CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Prognose

Liga MX · Apertura - 11

11 Oct 2026, 23:00

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Necaxa

Away

KI-Tipp Necaxa oder Unentschieden

29%

30%

42%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

CF Pachuca vs. Necaxa Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für CF Pachuca eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 29%, für Necaxa 42% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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CF Pachuca

DWWDD

Necaxa

LLDLD

Last 2 meetings CF Pachuca · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, CF Pachuca faces Necaxa. Pachuca has shown strong form at home this season, leveraging their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per match. In contrast, Necaxa struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match, which could be a critical factor. Historical head-to-head matches often see Pachuca dominate, especially in goal differential. Expect Pachuca to capitalize on their offensive strengths while testing Necaxa's defensive resilience.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

29%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

42%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Necaxa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ CF Pachuca goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 10 gls

Necaxa

J. Carranza 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

30%

Home Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

30%

Home Win

29%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	9.3%	7.8%	3.7%	1.3%
1	7.1%	14.2%	9.0%	4.3%	1.5%
2	5.0%	7.2%	5.2%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.9%	2.8%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CF Pachuca	Draw	Necaxa
CF Pachuca	16.8%	4.5%	2.2%
Draw	11.2%	18.6%	15.6%
Necaxa	1.7%	4.4%	25.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: CF Pachuca vs Necaxa

2 CF Pachuca Wins

0 Draws

0 Necaxa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Mar 2026	CF Pachuca	2 - 1	Necaxa
03 Oct 2025	Necaxa	0 - 1	CF Pachuca

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Club Tijuana	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Atlante FC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Atletico San Luis	D	1 - 1

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Puebla	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Tigres UANL	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Cruz Azul	L	1 - 3
24 Aug	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.