Toluca vs Monterrey Prognose

Liga MX · Apertura - 16

08 Nov 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Monterrey

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Toluca

52%

29%

19%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Toluca vs. Monterrey Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Toluca eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 52%, für Monterrey 19% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

Premium-Tipps

Premium

Du siehst das kostenlose 1X2-Ergebnis – die präzisesten KI-Analysen aus allen 70+ Märkten sind Premium.

71%

Premium-Analysen ansehen

Kostenloses Konto

Alle heutigen KI-Prognosen freischalten – kostenlos

Du hast die heutigen kostenlosen Vorschauen gesehen. Erstelle ein kostenloses Konto für die KI-Prognose, Siegwahrscheinlichkeiten und Konfidenzwerte zu jedem Spiel – und folge deinen Teams für den täglichen Überblick.

Kostenlos registrieren

Bereits ein Konto? Anmelden

Premium

Vollständige KI-Analyse für Toluca vs Monterrey freischalten

Alle 70+ Wahrscheinlichkeitsmärkte
KI Deep-Dive Spielbericht
Value Edge — Modell vs. Markt
Von dir gewählte Tipp-Typen

Zu Premium wechseln

Kostenlos registrieren und freischalten

At a glance

Kostenlos registrieren und freischalten

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Toluca

LWWWW

Monterrey

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings Toluca · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Toluca faces Monterrey in a Liga MX clash, with both teams showing varying forms this season. Toluca has a solid home record, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Monterrey's away performance has been inconsistent, allowing 1.5 goals per match. Key players to watch include Toluca's leading scorer, who contributes significantly to their attacking play, and Monterrey's robust defense, which has the potential to disrupt Toluca's rhythm. The match's outcome may hinge on Toluca's ability to exploit their offensive strengths against Monterrey's defensive setup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monterrey goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	13	14	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Toluca goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Toluca

F. Viñas 4 gls

Monterrey

L. Ocampos 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Warum diese Auswahl? · Premium KI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	6.2%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.9%	13.6%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.1%	9.3%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.7%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.2%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toluca	Draw	Monterrey
Toluca	34.0%	4.2%	1.2%
Draw	17.9%	19.1%	8.4%
Monterrey	1.8%	3.5%	10.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Toluca vs Monterrey

3 Toluca Wins

0 Draws

0 Monterrey Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Sep 2026	Toluca	2 - 0	Monterrey
11 Jan 2026	Monterrey	0 - 1	Toluca
07 Dec 2025	Toluca	3 - 2	Monterrey

Alle 5 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Toluca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Santos Laguna	L	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Puebla	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Atlas	W	5 - 2
07 Sep	H Monterrey	W	2 - 0
03 Sep	H Leon	W	2 - 0

Monterrey — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Tigres UANL	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0
03 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	H Atletico San Luis	L	1 - 3

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.