Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

10 Oct 2026, 13:30

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Werder Bremen

Away

KI-Tipp Borussia Dortmund gewinnt

81%

16%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Borussia Dortmund vs. Werder Bremen Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Borussia Dortmund eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 81%, für Werder Bremen 3% und für ein Unentschieden 16%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

Werder Bremen

WDWLW

Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund hosts Werder Bremen. Dortmund has been strong at home, boasting a solid attack, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded around 1.2 goals. Conversely, Bremen has struggled on the road, with only 1 point from their last four away fixtures and a goal difference of -7. Key players to watch include Dortmund’s leading scorer, who has netted 5 goals this season, and Bremen’s top playmaker, who will need to create chances to overcome Dortmund’s disciplined backline. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Werder Bremen goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	17	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ Borussia Dortmund goals · most likely 2–0 (20.3%)

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Players in form

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

Werder Bremen

N. Füllkrug 3 gls

M. Grüll 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

57% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

81% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	17.2%	6.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.4%	4.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.7%	2.6%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund	56.9%	1.3%	0.1%
Draw	24.2%	11.5%	1.5%
Werder Bremen	1.4%	1.4%	1.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

2 Borussia Dortmund Wins

1 Draws

0 Werder Bremen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 May 2026	Werder Bremen	0 - 2	Borussia Dortmund
13 Jan 2026	Borussia Dortmund	3 - 0	Werder Bremen
25 Jan 2025	Borussia Dortmund	2 - 2	Werder Bremen

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

Werder Bremen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FC Augsburg	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A 1. FC Köln	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A SC Freiburg	L	4 - 1
22 Aug	A Lüneburger SK Hansa	W	0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.