Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain Prognose

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

30 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Paris Saint Germain

Away

Stade Louis-II, Monaco

KI-Tipp Monaco gewinnt oder unentschieden

67%

21%

12%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Monaco vs. Paris Saint Germain Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Monaco eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 67%, für Paris Saint Germain 12% und für ein Unentschieden 21%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 12%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Monaco

WDWWW

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Last 3 meetings Monaco · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on January 30, 2027, Monaco faces Paris Saint Germain. Historically, PSG has dominated this fixture, winning 60% of their encounters since 2010. Monaco's recent form shows a solid attack, averaging 2 goals per game in their last five matches, while PSG has maintained a strong defensive record, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game in the same timeframe. The match will be pivotal for both teams as they vie for league supremacy, with Monaco needing a win to bolster their title hopes against the reigning champions. Expect a tactical battle, with both teams keen to assert their style early on.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris Saint Germain goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	2
1	10	10	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	9	7	3	1
4	5	4	2
5	2	2	1

↑ Monaco goals · most likely 2–0 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	2.9%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.7%	10.2%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.0%	10.0%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	8.8%	7.3%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	4.8%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monaco	Draw	Paris Saint Germain
Monaco	50.1%	3.6%	0.9%
Draw	16.4%	12.9%	4.7%
Paris Saint Germain	2.0%	2.9%	6.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain

2 Monaco Wins

1 Draws

0 Paris Saint Germain Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Sep 2026	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 2	Monaco
06 Mar 2026	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 3	Monaco
25 Feb 2026	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 2	Monaco

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.