Ajax vs Heerenveen Prognose
FT
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Ajax
65%
20%
15%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Ajax vs. Heerenveen Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Ajax eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 65%, für Heerenveen 15% und für ein Unentschieden 20%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 16 Aug 2026, 16:38.
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Timeline
Bernt Klaverboer
Own Goal
7'
⚽
1–0
Abdellah Ouazane
assist: Caio Henrique
33'
⚽
2–0
⚽
2–1
45'
Jacob Trenskow
assist: Sam Kersten
HT 2–1
▮
51'
Jacob Trenskow
Yellow Card
Youri Regeer
Yellow Card
57'
▮
⇄
58'
Luca Oyen
⇄ Maxence Rivera
Aaron Bouwman
Yellow Card
65'
▮
Kasper Dolberg
⇄ Marcos Leonardo
65'
⇄
Oscar Gloukh
⇄ Julian Brandt
65'
⇄
Davy Klaassen
⇄ Jorthy Mokio
73'
⇄
⇄
73'
Ringo Meerveld
⇄ Lanroy Machine
⚽
2–2
82'
Maxence Rivera
Lucas Rosa
Yellow Card
86'
▮
Steven Berghuis
⇄ Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
86'
⇄
Abdellah Ouazane
⇄ Tolu Arokodare
87'
⇄
⇄
87'
Oliver Braude
⇄ Hristiyan Petrov
FT 2–2
Ajax
Match Stats
Heerenveen
52%
Ball Possession
48%
1.74
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
20
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
2
8
Blocked Shots
3
14
Shots insidebox
8
6
Shots outsidebox
5
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4
477
Total passes
451
430
Passes accurate
398
90%
Passes %
88%
-1.44
goals_prevented
-1.44
Ajax
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 Abdellah Ouazane M | 8.5 | 87' | 1 | – | 2 | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 1 Marc-André Ter Stegen G | 8.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | – |
| 6 Youri Regeer M | 7.5 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 59 (56%) | 3 |
| 10 Oscar Gloukh M | 7.2 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 31 (26%) | – |
| 2 Lucas Rosa D | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 50 (49%) | 3 |
| 18 Davy Klaassen M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | 2 |
| 38 Marcos Leonardo F | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 8 Julian Brandt M | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 23 Steven Berghuis M | 6.6 | 86' | – | – | 3 | 43 (36%) | – |
| 15 Youri Baas D | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 68 (62%) | 1 |
| 30 Aaron Bouwman D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 81 (78%) | 1 |
| 12 Caio Henrique D | 6.2 | 89' | – | 1 | – | 38 (32%) | – |
| 24 Jorthy Mokio M | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Kasper Dolberg F | 6.0 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 8 (4%) | – |
| 20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F | — | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 99 Tolu Arokodare F | — | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
Heerenveen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Maxence Rivera M | 7.5 | 31' | 1 | – | 2 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 4 Sam Kersten D | 7.3 | 89' | – | 1 | – | 73 (71%) | 4 |
| 20 Jacob Trenskow M | 7.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 6 Dirk Proper M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 16 Marcus Linday M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 57 (49%) | – |
| 10 Ringo Meerveld M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| 11 Luca Oyen M | 6.9 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 29 Lanroy Machine F | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 3 Maas Willemsen D | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 63 (61%) | – |
| 45 Oliver Braude D | 6.5 | 87' | – | – | – | 51 (38%) | 2 |
| 9 Dylan Vente F | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 19 Vasilios Zagaritis D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 28 (28%) | – |
| 22 Bernt Klaverboer G | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | – |
| 28 Hristiyan Petrov D | — | 2' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (65%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Ajax
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Ajax
DWWLW
Heerenveen
WDLDL
Last 3 meetings
Ajax · 1W 2D 0L
Match summary
Ajax faces Heerenveen in an Eredivisie matchup on August 16, 2026. Ajax has historically dominated this fixture, boasting a strong home record and a significantly higher average possession rate compared to Heerenveen. Their attacking prowess, evidenced by a higher goals-per-match ratio, will be crucial against a Heerenveen side that has struggled defensively in previous seasons. Heerenveen will need to focus on a compact defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to secure a positive result. Overall, Ajax is favored to control the game and create numerous scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
65%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
15%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Ajax
J. Brandt
4 gls
Heerenveen
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Ajax vs Heerenveen
1
Ajax Wins
2
Draws
0
Heerenveen Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Heerenveen | 0 - 0 | Ajax |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Ajax | 1 - 1 | Heerenveen |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Heerenveen | 0 - 2 | Ajax |
Ajax — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Excelsior | D | 2 - 2 |
| 15 Sep | H Willem II | W | 5 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Fortuna Sittard | W | 1 - 5 |
| 05 Sep | H PSV Eindhoven | L | 1 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Telstar | W | 0 - 4 |
Heerenveen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Sparta Rotterdam | W | 0 - 4 |
| 13 Sep | H Telstar | D | 0 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H AZ Alkmaar | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Willem II | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | H PEC Zwolle | L | 0 - 2 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
Ajax
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Michel
1
Stegen
12
Henrique
15
Baas
30
Bouwman
2
Rosa
6
Regeer
18
Klaassen
68
Ouazane
10
Gloukh
23
Berghuis
9
Dolberg
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc-André Ter Stegen | G |
| 2 | Lucas Rosa | D |
| 30 | Aaron Bouwman | D |
| 15 | Youri Baas | D |
| 12 | Caio Henrique | D |
| 18 | Davy Klaassen | M |
| 6 | Youri Regeer | M |
| 23 | Steven Berghuis | M |
| 10 | Oscar Gloukh | M |
| 68 | Abdellah Ouazane | M |
| 9 | Kasper Dolberg | F |
Substitutes
| 38 | Marcos Leonardo | F |
| 8 | Julian Brandt | M |
| 24 | Jorthy Mokio | M |
| 20 | Oliver Valaker Edvardsen | F |
| 99 | Tolu Arokodare | F |
| 26 | Maarten Paes | G |
| 22 | Joeri Heerkens | G |
| 4 | Ko Itakura | D |
| 3 | Anton Gaaei | D |
| 36 | Dies Janse | D |
| 5 | Owen Wijndal | D |
| 7 | Maher Carrizo | F |
Heerenveen
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Veldeman
22
Klaverboer
19
Zagaritis
3
Willemsen
4
Kersten
45
Braude
6
Proper
16
Linday
11
Oyen
10
Meerveld
20
Trenskow
9
Vente
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bernt Klaverboer | G |
| 45 | Oliver Braude | D |
| 4 | Sam Kersten | D |
| 3 | Maas Willemsen | D |
| 19 | Vasilios Zagaritis | D |
| 16 | Marcus Linday | M |
| 6 | Dirk Wanner Proper | M |
| 20 | Jacob Trenskow | M |
| 10 | Ringo Meerveld | M |
| 11 | Luca Oyen | M |
| 9 | Dylan Vente | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | Maxence Rivera | M |
| 29 | Lanroy Machine | F |
| 28 | Hristiyan Petrov | D |
| 30 | Timo Schreuder | G |
| 44 | Andries Noppert | G |
| 23 | Darling Bladi | D |
| 17 | Nikolai Soyset Hopland | D |
| 41 | Jimte Scholten | D |
| 36 | Nolhan Courtens | M |
| 14 | Levi Smans | M |
| 8 | Luuk Brouwers | M |
| 47 | Kirayno Schaken | F |