Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

17 Oct 2026, 13:30

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Borussia Dortmund

Away

KI-Tipp Borussia Dortmund gewinnt oder unentschieden

19%

77%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Union Berlin vs. Borussia Dortmund Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Union Berlin eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 4%, für Borussia Dortmund 77% und für ein Unentschieden 19%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Union Berlin

LLLDW

Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Union Berlin · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Union Berlin will face Borussia Dortmund. Union Berlin has shown resilience at home, typically maintaining a solid defensive structure, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season. Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, boasts one of the league's most potent attacks, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Key players like Dortmund's forward line will test Union's defense, while the hosts will rely on set-pieces and counter-attacks to exploit any gaps. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams vying for crucial points in their respective campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Borussia Dortmund goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	20	20	13	7	3
1	2	7	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Union Berlin goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

77%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

77%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

95% Away (No Draw) 5% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

50% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Away Scores More 19% Equal Goals 4% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

22%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.4%	20.0%	20.4%	13.3%	6.5%
1	2.4%	7.0%	6.1%	4.0%	2.0%
2	0.5%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin	2.2%	1.7%	1.3%
Draw	2.0%	14.8%	25.0%
Borussia Dortmund	0.1%	1.5%	51.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund

0 Union Berlin Wins

0 Draws

3 Borussia Dortmund Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Union Berlin	0 - 3	Borussia Dortmund
31 Aug 2025	Borussia Dortmund	3 - 0	Union Berlin
22 Feb 2025	Borussia Dortmund	6 - 0	Union Berlin

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.