Montpellier vs Dijon Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 1

08 Aug 2026, 18:45

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Dijon

Away

KI-Tipp Montpellier oder Unentschieden

45%

29%

27%

Heimsieg · 1.98 Unentschieden · 3.54 Auswärtssieg · 4.10

Montpellier vs Dijon prediction: Sportiko gives Montpellier a 45% chance of winning, Dijon 27% and the draw 29%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Montpellier

WDDWW

Dijon

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Montpellier · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Montpellier will face Dijon. Historically, Montpellier has shown strong form at home, but recent performances suggest inconsistency, with a mixed bag of results in their last few matches. Dijon, on the other hand, has struggled to find their rhythm this season, often conceding goals late in matches. With both teams eager for points, the tactical battle will be crucial, particularly in midfield where control can dictate the game's pace. The outcome may hinge on Montpellier's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities against a vulnerable Dijon defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dijon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	5	2	1
1	9	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Montpellier goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	7.5%	5.4%	2.2%	0.6%
1	9.0%	14.3%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.3%	8.7%	5.2%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.4%	4.0%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Montpellier	Draw	Dijon
Montpellier	23.8%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	14.8%	18.8%	12.1%
Dijon	2.1%	4.4%	17.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Montpellier vs Dijon

2 Montpellier Wins

1 Draws

0 Dijon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Feb 2021	Montpellier	4 - 2	Dijon
27 Sep 2020	Dijon	2 - 2	Montpellier
25 Jan 2020	Montpellier	2 - 1	Dijon

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Montpellier — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A Clermont Foot	W	0 - 1
17 Jul	H Le Puy Foot	D	2 - 2
20 Mar	A PAU	D	0 - 0
13 Mar	H Laval	W	2 - 0
06 Mar	A Nancy	W	0 - 3

Dijon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A Sochaux	W	0 - 3
19 Mar	A Quevilly	W	0 - 1
13 Mar	H Aubagne	W	2 - 1
06 Mar	A Concarneau	W	0 - 1
23 May	A Saint Etienne	W	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Grenoble	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Metz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Saint Etienne	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Boulogne	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Clermont Foot	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Dijon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Guingamp	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Reims	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Laval	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	PAU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rodez	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Annecy	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Sochaux	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	RED Star FC 93	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.