Monaco vs Lyon Prognose

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

06 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Lyon

Away

Stade Louis-II, Monaco

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Monaco

56%

24%

21%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Monaco vs. Lyon Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Monaco eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 56%, für Lyon 21% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 10.8%

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

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Monaco

WDWWW

Lyon

WWDWD

Last 3 meetings Monaco · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lyon, both teams will seek to assert their attacking prowess. Monaco has shown strength in their offensive play, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Lyon has been slightly less prolific at 1.5 goals per game. Defensively, Monaco has also been solid, allowing just 1.2 goals per game compared to Lyon's 1.4. The outcome could hinge on which team's midfield can effectively control possession and create opportunities, making this a pivotal match for both sides in their pursuit of European competition.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lyon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	3	3	1
1	7	11	6	2	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	6	7	4	2	1
4	3	4	2	1
5	1	2	1

↑ Monaco goals · most likely 1–1 (10.8%)

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Players in form

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	3.3%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%
1	6.6%	10.8%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
2	8.2%	10.0%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%
3	5.7%	6.9%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%
4	3.0%	3.6%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monaco	Draw	Lyon
Monaco	36.4%	4.2%	1.7%
Draw	17.7%	13.5%	7.7%
Lyon	3.2%	4.2%	11.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monaco vs Lyon

2 Monaco Wins

0 Draws

1 Lyon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Lyon	1 - 2	Monaco
03 Jan 2026	Monaco	1 - 3	Lyon
10 May 2025	Monaco	2 - 0	Lyon

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.