Elche vs Barcelona Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

23 Aug 2026, 19:30

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Barcelona

Away

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24%

51%

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Elche vs Barcelona prediction: Sportiko gives Elche a 24% chance of winning, Barcelona 51% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:43.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.7%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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Elche

DWLDL

Barcelona

DLWLW

Last 3 meetings Elche · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Elche faces Barcelona at their home ground. Barcelona enters the match with a strong attacking record, having averaged over 2.5 goals per game last season, driven by key players in their forward line. Elche, while solid defensively, struggled against top-tier teams, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in similar fixtures. The tactical battle will likely see Barcelona dominate possession, while Elche will need to capitalize on counter-attacks to create scoring opportunities. Overall, Barcelona's superior quality and depth make them the favorites in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Barcelona goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	6	7	5	2	1
1	3	11	10	7	3	1
2	3	6	7	4	2	1
3	1	3	3	2	1
4		1	1	1
5

↑ Elche goals · most likely 1–1 (10.7%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Home Win

24%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Home Win

24%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

68% Away (No Draw) 32% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 24% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	5.7%	7.1%	4.8%	2.5%
1	3.4%	10.7%	9.6%	6.6%	3.3%
2	3.2%	6.4%	6.6%	4.5%	2.3%
3	1.4%	2.9%	3.0%	2.0%	1.0%
4	0.5%	1.0%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elche	Draw	Barcelona
Elche	14.0%	4.4%	3.2%
Draw	8.8%	13.5%	16.5%
Barcelona	2.0%	4.5%	33.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elche vs Barcelona

0 Elche Wins

0 Draws

3 Barcelona Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Elche	1 - 3	Barcelona
02 Nov 2025	Barcelona	3 - 1	Elche
01 Apr 2023	Elche	0 - 4	Barcelona

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 May	A Girona	D	1 - 1
17 May	H Getafe	W	1 - 0
12 May	A Real Betis	L	2 - 1
09 May	H Alaves	D	1 - 1
03 May	A Celta Vigo	L	3 - 1

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A Birmingham	D	2 - 2
23 May	A Valencia	L	3 - 1
17 May	H Real Betis	W	3 - 1
13 May	A Alaves	L	1 - 0
10 May	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.