Aston Villa vs Everton Prognose

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

02 Dec 2026, 20:00

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Everton

Away

Villa Park, Birmingham

KI-Tipp Aston Villa gewinnt oder unentschieden

72%

22%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Aston Villa vs. Everton Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Aston Villa eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 72%, für Everton 6% und für ein Unentschieden 22%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 18%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Aston Villa

WWLWD

Everton

WWDDD

Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Aston Villa host Everton in what promises to be a competitive Premier League clash. Villa currently boasts a strong home record, leveraging their attacking prowess, with an average of 2 goals per home match this season. Everton, on the other hand, struggles with consistency, particularly in away matches, averaging just 0.8 goals per game on the road. Key players to watch include Villa's leading scorer, who has netted in multiple consecutive fixtures, and Everton's defense, which will need to tighten after recent lapses. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim for points to bolster their league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

72%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Everton goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	3	1
1	18	9	2
2	18	8	2
3	11	5	1
4	5	2
5	2	1

↑ Aston Villa goals · most likely 1–0 (18.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	3.2%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
1	18.0%	9.0%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.0%	7.5%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	11.3%	4.8%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.4%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
Aston Villa	47.5%	2.1%	0.3%
Draw	23.9%	15.8%	3.1%
Everton	1.6%	2.2%	3.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

66%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Everton

1 Aston Villa Wins

1 Draws

1 Everton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Aston Villa	0 - 1	Everton
13 Sep 2025	Everton	0 - 0	Aston Villa
15 Jan 2025	Everton	0 - 1	Aston Villa

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.