Lorient vs Marseille Prognose

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

23 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Marseille

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Lorient

59%

27%

14%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Lorient vs. Marseille Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lorient eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 59%, für Marseille 14% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 14%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Lorient

LDWLD

Marseille

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Lorient · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Lorient will host Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash on January 23, 2027. Lorient has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season. Marseille, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game, driven by their top scorer who has found the net consistently. The matchup will hinge on whether Lorient can contain Marseille's offensive threats while capitalizing on their set-pieces, where they have been particularly effective. This contest promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams needing to secure vital points in their campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Marseille goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	5	2	1
1	14	12	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Lorient goals · most likely 1–0 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Lorient

No scorer data.

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

27%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

27%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	5.1%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
1	14.0%	12.4%	3.9%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.1%	9.3%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	7.4%	5.2%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.1%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lorient	Draw	Marseille
Lorient	37.7%	3.4%	0.8%
Draw	20.8%	17.9%	6.2%
Marseille	2.1%	3.4%	7.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Marseille

1 Lorient Wins

0 Draws

2 Marseille Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Apr 2026	Lorient	2 - 0	Marseille
12 Sep 2025	Marseille	4 - 0	Lorient
12 May 2024	Marseille	3 - 1	Lorient

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Le Mans	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Lens	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Estac Troyes	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Nice	D	0 - 0

Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.