AC Milan vs Lecce Prognose
AC Milan vs. Lecce Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für AC Milan eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 73%, für Lecce 9% und für ein Unentschieden 18%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 20:40.
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Match Report
AC Milan made light work of Lecce in Serie A's fifth matchday, securing a comfortable 3–0 home victory that was rarely in doubt. Christian Pulišić broke the deadlock early, finishing in the 14th minute to give the hosts a deserved lead they carried into the break. Milan's dominance was reflected in their 70% possession and an expected goals figure of 1.93 compared to Lecce's meagre 0.17, underlining just how one-sided the contest was. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 73%, a call that proved well-founded.
The second half brought further comfort for the home side. Adrien Rabiot doubled the advantage on 61 minutes before Diego Moreira added a third just twelve minutes later to put the result beyond any doubt. A yellow card for Danilo Veiga on 58 minutes was Lecce's most notable contribution to the second period.
Milan's coaching staff used the closing stages to rotate freely, introducing Alexis Saelemaekers, Samuel Chukwueze, and others as the game wound down, leaving Lecce with little to show from their trip to San Siro.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AC Milan
Match Stats
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Christian Pulišić F | 8.9 | 69' | 1 | – | 1 | 46 (43%) | – |
| 12 Adrien Rabiot M | 8.3 | 91' | 1 | – | 1 | 76 (71%) | 1 |
| 22 Diego Moreira F | 8.2 | 22' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 31 Strahinja Pavlović D | 7.9 | 91' | – | 1 | 1 | 106 (99%) | 1 |
| 56 Alexis Saelemaekers F | 7.7 | 69' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | 5 |
| 16 Mike Maignan G | 7.7 | 91' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | – |
| 14 Luka Modrić M | 7.2 | 76' | – | – | – | 93 (88%) | 2 |
| 34 Mario Gila Fuentes D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 67 (59%) | 1 |
| 2 Pervis Estupiñán M | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 58 (54%) | – |
| 8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 5 Koni De Winter D | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 67 (62%) | 1 |
| 9 Gonçalo Ramos F | 6.3 | 91' | – | 1 | – | 34 (30%) | – |
| 80 Yunus Musah M | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 33 Davide Bartesaghi D | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 21 Samuel Chukwueze M | 6.3 | 87' | – | – | – | 36 (28%) | 3 |
| 73 Francesco Camarda F | — | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
Lecce
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Ivan Ilić M | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 7 Amar Fatah F | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 9 Nikola Štulić F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 5 Jamil Siebert D | 6.6 | 91' | – | – | – | 35 (31%) | 6 |
| 99 Joël Monteiro F | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 29 Lassana Coulibaly F | 6.5 | 91' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 77 Mohamed Kaba M | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 25 Antonino Gallo D | 6.5 | 91' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | 3 |
| 14 Youssef Maleh M | 6.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 3 |
| 11 Konan N'Dri F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 4 Kialonda Gaspar D | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 43 (42%) | 3 |
| 30 Wladimiro Falcone G | 6.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 30 (18%) | 1 |
| 79 Oumar Ngom M | 6.2 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 50 Santiago Pierotti M | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 22 Paco Esteban F | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 17 Danilo Veiga D | 5.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | 5 |
Vollständige KI-Analyse für AC Milan vs Lecce freischalten
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At a glance
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Live insights
AC Milan now leads 3-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 33.9%.
Min 76: AC Milan leads 3-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
AC Milan now leads 2-0 with 98.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 54.6%.
Half-time: 1-0. AC Milan leads. Win probability: 85.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.6%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. AC Milan win: 85.2%. BTTS: 50%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Diego Moreira
3 gls
A. Rabiot
2 gls
L. Coulibaly
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Milan vs Lecce
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | AC Milan | 1 - 0 | Lecce |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Lecce | 0 - 2 | AC Milan |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Lecce | 2 - 3 | AC Milan |
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lecce | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lazio | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Juventus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Venezia | W | 2 - 0 |
Lecce — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A AC Milan | L | 3 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Monza | W | 3 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Cagliari | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Aug | H AS Roma | L | 0 - 4 |
| 23 Aug | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AC Milan
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Ruben Amorim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mike Maignan | G |
| 34 | Mario Gila | D |
| 5 | Koni De Winter | D |
| 31 | Strahinja Pavlović | D |
| 21 | Samuel Chukwueze | M |
| 14 | Luka Modrić | M |
| 12 | Adrien Rabiot | M |
| 2 | Pervis Estupiñán | M |
| 11 | Christian Pulišić | F |
| 56 | Alexis Saelemaekers | F |
| 9 | Gonçalo Ramos | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Diego Moreira | F |
| 8 | Ruben Loftus-Cheek | M |
| 80 | Yunus Musah | M |
| 33 | Davide Bartesaghi | D |
| 73 | Francesco Camarda | F |
| 96 | Lorenzo Torriani | G |
| 1 | Pietro Terracciano | G |
| 13 | Sankhoun Diawara | D |
| 42 | Filippo Terracciano | D |
| 46 | Matteo Gabbia | D |
| 23 | Fikayo Tomori | D |
| 28 | Christian Comotto | M |
| 30 | Ardon Jashari | M |
| 20 | Omari Hutchinson | F |
| 70 | Alphadjo Cissè | M |
Lecce
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wladimiro Falcone | G |
| 17 | Danilo Veiga | D |
| 4 | Kialonda Gaspar | D |
| 5 | Jamil Siebert | D |
| 25 | Antonino Gallo | D |
| 50 | Santiago Pierotti | M |
| 20 | Ivan Ilić | M |
| 14 | Youssef Maleh | M |
| 29 | Lassana Coulibaly | F |
| 9 | Nikola Štulić | F |
| 99 | Joël Monteiro | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Paco Esteban | F |
| 79 | Oumar Ngom | M |
| 77 | Mohamed Kaba | M |
| 7 | Amar Fatah | F |
| 11 | Konan N'Dri | F |
| 32 | Alexandru Borbei | G |
| 1 | Marco Bleve | G |
| 31 | Elijah Scott | D |
| 18 | Gaby Jean | D |
| 2 | Ali Dembélé | D |
| 3 | Corrie Ndaba | D |
| 28 | Olaf Gorter | M |
| 8 | Sadik Fofana | M |