Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

17 Oct 2026, 13:30

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VfB Stuttgart

Away

KI-Tipp VfB Stuttgart gewinnt oder unentschieden

19%

74%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hamburger SV eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 6%, für VfB Stuttgart 74% und für ein Unentschieden 19%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 16.7%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Hamburger SV

WLLLW

VfB Stuttgart

LLWWL

Last 3 meetings Hamburger SV · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV faces VfB Stuttgart. Both teams have shown fluctuating form this season, with Hamburger SV currently positioned mid-table and Stuttgart vying for a top spot. Key players to watch include HSV's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Stuttgart's dynamic midfield, which excels at controlling possession. Historically, matches between these two have been competitive, suggesting a closely contested encounter. Tactical setups will be crucial, with Hamburger likely adopting a more defensive stance against Stuttgart's aggressive forward line.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

VfB Stuttgart goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	15	17	12	6	3
1	3	9	8	6	3	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Hamburger SV goals · most likely 0–2 (16.7%)

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Players in form

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

VfB Stuttgart

J. Vagnoman 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

92% Away (No Draw) 8% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Away Scores More 19% Equal Goals 6% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	14.6%	16.7%	11.9%	6.4%
1	2.6%	8.8%	8.4%	6.0%	3.2%
2	0.9%	2.0%	2.1%	1.5%	0.8%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hamburger SV	Draw	VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV	3.4%	2.2%	1.9%
Draw	3.1%	13.2%	23.0%
VfB Stuttgart	0.4%	2.3%	50.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

61%

30%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart

1 Hamburger SV Wins

0 Draws

2 VfB Stuttgart Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	VfB Stuttgart	4 - 0	Hamburger SV
30 Nov 2025	Hamburger SV	2 - 1	VfB Stuttgart
05 Jun 2023	Hamburger SV	1 - 3	VfB Stuttgart

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	L	2 - 1
09 Sep	H Viking	W	3 - 1
04 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	4 - 1
28 Aug	A Bayern München	L	5 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.