Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

10 Oct 2026, 13:30

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SV Elversberg

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Union Berlin

52%

31%

18%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Union Berlin vs. SV Elversberg Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Union Berlin eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 52%, für SV Elversberg 18% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Union Berlin

LLLDW

SV Elversberg

DLWWW

Match summary

Union Berlin faces SV Elversberg in a Bundesliga clash on October 10, 2026. Union Berlin has shown a solid home record with a strong defensive setup, averaging 1.5 goals conceded per match this season. SV Elversberg, newly promoted, struggles with consistency and has difficulty against established top-tier defenses, averaging only 0.8 goals per match. This matchup will likely hinge on Union Berlin's ability to exploit Elversberg's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own defensive solidity.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SV Elversberg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	7	3	1
1	15	14	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	4	1
4	2	1	1
5	1

↑ Union Berlin goals · most likely 1–0 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

SV Elversberg

M. Krattenmacher 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

31%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

31%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	7.0%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%
1	15.1%	13.7%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.7%	8.6%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%
3	5.5%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.9%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union Berlin	Draw	SV Elversberg
Union Berlin	31.8%	3.7%	0.9%
Draw	19.3%	21.2%	7.9%
SV Elversberg	1.8%	3.6%	9.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

SV Elversberg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Bayern München	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
29 Aug	H Bayer Leverkusen	W	3 - 2
22 Aug	A MSV Duisburg	W	1 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.