.8%	0.1%
3	4.3%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

78%

1.5

22%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

44%

34%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PAU	Draw	Nancy
PAU	25.5%	3.4%	0.8%
Draw	19.7%	23.4%	9.3%
Nancy	1.9%	4.1%	11.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: PAU vs Nancy

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

PAU — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Dunkerque	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A Montpellier	L	1 - 0
04 Sep	H Sochaux	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Rodez	D	2 - 2
21 Aug	H Nancy	L	0 - 1

Nancy — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Rodez	W	3 - 4
11 Sep	H Reims	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Nantes	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Dunkerque	W	2 - 0
21 Aug	A PAU	W	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Nancy

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Oswald Tanchot

1 Basilio

44 Tacafred

21 Mendy

77 Nahounou

4 Fernandez

7 Fdaouch

8 Bouabdelli

6 Kébé

70 Kandil

29 Obougou

9 Housni

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Enzo Basilio	G
4	Nehemiah Fernandez	D
77	Yannis Nahounou	D
21	Elydjah Mendy	D
44	Enzo Tacafred	D
70	Nordine Kandil	M
6	Kouroufia Kébé	M
8	Walid Bouabdelli	M
7	Zakaria Fdaouch	M
9	Ilyes Housni	F
29	Noam Obougou	F

Substitutes

30	Geoffrey Lembet	G
2	Héliohdino Tavares	D
14	Nicolas Saint-Ruf	D
17	Mamadou Fofana	M
45	Chafik El Hansar	M
11	Sidi Cissé	F
20	Brandon Bokangu	M
26	Zakaria Ztouti	F
10	Adrian Dabasse	F

PAU

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Thierry Debes

1 Maubleu

29 Paquiez

88 Bamba

4 Dodote

2 Pouilly

27 Gadegbeku

7 Benali

5 Rajot

21 Benet

10 Versini

9 Leye

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Brice Maubleu	G
2	Tom Pouilly	D
4	Axel Dodote	D
88	Axel Bamba	D
29	Gaëtan Paquiez	D
27	Luan Gadegbeku	M
10	Giovani Versini	M
21	Jessy Benet	M
5	Lorenzo Rajot	M
7	Hacene Benali	M
9	Babacar Leye	F

Substitutes

30	Esteban Salles	G
39	Mathys Tourraine	D
8	Souleymane Basse	D
22	Rony Mimb Baheng	D
23	Anthony Briançon	D
11	Alexis Lefebvre	F
6	Cheikh Fall	M
19	Tom Saettel	F
14	Royce Openda	F