ST Mirren vs Celtic Prognose

Premiership · Regular Season - 6

Post on X

Celtic

Away

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Celtic

16%

22%

62%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

ST Mirren vs. Celtic Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für ST Mirren eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 16%, für Celtic 62% und für ein Unentschieden 22%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 5 Sep 2026, 21:01.

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5 72%
Away 1H Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

▮ 8'

Colby Donovan Yellow Card

Nikolas Agrafiotis Penalty

22' ⚽ 1–0

🖵 31'

Camilo Durán Goal cancelled

Calvin Ramsay Yellow Card

37' ▮

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 51'

Liam Scales assist: Benjamin Nygren

F. Taylor ⇄ Samu

62' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 68'

Yang Hyun-Jun assist: Camilo Durán

Nikolas Agrafiotis ⇄ Eseosa Sule

68' ⇄

C. Mochrie ⇄ L. Thomas

69' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Haissem Hassan ⇄ James Forrest

⇄ 73'

Mika Baur ⇄ Oliver Sørensen

⇄ 73'

Yang Hyun-Jun ⇄ Sebastian Tounekti

⇄ 83'

Camilo Durán ⇄ Shumaira Mheuka

R. Carr ⇄ Jake Young

83' ⇄

⇄ 87'

Colby Donovan ⇄ Dane Murray

🖵 90+5'

Shumaira Mheuka Goal cancelled

Eseosa Sule Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

P. Nsio Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

Samu Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

FT 1–2

ST Mirren

Match Stats

Celtic

40% Ball Possession 60%

19 Total Shots 23

6 Shots on Goal 8

6 Shots off Goal 10

7 Blocked Shots 5

8 Shots insidebox 20

11 Shots outsidebox 3

6 Corner Kicks 10

0 Offsides 2

6 Fouls 15

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

354 Total passes 528

269 Passes accurate 447

14 Free Kicks 6

ST Mirren

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 J. Chapman G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	37 (19%)	1
20 Jake Young F	6.9	7'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	1
8 R. Carr M	6.8	83'	–	–	–	46 (39%)	2
9 Eseosa Sule F	6.7	22'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	–
13 Alexander Gogić D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	47 (39%)	5
53 Henry Fieldson D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	41 (34%)	3
30 F. Taylor M	6.5	62'	–	–	3	24 (19%)	1
3 Declan John D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	31 (25%)	2
25 Nikolas Agrafiotis F	6.4	68'	1	–	1	7 (3%)	–
23 C. Mochrie M	6.3	69'	–	–	2	11 (9%)	1
48 P. Nsio M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	30 (23%)	3
19 Ismeal Kabia M	6.3	90'	–	–	3	26 (17%)	2
47 Calvin Ramsay D	6.2	90'	–	–	2	27 (19%)	6
16 L. Thomas M	6.1	21'	–	–	2	6 (5%)	1
10 Samu M	5.8	28'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–

Celtic

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Liam Scales D	8.0	90'	1	–	3	62 (53%)	2
11 Camilo Durán F	7.7	83'	–	1	4	16 (12%)	2
1 Viljami Sinisalo G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	–
20 Cameron Carter-Vickers D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	72 (62%)	4
22 Mika Baur M	7.2	73'	–	–	–	47 (43%)	3
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M	7.1	73'	1	–	5	39 (32%)	–
8 Benjamin Nygren M	7.1	90'	–	1	–	40 (31%)	–
6 Auston Trusty D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	73 (66%)	1
23 Haissem Hassan M	6.8	72'	–	–	4	22 (16%)	1
29 Shumaira Mheuka F	6.7	7'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
18 Oliver Sørensen M	6.6	17'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
42 Callum McGregor M	6.5	90'	–	–	3	59 (49%)	2
47 Dane Murray D	6.4	3'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
17 Sebastian Tounekti F	6.3	17'	–	–	2	10 (6%)	–
51 Colby Donovan D	6.3	87'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	3
49 James Forrest M	6.3	18'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Celtic

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.1%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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ST Mirren

LLLWD

Celtic

LLLWW

Last 3 meetings ST Mirren · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Celtic enters this match with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.5 goals per game in the league this season. ST Mirren, while solid defensively, has struggled against top-tier teams, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in their previous five fixtures. The match will be crucial for ST Mirren to establish their home form against a dominant Celtic side that boasts a high possession rate of over 65%. Given Celtic's depth and attacking prowess, they will likely look to control the game early and exploit any defensive lapses from ST Mirren.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

16%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

62%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celtic goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	7	9	7	4	2
1	3	10	10	8	4	2
2	2	5	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4			1
5

↑ ST Mirren goals · most likely 1–1 (10.1%)

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Players in form

ST Mirren

K. Phillips 3 gls

Samu 1 gls

Celtic

C. Durán 3 gls

B. Nygren 3 gls

K. Høgh 3 gls

Yang Hyun-Jun 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

22%

Home Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

22%

Home Win

16%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 16% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.9%	7.1%	9.3%	7.0%	3.9%
1	2.8%	10.1%	10.1%	7.6%	4.3%
2	2.2%	4.8%	5.4%	4.1%	2.3%
3	0.8%	1.7%	2.0%	1.5%	0.8%
4	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

29%

27%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ST Mirren	Draw	Celtic
ST Mirren	6.9%	2.3%	1.5%
Draw	7.4%	12.1%	13.4%
Celtic	2.2%	5.6%	48.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Away Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: ST Mirren vs Celtic

0 ST Mirren Wins

0 Draws

3 Celtic Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Celtic	1 - 0	ST Mirren
22 Nov 2025	ST Mirren	0 - 1	Celtic
03 Aug 2025	Celtic	1 - 0	ST Mirren

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dundee Utd	L	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Celtic	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Kilmarnock	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Motherwell	D	3 - 3

Celtic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Rangers	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	H Ferencvarosi TC	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Rangers	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	A ST Johnstone	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	A ST Mirren	W	1 - 2

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.