AS Roma vs Inter Prognose

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose
36%
27%
38%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

AS Roma vs. Inter Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für AS Roma eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 36%, für Inter 38% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 17:57.

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Timeline

Manu Koné assist: Nahuel Molina
6' 1–0
11'
Nicolò Barella Yellow Card
Manu Koné assist: Gianluca Mancini
37' 2–0
45+4'
Manuel Akanji Yellow Card
HT 2–0
2–1 46'
Lautaro Martínez assist: Marcus Thuram
54'
Curtis Jones ⇄ Petar Sučić
54'
Federico Dimarco ⇄ Carlos Augusto
57'
Alessandro Bastoni Yellow Card
Gianluca Mancini ⇄ Evan Ndicka
60'
Manu Koné ⇄ Niccolò Pisilli
60'
Nahuel Molina ⇄ Devyne Rensch
60'
63'
Alessandro Bastoni ⇄ Luís Henrique
Leonardo Balerdi ⇄ Daniele Ghilardi
66'
Evan Ndicka Yellow Card
73'
2–2 79'
Lautaro Martínez assist: Yann Bisseck
Mario Hermoso ⇄ Konstantinos Koulierakis
81'
Konstantinos Koulierakis Yellow Card
82'
Daniele Ghilardi Yellow Card
89'
90'
Marcus Thuram ⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny
90'
Lautaro Martínez ⇄ Francesco Pio Esposito
FT 2–2
AS Roma

Match Stats

Inter
49% Ball Possession 51%
1.69 Expected Goals (xG) 2.37
18 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 8
7 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 11
6 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Corner Kicks 2
3 Offsides 3
12 Fouls 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
459 Total passes 465
387 Passes accurate 402
84% Passes % 86%
-0.83 goals_prevented -0.83
AS Roma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Manu Koné M 9.2 60' 2 2 40 (34%)
99 Mile Svilar G 7.9 89' 31 (18%)
21 Paulo Dybala F 7.6 89' 3 43 (39%)
18 Matías Soulé F 7.3 89' 1 50 (42%)
43 Wesley M 7.0 89' 42 (33%) 1
20 Nahuel Molina M 6.9 60' 1 1 36 (31%)
14 D. Malen F 6.9 89' 2 21 (19%)
22 Mario Hermoso D 6.9 81' 35 (31%) 3
4 Bryan Cristante M 6.9 89' 1 53 (46%) 2
26 Leonardo Balerdi D 6.6 66' 25 (20%) 3
5 Evan Ndicka D 6.5 29' 10 (10%)
2 Devyne Rensch D 6.5 29' 11 (10%) 1
61 Niccolò Pisilli M 6.3 29' 16 (14%)
23 Gianluca Mancini D 6.2 60' 1 1 20 (17%) 1
87 Daniele Ghilardi D 6.2 23' 7 (5%)
3 Konstantinos Koulierakis D 6.2 8' 5 (4%)
Inter
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Lautaro Martínez F 8.3 89' 2 5 25 (20%) 2
31 Yann Bisseck D 7.6 89' 1 1 46 (36%) 3
9 Marcus Thuram F 7.3 89' 1 3 23 (20%) 2
8 Petar Sučić M 7.0 35' 28 (26%) 2
25 Manuel Akanji D 6.9 89' 1 54 (49%) 3
23 Nicolò Barella M 6.9 89' 46 (37%)
17 Andy Diouf M 6.9 89' 1 30 (28%) 1
7 Piotr Zieliński M 6.7 89' 1 41 (39%)
32 Federico Dimarco M 6.6 54' 24 (20%)
11 Luís Henrique F 6.6 26' 18 (15%)
30 Carlos Augusto D 6.6 35' 20 (18%)
95 Alessandro Bastoni D 6.5 63' 1 41 (38%) 2
21 Curtis Jones M 6.5 54' 20 (18%)
1 Josep Martínez G 6.3 89' 39 (31%)
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
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AS Roma
DWDWW
Inter
DWLWW
Last 3 meetings AS Roma · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between AS Roma and Inter, both teams are expected to bring their A-game. AS Roma will rely on their solid defensive record, having conceded only 1 goal in their last 4 league matches. Inter, known for their attacking prowess, have scored an average of 2 goals per match this season, showcasing their offensive depth. The tactical matchup will be crucial, as Roma's counter-attacking style could exploit Inter's high defensive line. This contest promises to be a tightly contested affair, with both sides looking to solidify their standings early in the season.

Live insights

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 76.2%. Late goal chance: 25.7%.

80' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 71.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: AS Roma leads 2-1. Win probability: 80.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 19.3%.

47' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. AS Roma win: 67.9%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. AS Roma leads. Win probability: 88.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
38%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

AS Roma
D. Malen 6 gls
M. Soulé 2 gls
Inter
Lautaro Martínez 4 gls
M. Thuram 2 gls
F. Esposito 2 gls

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Head to Head: AS Roma vs Inter

1 AS Roma Wins
0 Draws
2 Inter Wins
Date Home Score Away
05 Apr 2026 Inter 5 - 2 AS Roma
18 Oct 2025 AS Roma 0 - 1 Inter
27 Apr 2025 Inter 0 - 1 AS Roma
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Inter D 2 - 2
14 Sep A Torino W 0 - 2
10 Sep A Fenerbahçe D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Atalanta W 2 - 1
31 Aug A Lecce W 0 - 4

Inter — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A AS Roma D 2 - 2
14 Sep H Udinese W 5 - 3
08 Sep A Real Madrid L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Napoli W 3 - 2
30 Aug A Cagliari W 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

AS Roma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
99 Svilar
22 Hermoso
26 Balerdi
23 Mancini
20 Molina
17 Koné
4 Cristante
43 Wesley
18 Soulé
21 Dybala
14 Malen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Mile Svilar G
23 Gianluca Mancini D
26 Leonardo Balerdi D
22 Mario Hermoso D
43 Wesley M
4 Bryan Cristante M
17 Manu Koné M
20 Nahuel Molina M
21 Paulo Dybala F
18 Matías Soulé F
14 Donyell Malen F

Substitutes

5 Evan Ndicka D
61 Niccolò Pisilli M
2 Devyne Rensch D
87 Daniele Ghilardi D
70 Giorgio De Marzi G
95 Pierluigi Gollini G
3 Konstantinos Koulierakis D
15 Marten de Roon M
86 Rodrigo Mora M
77 Emanuele Lulli D
9 Santiago Castro F
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini M

Inter

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Cristian Chivu
1 Martínez
95 Bastoni
25 Akanji
31 Bisseck
7 Zieliński
32 Dimarco
21 Jones
23 Barella
17 Diouf
9 Thuram
10 Martínez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Josep Martínez G
31 Yann Bisseck D
25 Manuel Akanji D
95 Alessandro Bastoni D
7 Piotr Zieliński M
17 Andy Diouf M
23 Nicolò Barella M
21 Curtis Jones M
32 Federico Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 Marcus Thuram F

Substitutes

30 Carlos Augusto D
8 Petar Sučić M
11 Luís Henrique F
49 Ivan Provedel G
12 Raffaele Di Gennaro G
28 Benjamin Pavard D
46 Leonardo Bovio D
22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M
5 Aleksandar Stanković M
14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F
94 Pio Esposito F
48 Mattia Mosconi F

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