Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

06 Feb 2027, 14:30

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RB Leipzig

Away

KI-Tipp RB Leipzig gewinnt

14%

83%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hamburger SV eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 3%, für RB Leipzig 83% und für ein Unentschieden 14%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 20.1%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Hamburger SV

WLLLW

RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Hamburger SV · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In this Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV will face RB Leipzig, both teams seeking crucial points. RB Leipzig enters the match with a strong attacking lineup, averaging 2.3 goals per game this season, while Hamburger SV has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game. Leipzig's midfield control, led by key playmakers, will be essential to breaking down Hamburg's defense. Conversely, Hamburg will need to capitalize on set-pieces and counter-attacks to threaten Leipzig’s backline. Given Leipzig's superior form and overall squad depth, they are favored to secure a positive result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

RB Leipzig goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	16	20	16	9	5
1	1	6	6	5	3	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Hamburger SV goals · most likely 0–2 (20.1%)

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Players in form

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

83%

Draw

14%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

83%

Draw

14%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

97% Away (No Draw) 3% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

60% Away Win by 2+ 0% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

83% Away Scores More 14% Equal Goals 3% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	16.2%	20.1%	16.0%	9.5%
1	1.5%	5.7%	6.0%	4.8%	2.9%
2	0.3%	0.8%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

33%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hamburger SV	Draw	RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV	1.5%	1.4%	1.4%
Draw	1.4%	10.5%	23.8%
RB Leipzig	0.1%	1.2%	58.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

Away Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

22%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig

0 Hamburger SV Wins

0 Draws

3 RB Leipzig Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	RB Leipzig	5 - 0	Hamburger SV
01 Mar 2026	Hamburger SV	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
18 Oct 2025	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Hamburger SV

Alle 7 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.