Alverca vs Moreirense Prognose

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Moreirense

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Moreirense

12%

26%

62%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Alverca vs. Moreirense Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Alverca eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 12%, für Moreirense 62% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 16%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Alverca

WWLDL

Moreirense

DWLLW

Last 2 meetings Alverca · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Alverca will face Moreirense, both teams looking to secure valuable points. Alverca's attack has shown promise, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Moreirense's defense has conceded 1.4 goals per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities. Moreirense will need to tighten their backline to avoid being exposed by Alverca's offensive threats. Both teams have struggled with consistency, making this encounter crucial for their aspirations in the league. Key players to watch include Alverca's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their recent performances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Moreirense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	16	15	8	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	3	3	1	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Alverca goals · most likely 0–1 (16.0%)

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Players in form

Alverca

D. Camara 3 gls

Moreirense

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

26%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

26%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	16.0%	14.5%	8.1%	3.4%
1	4.9%	11.8%	8.7%	4.9%	2.0%
2	1.9%	3.1%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%
3	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alverca	Draw	Moreirense
Alverca	6.4%	3.1%	1.9%
Draw	5.4%	18.4%	21.9%
Moreirense	0.6%	3.0%	39.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alverca vs Moreirense

1 Alverca Wins

0 Draws

1 Moreirense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Alverca	2 - 1	Moreirense
10 Aug 2025	Moreirense	2 - 1	Alverca

Alverca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Nacional	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H SC Braga	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Santa Clara	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 1

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.